Newcastle United vs Southampton Betting Tips, Preview & Predictions
In a sentence: Two teams in desperate need of Premier League points will meet at St James’ Park this weekend as Newcastle United host Southampton.
Last time: The pair played out a 2-2 draw at St Mary’s earlier this season. Newcastle twice led on the afternoon, but Southampton fought back to secure a share of the spoils.
This time: Newcastle are 9/5 to collect all three points with Southampton at 15/8 and the draw available at 9/4.
You might remember: These two teams played out a six-goal thriller at St James’ Park during the 2012-13 Premier League campaign, with Newcastle coming out on top courtesy of a 4-2 scoreline.
Newcastle United's Last Six:
Won: 1 Drawn: 3 Lost: 2
Jonjo Shelvey is again expected to miss out for Newcastle, meaning that Mikel Merino could start in central midfield alongside Mohamed Diame.
Dwight Gayle should keep his position at centre-forward, although Ayoze Perez, Joselu and Matt Ritchie are all pushing for starts at St James’ Park this weekend.
Southampton's Last Six:
Won: 2 Drawn: 3 Lost: 1
Manolo Gabbiadini was again left out of the starting XI against Stoke City last time out, but the Italian is pushing for a spot in the team here.
Shane Long, James Ward-Prowse and Sofiane Boufal are also options for Saints boss Mauricio Pellegrino, who handed Josh Sims a start against Stoke.
Betting Tips & Predictions
Southampton will be looking to stretch their unbeaten run against Newcastle United to eight matches when they visit St James’ Park this weekend. Incredibly, Southampton have not lost a single game against the Magpies since February 2013 – when they suffered a 4-2 defeat at St James’ Park. The Saints ran out 2-1 winners at Newcastle in January 2015, but the points were shared in a 2-2 draw when they last clashed at the home of the Magpies in August 2015. Just one point and one position currently separates these two struggling teams in the Premier League table.
Newcastle are 9/5 to collect all three points as the Magpies go in search of just their fifth home Premier League win of the campaign. Rafael Benitez’s side have dropped points in 10 of their 14 home league fixtures this term, and will enter the match off the back of a 2-0 defeat at Liverpool on Saturday afternoon. Just two points currently separates 16th-placed Newcastle from 18th-placed Crystal Palace, and there is no downplaying the importance of this match as the business end of the campaign draws closer.
Southampton are available at 15/8 as the Saints look to pick up what would be a huge three points. Mauricio Pellegrino’s team, who are 17th in the table, have only been victorious in two of their 13 away Premier League matches this season – scoring just 13 times in the process. They were held by Stoke City at St Mary’s last time out, but are actually on a six-game unbeaten run away from home in all competitions, which included a goalless draw at Manchester United in the latter stages of 2017.
The draw is 9/4, and it is worth noting that Southampton have already drawn six away Premier League matches this season, while Newcastle have shared the points on four occasions in the league at St James’ Park. A draw would not really be much use to either side at this stage of the campaign, but the fact that both managers will be desperate not to lose could create a tense affair. Two of the last three Premier League meetings between these two clubs have also finished level.
Dwight Gayle is 11/2 in the first goalscorer market, while the Newcastle forward can be backed at 11/1 to score two or more goals during the 90 minutes. Gayle did not have much luck against Liverpool last weekend, but he scored twice away at Bournemouth earlier this month. The 27-year-old’s poaching abilities should see him continue at the tip of the Newcastle attack this weekend.
Manolo Gabbiadini is available at 31/5 in the first goalscorer market, while the Italian can be backed at 5/2 to register at any point during the 90 minutes. Gabbiadini has found himself on the Southampton bench in recent weeks, but the striker rescued a point at Burnley in his team’s last away match, and is pushing for a spot ahead of, or indeed alongside, Guido Carrillo.
Predicted Score: Newcastle United 2 - 1 Southampton
Look out for:
There have been at least four goals scored in five of the last six Premier League meetings between the two teams. Over 4.5 goals in this particular match can be backed at 19/2, while there is a long shot of over 5.5 goals at 25/1.
Newcastle to win with both teams on the scoresheet is available at 5/1. The Magpies are unbeaten at home in all competitions since the end of 2017, and we fancy Benitez’s side to triumph this weekend.
It’s a long shot, but:
Southampton won 3-2 at another fellow struggler West Bromwich Albion last month, and a 3-2 Saints victory in this match can be backed as high as 45/1.
Written by Matt Law
Matt Law is a European football writer with an interest in betting and gambling. An avid Manchester United supporter, Matt can regularly be found backing away wins in unlikely circumstances, sometimes with big success.