Newcastle United

V

St James' Park

13/01/2018 | 3:00 pm

Swansea

V

St James' Park

13/01/2018 | 3:00 pm

In a sentence: Newcastle host the Premier League’s bottom placed side Swansea City in a match that both sides will hope to win.

Last time: A narrow one goal lead saw Newcastle win the reverse fixture back in September, with Jamaal Lascelles scoring from a corner in a game that was very much dominated by the Magpies.

This time: Newcastle are favourites to win at 10/11 with a draw adjudged the second most likely outcome at 12/5, and a Swansea win at 10/3.

You might remember: The two sides met in an FA Cup feature back in January 1995, which was remarkable for Paul Kitson’s only hat-trick in a Newcastle shirt, almost a third of the forward’s total goal tally for the Toon.

Team News

Betting Tips & Predictions

Newcastle forward Ayoze Perez has the chance to prove he can be relied on

Despite sitting in 13th place in the league, Newcastle are very much part of the relegation battle. A win at Swansea would do well to calm the nerves, but Carlos Carvalhal’s side will be a hard team to break down.

Newcastle are 10/11 to win this game, which given that they are at home, and seven places above their opponents in the league, seems justified. With two wins from two games in 2018 and rejuvenated striked in Ayoze Perez, they may well be on the cusp of a turn-around, having endured a torrid run of results.

Swansea City are 10/3 to win, and considering that they have taken just two points less than their opponents from the last six games, this may be a risk worth taking. The newly fit Wilfred Bony has scored 1/9th of his Swansea goals against Newcastle, and the club enjoyed a good run against the Toon until recently.

Another strong bet may be a draw at 12/5. Swansea boss, Carvalhal would likely be content with a point at St James’ park and is under no obligation to attack the home-side.

Ayoze Perez is 2/1 to score anytime and has started the last two games up front for the Magpies, repaying Benitez’s faith with three goals. It will be interesting to see whether he is given the opportunity to continue his run against Swansea, or whether Dwight Gayle, who is 15/8 to score, will take his place.

Wilfred Bony is 16/5 to score on Saturday. Despite struggling for fitness this season, Bony is a threat upfront when at his best. He is likely to be partnered up front by Andre Ayew who has been strong in recent weeks and is 3/1 to score himself.

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

A low-scoring game. Both sides have averaged less than a goal per game so far this season, so despite the fixture throwing up entertaining results in the past, it is unlikely to do so on Saturday. Neither sides have a goalscorer with more than four strikes to his name, which goes a way to explain both sides respective form.

2

We fancy:

Newcastle to win by one goal at 13/10. Benitez’s teams are never the most free-flowing and Swansea’s priority is not to lose, but the home side’s better organisation should help take the points – but only just.

3

It’s a long shot, but:

Lascelles to score and Newcaslte to win at 16/1. The captain has scored in his last two matches against Swansea, and came off to avoid an injury last weekend so will be ready and raring to go.

Written by Greg Murray

Greg Murray focused on watching football rather than playing it after realising he wasn’t going to be the next Gianfranco Zola. Writing prolifically on Italian football while keeping an eye on the game around the world, Greg has also turned his pen to the aviation industry and the betting market.