Stoke City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Betting Tips, Preview & Predictions
In a sentence: This is a classic relegation six pointer at the bet365 Stadium as Stoke host Brighton in this Premier League clash.
Last time: These teams took a share of the spoils when they met at the AMEX Stadium earlier this season. Stoke took the lead on two separate occasions only to be pegged back both times by the home side.
This time: Stoke are 11/10 for the win with Brighton at 14/5 & the draw at 21/10.
You might remember: A comprehensive 5-1 for Stoke at Brighton’s old Withdean Stadium in April of 2006. Both sides were in the English second tier then as a crowd of just under 6,000 saw Adam Rooney score a hat-trick for the away side.
Stoke's Last Six:
Stoke last six: Won: 1 Drawn: 1 Lost: 4
Stoke manager Paul Lambert will be without striker Jay Rodriguez for this one but midfield man Darren Fletcher should shake off a knock and be available for selection. Lambert gave January recruit Badou Ndiaye his Stoke debut last week as he made three changes. Mame Biram Diouf could replace veteran striker Peter Crouch.
Brighton's Last Six:
Brighton last six: Won: 3 Drawn: 1 Lost: 2
Brighton have no fresh injury concerns after last weekend’s game but remain without four first team players. After a convincing 3-1 home win last weekend it is unlikely manager Chris Hughton will make any changes here.
Betting Tips & Predictions
Currently sitting in the bottom three and having lost four of their last six games, Stoke will be desperate for the points. However, Potters fans do have a reason for optimism going into this one, having picked up a win and a draw from the two home games recently recruited manager Paul Lambert has taken charge of. Last weekend saw them lose at relegation rivals Bournemouth and Lambert’s men will be fully aware that home games are a must win, especially against those placed around them.
Brighton collected a huge three points last week against another relegation rival in the form of West Ham. That win pushed them into 13th place in the table but they remain only three points above the last relegation spot currently occupied by their hosts this weekend. Take a quick glance at the bottom half of the table and you will quickly notice how priceless three points can be, with only three points separating the teams from 12th to 19th.
Stoke do start as favourites here and are 11/10 to secure a home win. Stoke currently have the 12th best home record in the Premier League and they have relied on that to keep them afloat at the bottom. 18 of their 24 league points have come at the bet365 Stadium and they have won three of their last six on home soil.
Brighton are 14/5 to collect the three points but have failed to win any of their last six away games. The Seagulls did collect a point last time they were on the road when they travelled to Southampton. Brighton are undefeated in three games and the squad will be full of confidence following last week’s win, the visitors will know the pressure is all on Stoke as they go into this one.
The draw is 21/10 and looks like a safe bet as neither of these sides will want to give anything away. A point for both is useful with so many around them scrambling for safety.
Peter Crouch and Mame Biram Diouf are slight favourites for the first goal with both available at 5/1. Stoke’s joint top scorer Xherdan Shaqiri is well priced at 7/1 whike the likes of Jese and Saido Berahino can be found at 6/1.
Brighton top scorer Glenn Murray is the away sides highest placed attacker in the betting marker, he is 6/1 for the first goal. Recent recruit Leonardo Ulloa is also 6/1, while Pascal Gross is 15/2 and Jose Izquierdo is 11/1 after they both found the net last week.
Predicted Score: Stoke 1 - 0 Brighton
Look out for:
No goal scorer and a 0-0 draw is certainly one to consider here. Both no goal scorer and the 0-0 draw are priced 7/1. Package them together in an accumulator for boosted odds.
Stoke to win to nil at 9/4. With clean sheets in their last two home games Stoke will look to shut out a team that have only managed six goals on the road all season.
It’s a long shot, but:
Brighton half time and the draw at full time. Despite a lack of goals away an early one here would really set them up nicely for the remainder of the game, with odds of 16/1 it is worth a look.
Written by Elio Salerno
Elio Salerno is a Peterborough-based family man, Juventus fanatic, football coach and football obsessive. A serial tweeter, Elio counts Alessandro Del Piero’s World Cup 2006 goal against Germany as his favourite in the sport’s history.