Liberty Stadium

22/01/2018 | 8:00 pm



Liberty Stadium

22/01/2018 | 8:00 pm

In a sentence: The Premier League’s basement club Swansea welcome Liverpool to the Liberty in the latest edition of Monday night football, with the Reds fresh from ending Manchester City’s unbeaten run.

Last time: Liverpool ripped the Swans to shreds on Boxing Day, with four second half strikes guiding them to a 5-0 victory in Leon Britton’s second and final game in temporary charge of the visitors. Swansea did win the previous meeting between the sides though, triumphing 3-2 at Anfield last January.

This time: Swansea are 12/1 for the win, while Liverpool are 3/10 and the draw is 5/1.

You might remember: A late Danny Graham goal securing a 1-0 win for the Swans in their final game of the 2011/12 season. It was a memorable way to cap their return to the top flight, although just one more goal would’ve handed them a top half finish.

Team News

Betting Tips & Predictions

Roberto Firmino’s importance to Liverpool increased when Philippe Coutinho left for Barcelona

Just 10 points separate bottom club Swansea from ninth placed Everton, so there’s certainly plenty of hope that the South Wales side can haul themselves out of trouble. Few will give them a chance in this one though, as one of the Premier League’s most in-form teams come to town.

Swansea are 12/1 to record a shock victory, which would have immeasurable value as we head towards the business end of the season. Wilfried Bony’s winner saved the blushes in Wednesday’s FA Cup replay against Wolves, but a third win under new boss Carvalhal would surely mean more to the club. The Swans have the league’s worst scoring record, so any success will be built on keeping the visitors’ dangerous forwards quiet.

Liverpool are 3/10 for the win, with the Reds now unbeaten in their last 18 games across all competitions. Despite the loss of Philippe Coutinho, they still have lots of goals in their ranks, with Mohamed Salah and Roberto Firmino sharing a total of 41 between them so far this term. If the Reds attack with the same intensity as they showed in the thrilling 4-3 victory over City last weekend, they’ll be far too hot for the Swans to handle.

The draw is 5/1 and could be worth a punt considering Swansea’s recent form against the Anfield outfit. Before that Boxing Day mauling, they’d won two of their last three against the Reds. With the hosts finding goals extremely hard to come by, a low scoring stalemate would seem most likely, with a 0-0 scoreline priced at 15/1 and 1-1 at 11/1.

Bony is 21/5 to score anytime after his midweek heroics in sending Swansea through to the fourth round of the FA Cup. The Ivorian is slowly returning to form after a tough few years, and although his goalscoring is hardly prolific, he’ll be a threat to a defence that’s often looked shaky, especially if Van Dijk doesn’t make it.

Salah is the 3/1 favourite to open the scoring under the floodlights, while Firmino looks attractive for this bet at 9/2. The Brazilian has scored a brace the last two times he’s played against the Swans, and he’s 8/1 to bag two or more in this one.

Match Summary


Look out for:

When four become three. After the so-called ‘Fab Four’ was dismantled by Barcelona’s capture of Coutinho, it’s down to Salah, Firmino and Sadio Mane to continue Liverpool’s fine attacking form. All three scored against City, and if they do so again at the Liberty, then your 5/4 bet on Liverpool to score three or more goals will pay out. A 3-1 Reds win is 12/1.


We fancy:

Firmino to score and Liverpool to win at 7/2. The Liverpool No.9 has five in his last three appearances against Swansea and seven goals in his last nine Premier League games. Salah meanwhile has 13 in his last 13, and he’s an attractive 3/1 for the same bet.


It’s a long shot, but:

Swansea to win and both teams to score at 25/1. It’s hard to see the hosts keeping Liverpool at bay for the full 90 minutes, so they’re likely to need at least a couple of goals to seal a shock win. Salah to score first before Swansea come from behind to record a memorable 2-1 victory is priced at 100/1.

Written by Oli Coates

Oli Coates is a huge sports fan, particularly football and especially Manchester United, who follows sports betting closely and has written extensively on the market. An experienced writer, Oli has covered everything from travel to how to care for your pets!