Manchester United

V

Old Trafford

13/03/2018 | 7:45 pm

Sevilla FC

V

Old Trafford

13/03/2018 | 7:45 pm

In a sentence: Manchester United will expect to prevail here and reach the quarter-finals of the Champions League.

Last time: The sides drew 0-0 in Spain three weeks ago. United were indebted to David de Gea, who made several top saves to ensure they are level in the tie going into the second leg. The clubs have never met at Old Trafford, and a lack of history can make football predictions difficult to get right.

This time: Manchester United are 7/11 to win with Sevilla at 59/10 and the draw 3/1.

You might remember: Sevilla getting a score draw on their previous visit to England. They drew 2-2 at Anfield in the group stage earlier this season, and the same result here will see the Spaniards progress to the next round.

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This Champions League preview will aim to establish if Sevilla can get the result they need. Football betting tips for the weekend can wait, as there’s money to be made in midweek.

When making Champions League predictions, it’s worth bearing in mind what has gone before. Since 2003-04, the first leg of a knock-out tie has ended 0-0 on 20 occasions. Football predictions should never be based solely on history, but the side playing at home second got through in 15 of those 20 ties. The weight of history certainly favours Manchester United, but as this Champions League preview will demonstrate, Sevilla are not without hope.

Manchester United are 7/11 to win, and as they have won all but three of their matches at Old Trafford in 2017-18, they will expect to beat Sevilla. As one of their home draws was 0-0, a repeat of only two of their 20 home results so far this season would see the visitors progress in normal time.

Sevilla are available at 59/10 to win on Tuesday night. They have the 6th best away record in La Liga, having won six of their 14 matches on the road this season. However, they didn’t pick up any away wins in the group stage, so it would be a shock if they did so here.

The draw is priced at 3/1. This is the most likely way that Sevilla will progress to the quarter-finals. They got the score draw they need here in two of their three away games in the group stage. They haven’t drawn any of their away league matches in 2017/18 though, and only three at home, so the visitors are not very accustomed to stalemates.

Marcus Rashford is 21/4 to score the first goal, or 11/5 to get on the scoresheet at some point. The local lad will be full of confidence after scoring both goals in the win over Liverpool at the weekend, and he has already scored three times in the Champions League this season.

Wissam Ben Yedder is priced at 33/10 to score, or 9/1 to break the deadlock. He has scored six goals in the competition in 2017/18, and only four players have netted more times. He scored at Anfield on his previous visit to England.

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

One team not scoring. Manchester United have kept 13 clean sheets at Old Trafford in all competitions this season, and only two teams have featured in fewer Premier League matches where both teams scored. A ‘no’ bet on both teams to score is available at 7/8.

2

We fancy:

Manchester United to win to nil, at 13/8. The home side will play reasonably conservatively as an away goal would prove disastrous for them, but they should still have enough to score against Sevilla and win the match.

3

It’s a long shot, but:

Sevilla to win 1-0, at 16/1. Football score predictions are always tricky to get right, but if the visitors can get ahead then they will do everything they can to keep United out. Sevilla’s last away match was a 1-0 win, and they’ve picked up two more in La Liga this season too.

Written by Andrew Beasley

Andrew Beasley is a self-confessed stats nerd who tries to use facts and figures to his advantage when it comes to betting. Andrew is also a musician and a Liverpool fan who loves Mohamed Salah more by the game.