Middlesbrough

V

Riverside

27/01/2018 | 3:00 pm

Brighton

V

Riverside

27/01/2018 | 3:00 pm

In a sentence: Promotion-chasing Middlesbrough host struggling Premier League side Brighton at the Riverside in the fourth round of the FA Cup.

Last time: The teams last played in the Championship the season before last. Middlesbrough won the first game at the Amex, before Dale Stephens cancelled out Cristhian Stuani’s opener in the return with the game ending 1-1.

This time: Middlesbrough are 13/10 for the win, while Brighton are 11/4 and the draw is 11/5.

You might remember: Matthew Upson snatching the spoils for the Seagulls at the Riverside just over four years ago. That victory was Brighton’s last against Boro, with the teams playing each other five times since.

Team News

Betting Tips & Predictions

Middlesbrough’s Riverside Stadium will host this game

If recent meetings between Middlesbrough and Brighton are anything to go by, this game could end up being a low scoring affair. In their last 10 games which have all come in the Championship, there’s only been 17 goals, and this game could follow suit.

Middlesbrough are 13/10 to win the match, which would be a good statement to make regarding their potential Premier League status next season. Boro should be full of confidence after their commanding 3-0 win at QPR, and with the visitors likely to field the odd second string player, the hosts start the game as favourites.

Brighton are 11/4 for the victory, which would follow up their third round win in the grudge match against Crystal Palace. The Seagulls have won just one of their last 13 Premier League fixtures, an alarming slump that’s seen their impressive early season form virtually wiped out. Hughton will surely prioritise his club’s top flight status, but the players that are given a chance will be out to impress.

The draw is 11/5 and in all honesty a replay would be far from ideal for either side. Two of the last three games between the sides have ended in a draw though, with a 1-1 scoreline priced at 11/2 and the goalless draw at 6/1. An under 2.5 goals bet meanwhile is 8/15.

Assombalonga is the 4/1 favourite to open the scoring, and the Congolese forward looks a decent bet after finding the net five times in his first 11 games for Boro. At 6/1, Glenn Murray looks like being Brighton’s biggest hope of breaking the deadlock, and he’s 6/1 to score in a Brighton win.

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

Clean sheets. The teams have shared eight clean sheets between them in the last 10 meetings, and Middlesbrough are 11/8 to keep Brighton at bay in this one. The visitors are 11/5 for a shutout of their own.

2

We fancy:

Second half to be highest scoring at 7/5. Brighton will be keen to avoid defeat against a Championship team, so the visitors are likely to keep things tight in the opening period before the game opens up in the second half.

3

It’s a long shot, but:

Assombalonga to score the only goal of the game at 15/1. If it turns out to be a tight encounter, then this FA Cup tie could be settled by the first and only goal, and Assombalonga is as good a candidate as any to get it.

Written by Oli Coates

Oli Coates is a huge sports fan, particularly football and especially Manchester United, who follows sports betting closely and has written extensively on the market. An experienced writer, Oli has covered everything from travel to how to care for your pets!