Race of The Day Thursday June 28
16:257 furlongs (1400m)

188Bet Mobile Bet10 Get20 Handicap (Class 2)

Newmarket (July Course)

  • Current Favourite  Aces
  • Current Odds 5/2
Race Analysis Runners 8 Going Good to Firm Distance 7 furlongs (1400m)

Race Overview

£25,000 on offer for this Class 2 handicap for three-year-olds and upwards rated between 81-100, but the official mark of the top weight means that essentially this is an 81-95 race.

A number of good yards are represented in this seven furlong contest won last year by Roger Charlton’s Makzeem off a mark of 88 before going on to end the term rated 105. This is a race that has been won a number of times by an improving sort and that may very well be the case once again.

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Favourite Aces

With five last time out winners it isn’t easy even picking the favourite, but with Ryan Moore on board it wouldn’t surprise to see the hattrick-seeking top weight Aces head the market following a pleasing win last time at Epsom.

Horse racing - Charlie Appleby

Other Contenders

Marcus Tregoning’s Sir Titan, Amanda Perret’s Saluti, and On The Warpath, trained by Charlie Appleby (pictured) are all on hattrick missions and will doubtless have their supporters, while Berkshire Boy is the fifth of the eight runners to have won last time out. The other three, – Burguillos, Roll On Rory and Sea Fox – all have claims too in a tight-knit affair.

Race Analysis

This is quite a puzzle! Sir Titan has won twice at Goodwood recently under Hayley Turner and is respected despite a 6lb rise in the weights. He certainly seems to be going the right way, a comment that applies equally to Andrea Atzeni’s mount Saluti, who scrambled home in a 7f handicap on the Rowley Mile in May before dead-heating at Haydock three weeks ago off a 4lb higher mark. Up another 3lb he still looks a player.

The third hattrick seeker is Godolphin’s On The Warpath, a Declaration of War colt who wa strained last season by Sir Mark Prescott and won two 7f novice stakes on the Fibre sand at Southwell at the end of the year. He hasn’t been seen since and has been sold privately to join Sheikh Mohammed’s team. He makes his handicap debut here off a rating of 92, and it’s impossible to know if the over or underestimates his ability. The market will prove a good guide to expectations.

Ryan Moore partners Ian Williams’ Aces, a horse who was third in the 2014 Group 2 Champagne Stakes at Doncaster as a juvenile, spent a few years in France, and returned to these shores in April. He won last time on his second start for new connections taking a valuable 6f handicap on Derby Day at Epsom. He stayed on well at the finish and the extra furlong shouldn’t be a problem, but has been raised 8lb so it won’t be easy to follow up.

BURGUILLOS is the choice though. Formerly trained by Alan King, he won twice and was placed seven times from 11 starts, both his wins coming over 1m2f, so on the face of it this trip should be too sharp for him. However, Stuart Williams seems to have latched onto something with this five-year-old who he dropped to just 6f on his debut for new connections here at Newmarket earlier this month. 

Burguilos was slowly away but finished very strongly into sixth, only beaten three lengths by Gunmetal. He may possibly have got much closer with a decent break (see above, red jacket, last at start of video). Faced with the extra furlong he looks of real interest for a gambling yard, and James Doyle is sure to give him a good ride.

Chepstow winner Berkshire Boy would probably prefer slower ground, Roll On Rory is respected having won on his only previous visit here but he’s now 7lb higher, and Sea Fox, a fine third in the Victoria Cup two starts ago can’t be ruled out either having failed to act on the sharp Chester circuit last time out.

 

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Betting.net Selection

Burguillos
13/2
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Betting.net Danger

On The Warpath
3/1

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Paul Alster Betting.net

Written by Paul Alster

Paul Alster has been part of the British and international racing media for more than three decades working as a race commentator, TV/radio presenter, journalist, betting correspondent, SP returner, and form analyst. He’s always sought out overpriced runners in handicap races, a quest that excites him as much now as it did at the start of his career.