Nottingham Forest


City Ground

11/03/2018 | 2:30 pm

Derby County


City Ground

11/03/2018 | 2:30 pm

In a sentence: The East Midlands derby lights up the Championship this Sunday as two sides needing to build up their points tally collide on what promises to be a tight and ill-tempered affair at the City Ground.

Last time: An entertaining 2-2 draw was the result the last time these two met in Nottingham. Zach Clough put the home side ahead, but the Rams struck back with goals from Matej Vydra and David Nugent just after the break before Dani Pinillos struck a 94th-minute equaliser in March 2017.

This time: Nottingham Forest are 9/5 to win with Derby at 29/20 and the draw 23/10.

You might remember: Who can forget Frank Fielding seeing red in the second minute of the game for Derby and Andy Reid scoring the resulting penalty during a Championship match in 2011? It should have been an easy three home points for Forest but goals from Jamie Ward and Jeff Hendrick ensured the Rams emerged victorious.

Team News

Betting Tips & Predictions

Nottingham Forest haven’t beaten rivals Derby since November 2015

Promotion-chasing Derby’s form of late has been a concern and another slip-up against arch-rivals Nottingham Forest will really put their playoff hopes in trouble. However, for Aitor Karanka’s Forest side, a rise up the table has been timely and now all but dispelled any relegation fears. A vital East Midlands derby is finely poised with action aplenty expected on the field of play.

Nottingham Forest are 9/5 to win the match and based on the current form of both sides, that is a real steal. The tricky trees are on a five-game unbeaten run which has seen them rise to fifteenth in the table and now with the shackles off, they are primed to add further misery to Derby’s poor run of form.

Derby are 23/10 to win and it is sometimes easy to forget that Gary Rowett’s side sit fifth in the table. That is because the Rams are winless in the league for over a month, injuries have played their part, but Derby have proved their capabilities more than once already this season and will not lie down easily.

The draw is 23/10 and this is where much of the value lies. The last match between the two at the City Ground was a stalemate and Derby have drawn four of their last six. However, Forest have only drawn once all season at home which is the lowest in league.

Under 2.5 goals in the game is 3/4 and that is certainly backing. Forest have only scored three goals in their last five games and although the game will be feisty, it will perhaps lack chances.

A goalless first half is 13/8 and both sides would take that right now. Six of the last nine goals the pair have shared have come in the second half making for a quiet opening 45.

Match Summary


Look out for:

A red card. The East midlands derby is notorious for a few bad tempers flaring up in the match and in the last seven years, games involving the pair has seen six dismissals.

A sending off in the game is at 5/2 and although quite short for this market, that only goes to prove its likelihood.


We fancy:

The 1-1 scoreline at 7/1 looks the best bet in this one. Both sides will be eager not to take too many risks up front especially early doors with a score-draw the likeliest of scenarios.


It’s a long shot, but:

In 2009, Nottingham Forest beat Derby 3-2 in a thrilling game and for that to happen again is 250/1.

That is a great price as both sides have proven they can score and Forest hold the current edge when it comes to form.

Written by Ian Waterhouse

Ian Waterhouse is a sports, fitness and betting writer with extensive experience in all sectors of the gambling industry. When he’s not trawling through the odds, you’ll probably find Ian on the golf course – probably the bunker!