Watford

V

Vicarage Road

03/03/2018 | 3:00 pm

West Brom

V

Vicarage Road

03/03/2018 | 3:00 pm

In a sentence: It is now or never for Alan Pardew’s West Brom as failure to get three points will all but see them destined for a return to the Championship. Their opponents Watford are not out of the woods themselves just yet but back to back wins would almost be enough to see them safe.

Last time: Despite being reduced to ten men midway through the second half, the Hornets managed to hold onto their 2-0 lead all the way to the finish and claim the three points during a Premier League Vicarage Road affair in April 2017.

This time: Watford are 1/1 to win with West Brom at 11/4 and the draw 23/10

You might remember: Back during a Championship game in 2007, Kevin Phillips struck the second of three West Brom goals to send the Baggies into raptures. It was also the last time that West Brom took all three points back to the Midlands with them after a day out in Watford.

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Betting Tips & Predictions

Alan Pardew hasn’t been at West Brom long but he’s already under pressure

Both these teams have dismissed their managers this season, both teams know there is plenty of work still to do this campaign and both teams begin with W, but that is where the similarities end because West Brom can only look at Watford’s league position with envy. The Baggies are bottom and good value for that position whilst it has been an inconsistent season for the Hornets, but one that is set to yield another season of top flight football barring an absolute collapse. It really is do or die for West Brom with anything other than three points likely to spell the end.

Watford are 1/1 to win the match and it is probably the first time all season they have been so short. That is because their opponents have picked up just seven points away from home all season and scored just seven times (the worst in the league). Watford may not be the most prolific at home, but they will not need to be to ensure they take another huge step towards safety.

West Brom are 11/4 to win but even that looks a little too short. The Baggies have won just three games all season and the chances of them picking up another on an inform Watford looks unlikely. West Brom are also winless at Vicarage Road since 2007 and it is hard to see where the next maximum is coming from.

The draw is 23/10 and that may see some action. The Baggies are seven points adrift of safety and although a share of the spoils will do West Brom little good, it will not be a disaster for the Hornets. If Gracia sees his team are not quite at the races, he may be tempted to shut up shop and settle for a point.

Under 2.5 goals in the game is 4/6 and that is good value based on the Baggies poor away form. Just seven times Pardew’s men have found the back of the net on their travels this season with only one goal in their last three Premier League away days. Watford are good for a goal especially at home with 21 in 14 games so if anyone is likely to get them, it will be the home side.

Both teams to score: No is 4/5 for the same reasons above but with slightly better value for a likely Watford clean sheet. West Brom have only 22 goals all season which is the worst in the league all season and a significant reason why they are in so much trouble.

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

A tetchy first half. Alan Pardew knows he must win the game but will be eager not to risk too much early doors and potentially find himself out of the game. Watford can afford to sit back and soak up some pressure meaning a quiet opening 45 is likely.

0-0 at half time is 13/8 which will leave plenty of West Brom nail-biting in the second half.

2

We fancy:

Watford to win and prevent West Brom from scoring is 9/4.

We can’t really put any argument in favour of the Baggies with their atrocious scoring form speaking for itself.

3

It’s a long shot, but:

West Brom need the points and for them to repeat their last victory at Vicarage Road of 3-0 is 40/1.

Football is a funny game and the Baggies have previous of surviving the drop at the last minute, it may be unlikely, but miracles do happen in football.

Written by Ian Waterhouse

Ian Waterhouse is a sports, fitness and betting writer with extensive experience in all sectors of the gambling industry. When he’s not trawling through the odds, you’ll probably find Ian on the golf course – probably the bunker!