Manchester City

V

Etihad Stadium

31/01/2018 | 8:00 pm

West Brom

V

Etihad Stadium

31/01/2018 | 8:00 pm

In a sentence: Manchester City host West Brom on Wednesday evening, in the ultimate definition of the home banker.

Last time: The Blues were 3-2 winners at the Hawthorns at the end of October, with goals from Leroy Sane, Fernandinho and Raheem Sterling enough to secure the points for Pep Guardiola’s side.

This time: City are priced at 1/6, while West Brom are a massive 22/1 and the draw is 9/1.

You might remember: A late brace from Chelsea target Edin Dzeko at the Hawthorns back in October 2012. Shane Long broke the deadlock for the Baggies with just over 20 minutes to play, before Dzeko’s second strike sealed a comeback victory in the last minute of the game.

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Betting Tips & Predictions

Manchester City striker Sergio Aguero has been in superb goalscoring form of late

Their air of invincibility may have been dented slightly, but that will be little encouragement for West Brom on Wednesday. City’s victory over the Baggies earlier this season was their 13th in a row in all competitions, and the Blues are overwhelming favourites going into this clash.

Manchester City are 1/6 to pick up another three points which will take them ever closer to the Premier League title. While Liverpool may have revealed the odd chink in their armour, West Brom simply don’t have the players to take the game to City like Jurgen Klopp’s side did. Expect the likes of Kevin de Bruyne and David Silva to dictate the play with plenty of chances coming the way of Sergio Aguero and Raheem Sterling.

West Brom are 22/1 to pull off what would be the biggest shock of the season so far, and their first league win against City since 2008. The Baggies are languishing in 19th place in the table, but they at least come into this game on the back of a hugely impressive FA Cup victory at Anfield on Saturday. Pardew will hope Jay Rodriguez and Salomon Rondon can reproduce the form they’ve showed in recent weeks, as the Baggies will need to take any half chances that come their way.

The draw is 9/1, and although it’s still highly unlikely, it might represent a better chance of the upset than the away win. Since drawing with Everton in their first home game of the season, City have won every single one of their fixtures at the Etihad. If their attacking luminaries have an off day though, then the goalless draw at 25/1 or a 1-1 scoreline at 20/1 could come into play.

Aguero is the 13/5 favourite to break the deadlock in this one, after bagging a hat-trick in his last Premier League outing against Newcastle. The Argentinian is enjoying an extended run in the starting lineup thanks to Jesus’ injury, and he’s 16/1 to take home the match ball once again.

After finding the back of the net against City a few months ago, Rodriguez is 16/1 to open the scoring this time. Rondon is 18/1 for the same bet, which would be a big moment for the Venezuelan striker after his unfortunate role in James McCarthy’s leg break on his last appearance.

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

Goals. City can’t stop scoring this season, and they’re on course to smash the 100 goal barrier in the Premier League. An over 4.5 goals bet is priced at 27/10, while a more conservative over 3.5 goals bet is 6/5.

2

We fancy:

City to win to nil at 13/17. This is as good a way as any to improve the odds on the home win, with West Brom finding the net just 19 times in their 24 games so far this season, and City set to dominate possession.

3

It’s a long shot, but:

The Baggies pulling off the mother of all shocks to win 1-0 is 55/1, while a 2-1 away win is 60/1. And shots doesn’t get much longer than the 500/1 you can get on West Brom consigning City to a second 4-3 defeat inside a month.

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Written by Oli Coates

Oli Coates is a huge sports fan, particularly football and especially Manchester United, who follows sports betting closely and has written extensively on the market. An experienced writer, Oli has covered everything from travel to how to care for your pets!