Tottenham vs Southampton Betting Tips, Preview & Predictions
In a sentence: Mauricio Pochettino faces his former club at Wembley in the first Premier League match on Boxing Day.
Last time: Tottenham ran out 2-1 winners in March. Christian Eriksen and Dele Alli scored in the first half, but James Ward-Prowse pulled one back early in the second. The Saints never looked like equalising though.
This time: Tottenham are 2/5 to win with Southampton at 9/1 and the draw 21/5.
You might remember: Southampton winning 2-1 at White Hart Lane in May 2016, as Spurs disintegrated following Leicester’s unlikely title victory.
Tottenham’s last six: Won: 2 Drawn: 2 Lost: 2
Spurs have no new injury concerns, meaning that only long term absentees Toby Alderweireld and Victor Wanyama are unavailable for selection.
Southampton’s last six: Won: 1 Drawn: 2 Lost: 3
Mauricio Pellegrino has a fully fit squad to choose from. He recently shuffled his pack for the trip to Chelsea, so it’s going to be tricky to predict his starting XI for this one.
Betting Tips & Predictions
This is an intriguing match-up, as neither side is in sparkling form overall at present. Spurs have been strong at Wembley recently though, and are deservedly hot favourites to take all three points.
Tottenham are 2/5 to win it and it would be something of a surprise if they did not. Despite a supposed Wembley hoodoo, Spurs have won five and drawn one of their last six home games in the league. Only Burnley and Liverpool have conceded fewer goals in front of their own fans than Spurs have, so their defensive record will provide a good basis from which to win the match.
Southampton are 9/1 and as their away record is fairly dismal, those odds look more than fair. They have only won once on the road in 2017-18, and that was against Crystal Palace when the Eagles were in disarray. Southampton have scored just five goals in their eight away league matches this season.
The draw is 21/5 and may be worth a look as both sides have seen a lot of stalemates this season. Spurs have tied three times at home, and only three clubs have done so more often. Similarly, Southampton have taken a point three times on their travels, which is the joint-third most often in the Premier League.
Son Heung-Min is 13/10 to score anytime and he’s been the man to watch at Wembley in 2017-18. Whilst Harry Kane has scored more of his league goals on the road this season, Son has bagged four of his five under the Wembley arch. He also netted two there in the Champions League, so is in fine form at home.
Charlie Austin is 11/4 to score in the match and he has looked like Southampton’s only vaguely reliable goal threat this season. He has scored four goals in his last four league starts, so is in good form, but he does only have one league goal away from home in 2017-18.
Predicted Score: Tottenham Hotspur 2 - 0 Southampton
Look out for:
Under 2.5 goals at 6/5. Of the 17 teams who have been in the top flight since the start of last season, Spurs and Southampton are ranked joint-sixth and fourth respectively for fewest games with at least three goals in. Southampton restricted Chelsea to a single goal in their last away match, and will look to keep it tight here too.
Tottenham to be winning at half time and full time at 11/10. Spurs’ aggregate half time score this season is 13-9, whereas for Southampton it is 6-13. Losing at half time and full time has also been the most frequent outcome for Saints when away from home this season.
It’s a long shot, but:
Southampton to win 1-0 at 22/1. Tottenham have struggled at times at home this season, with Burnley, Swansea and West Bromwich Albion all taking a point from their day at Wembley. There have only been 15 goals in Saints’ eight away league games in 2017-18, so a tight game is likely and it might just go their way.
Written by Andrew Beasley
Andrew Beasley is a self-confessed stats nerd who tries to use facts and figures to his advantage when it comes to betting. Andrew is also a musician and a Liverpool fan who loves Mohamed Salah more by the game.