West Brom vs Brighton Betting Tips, Preview & Predictions
In a sentence: It’s a battle of the Albions as West Brom host Brighton on Saturday, after both sides were victorious in the third round of the FA Cup.
Last time: Pascal Gross scored a brace and set up the third for Tomer Hemed at the Amex earlier this season as the Seagulls ran out 3-1 winners in September. That was West Brom’s first defeat of the season, and the Baggies haven’t won a Premier League game since.
This time: West Brom are 5/4 for the win, while Brighton are 17/5 and the draw is 21/10.
You might remember: West Brom smashing five past Brighton the last time the two clubs were in the top flight of English football. You’ll need a good memory and a few years under your belt though as this was back in the 1982/83 season, with the goals coming from Nicky Cross, former Premier League manager Martin Jol, Peter Eastoe and an Alistair Brown brace.
West Brom's Last Six:
West Brom’s last six: Won: 0 Drawn: 3 Lost: 3
The hosts are sweating on the fitness of three players coming into this game, with Jonny Evans, Craig Dawson and Matt Phillips all rated as 50/50. Another defender Kieran Gibbs is an even bigger doubt, while James Morrison is expected back next weekend. Nacer Chadli is set to be out until the end of February after suffering a setback with his thigh problem.
Brighton's Last Six:
Brighton’s last six: Won: 1 Drawn: 3 Lost: 2
The Seagulls have a cleaner bill of health ahead of their trip to the Midlands. Matias Schelotto and Izzy Brown both face late fitness tests, with the former recovering from a knock and the latter a knee injury. Steve Sidwell is the only other absentee for Chris Hughton’s side, as the veteran tries to regain his fitness after a lower back problem.
Alan Pardew finally secured his first win as the Baggies boss on Saturday, while Brighton emerged victorious in their grudge match against Crystal Palace. Both sides will take confidence from their cup exploits, but it’s all about converting that into a strong performance and Premier League points at the weekend.
West Brom are 5/4 for the win, and they cannot afford to lose and allow Brighton to move 10 points ahead of them. Although the Baggies haven’t won since their second fixture of the season, there have been some encouraging results of late. A point at Anfield was followed up by a spirited display against Manchester United, before successive draws at home to Everton and Arsenal over the Christmas period.
Brighton are 17/5 to take all three points back to the south coast. A victory would be huge for the visitors, who have won just one of their last 11 Premier League games. Defeat on Saturday would keep the Seagulls in West Brom’s sights, and prevent them from making a break from the relegation scrap. Hughton’s side need to start scoring more goals if they want to put distance between themselves and the drop zone, as they’re averaging less than 0.8 goals a game at the moment.
The draw is 21/10, and could be worth a bet considering the current form of both sides. No team has drawn more games this season than West Brom, who have shared the spoils in 10 of their 22 games. Brighton share second spot with eight draws, and as neither side has been particularly inspiring in front of goal, a scoreless game looks most likely at 11/2.
It’s rare that the odds for there being no goalscorer are shorter than a player from either side, but that’s what we have here. West Brom’s Jay Rodriguez and Salomon Rondon are the joint favourite to break the deadlock at 57/10, with Hal Robson-Kanu not far behind at 31/5.
After his controversial winner against Palace, Glenn Murray is 7/1 to score first, or 16/5 to find the back of the net at any time during the game. With seven goals to his name in all competitions, the Englishman is Brighton’s biggest goal threat, and priced at 13/2 to score in an away win.
Predicted Score: West Brom 1 - 0 Brighton
Look out for:
Chances, because they might be few and far between. Only bottom club Swansea have scored fewer goals than these two, although no one in the bottom 13 places has conceded fewer than Brighton’s 27. West Brom are next with 30 in their goals against column, so an under 1.5 goals bet looks like decent value at 16/11.
West Brom to win by one goal at 5/2. Back Pardew’s first win at the helm to be swiftly backed up by a second with this bet. A 1-0 scoreline is priced at 19/4, while it’s 10/1 for 2-1 to the hosts. Rodriguez, Robson-Kanu and Rondon are all 16/1 to bag the only goal of the encounter.
It’s a long shot, but:
Gross to score the only goal of the game at 45/1. The German is Brighton’s second highest scorer with four, and scored that decisive brace against the Baggies earlier in the season. With this game likely to be settled by the odd goal, this is a good price for Gross to get it.
Written by Oli Coates
Oli Coates is a huge sports fan, particularly football and especially Manchester United, who follows sports betting closely and has written extensively on the market. An experienced writer, Oli has covered everything from travel to how to care for your pets!