Race of The Day Tuesday June 19
16:201 mile (1600m)

St James’s Palace Stakes (Group 1)

Ascot

  • Current Favourite  Without Parole
  • Current Odds 11/4
Race Analysis Runners 10 Going Good to Firm Distance 1 mile (1600m)

Race Overview

One of the top one mile events for three-year-old colts in the world, this superb race brings together horses with form in the English, Irish and French 2000 Guineas, as well as other proven smart performers in what should be a fabulous contest.

The near £539,000 in prize money is a big incentive in itself, but the prestige of winning this race is worth a great deal more, as too is the certainty of a future as a potentially leading stallion of the future. Run on the round mile and with a stiff uphill climb all the way from the home turn, stamina as well as speed are absolute requisites in any horse with pretentions to top honours.

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Favourite Without Parole

John Gosden’s exciting colt, the mount of Frankie Dettori, is unbeaten in three starts to date and is an immensely promising individual. He has yet to race above listed class though so needs to live up to the hype to score.

Horse racing Aidan O'Brien

Other Contenders

There are a host of genuine dangers to the forecast favourite. 2000 Guineas runner-up Tip Two Win, Irish 2000 Guineas 1-2-3 Romanised, US Navy Flag, and Gustav Klimt, (the last-named pair both representing Aidan O’Brien), Gabr, second to Without Parole last time, and Wootton, fourth in the French 2000 Guineas, are all potential winners.

Race Analysis

(Published  09.15, June 18) – Without Parole has to be the starting point as he has dominated the ante-post market since battling home on unsuitably soft ground in the listed Heron Stakes at Sandown last month where he saw off the talented Gabr, a horse who was having his first run of the season, by a hard-fought length (see below). Connections have long said this exciting propsect needs fast ground – and that’s what he is expected to get on Tuesday – so he should go well, but needs to improve around 10lb on what he’s done so far if he is going to see off hot opposition.

Tip Two Win, second to Saxon Warrior in the Qipco 2000 Guineas at Newmarket seven weeks ago, is a big danger. He’s a very good horse who goes on the ground and might well have been favourite if he wasn’t trained by Roger Teal, one of the lesser known southern trainers. Teal is more than capable though and his horse is very much respected as he is a proper talent.

The Irish 2000 Guineas 1-2-3 meet again here. Romanised produced a shock when coming from last to first to beat the front-running US NAVY FLAG by over two lengths without a semblance of a fluke, while third-placed Gustav Klimt wasn’t quick enough to land a blow. Romanised has solid claims once again for trainer Ken Condon, but if Ryan Moore rides US Navy Flag with a little more patience this time I believe he may well reverse the Curragh form and floor not only Romanised, but also Without Parole and Tip Two Win as well. Tactics are going to play a massive part in the destiny of this coveted prize so the selection certainly has the right man on board.

It wouldn’t surprise to see Gabr reverse placing with Without Parole. Sir Michael Stoute’s colt is classy and would surely have needed the run to some extent at Sandown. Any rain would again help his chance, but on fresh ground he is a definite player, while France’s Wootton, unbeaten in three starts prior to finishing a two length fourth to Olmedo in the French 2000 Guineas last month when not getting the best of runs, is another contender in what promises to be a great race.

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Betting.net Selection

US Navy Flag
7/1
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Betting.net Danger

Tip Two Win
5/1

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Paul Alster Betting.net

Written by Paul Alster

Paul Alster has been part of the British and international racing media for more than three decades working as a race commentator, TV/radio presenter, journalist, betting correspondent, SP returner, and form analyst. He’s always sought out overpriced runners in handicap races, a quest that excites him as much now as it did at the start of his career.