West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton Betting Tips, Preview & Predictions
In a sentence: The Premier League’s bottom club West Brom host fellow strugglers Southampton at the Hawthorns in this crunch game.
Last time: A Sofiane Boufal goal five minutes from time was enough to hand Southampton all three points when the teams played each other at St Mary’s in October.
This time: West Brom are 8/5 for the victory, while Southampton are 9/4 and the draw is also priced at 9/4.
You might remember: A 90th minute penalty from Rickie Lambert handing Southampton a 1-0 win at the Hawthorns in August 2013. A similar result for the Saints this time round would be huge in their quest for survival.
West Brom's Last Six:
West Broms’s last six: Won: 1 Drawn: 3 Lost: 2
Alan Pardew could welcome back as many as five players for this crucial fixture. Kieran Gibbs and Jonny Evans would give the manager’s defence a major boost, while Jake Livermore, Grzegorz Krychowiak and Hal Robson-Kanu all face late fitness tests.
Southampton's Last Six:
Southampton’s last six: Won: 0 Drawn: 4 Lost: 2
For the visitors, Charlie Austin is ruled out with his thigh problem, and he’ll be a big miss once again. Manolo Gabbiadini is rated as 50/50 after a hip injury, and although he’s been nowhere near as prolific as last season, his presence would be very welcome in light of Austin’s absence.
To say these two are out of sorts would be something of an understatement, but both sides have a huge opportunity to stake their survival credentials at the Hawthorns on Saturday afternoon. Defeat for the hosts is almost unthinkable if they want to beat the drop.
West Brom are 8/5 favourites for the win, despite only recording a single victory in their last 23 Premier League fixtures. That was the sort of form that lost Tony Pulis his job, and the Baggies’ position remains precarious under new man Pardew. They need to start winning soon, but the home supporters have an unexpected bonus to cheer at the weekend, after Daniel Sturridge decided to join on loan for the rest of the season. He could form a dangerous partnership with Salomon Rondon.
Southampton are 9/4, and are on a miserable run of their own. The Saints are without a win in their last 12 Premier League games, a sequence that stretches back to November. Despite taking a point from Old Trafford, it’s been a disastrous spell for Mauricio Pellegrino’s side, who find themselves in the relegation places going into this one. They lost their best defender in the January transfer window, but they did splash the cash on Argentinian striker Guido Carrillo.
These two sides are draw specialists, and the odds on this game ending with honours even are 9/4. No team has drawn more than the 11 apiece these two have played out, and the stubbornness they’ve showed to avoid defeat could prove key to both of their survival hopes.
Sturridge is in line to make his first start for the Baggies in this one, and the England international is priced at 7/1 to get himself off the mark by scoring the first goal of the game. He’s been brought in to fire West Brom to safety, and he’s 5/1 to score in a home win, which looks pretty tempting considering his class in front of goal.
Carillo is available at 33/5 to break the deadlock, and open his Saints account in the process. It cost Southampton around £19 million to prise him from French champions Monaco, and he’s 28/11 to score anytime.
Predicted Score: West Brom 1 - 1 Southampton
Look out for:
Goals, because they may be hard to find. Only two of the last nine meetings between these sides have yielded more than a single goal. Five of those games have finished with a 1-0 scoreline, with West Brom at 13/2 to win by that margin, and Southampton 8/1 for the same bet.
A 1-1 draw at 11/2. There’s so much riding on these relegation six pointers, that the pressure can often squeeze the life out of the players. We should still see a couple of goals, but if you think the game with end goalless that’s priced at 7/1.
It’s a long shot, but:
Sturridge to score the only goal of the game at 22/1. What a story it’d be for the on-loan Liverpool man to prove his worth right from the off. Whether starting or coming off the bench, he could be the difference in a tight and tense encounter.
Written by Oli Coates
Oli Coates is a huge sports fan, particularly football and especially Manchester United, who follows sports betting closely and has written extensively on the market. An experienced writer, Oli has covered everything from travel to how to care for your pets!