Man City vs Liverpool Betting Tips, Preview & Predictions
In a sentence: One of these teams will represent England in the semi-finals, but which one?
Last time: Liverpool won the first leg 3-0, thanks to goals from Mohamed Salah, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Sadio Mané. However, the last meeting in Manchester ended in a 5-0 home win after Mané was sent off in the first half. Football predictions are tough, but this could easily be closer than either of those matches.
This time: Manchester City are 1/2 to win with Liverpool at 23/4 and the draw 41/10.
You might remember: Liverpool’s 4-1 win in November 2015. Jürgen Klopp had been in charge for a month, and this was the first match where his Reds ran riot. An own goal by Eliaquim Mangala was followed by goals for Philippe Coutinho and Roberto Firmino, and the visitors were three up in little over half an hour.
Manchester City's Last Six:
Won: 3 Drawn: 0 Lost: 3
Benjamin Mendy is City’s only injury absentee, so Pep Guardiola has close to a full squad available for this crucial match. Kevin De Bruyne and Sergio Aguero were on the bench for the Manchester derby, but will surely start here.
Liverpool's Last Six:
Won: 3 Drawn: 2 Lost: 1
Jordan Henderson is suspended, and the likes of Emre Can, Joe Gomez, Adam Lallana and Joel Matip are all injured. Salah was substituted in the first leg and missed the draw at Everton, but is expected to return for this one.
This is a Champions League preview where the match result appears easy to predict, as Manchester City have to go all out for a win, and are likely to get one. Football prediction can be guided by looking at the form guide though, and City have lost three of their last five matches, while Liverpool are unbeaten in four games.
Manchester City are just 1/2 to win, and with 19 wins in their 23 home matches this season, it’s no wonder. However, they have lost their last two, albeit the home match with Basel in the last round was something of a dead rubber. They generally win at home though, and are likely to again here.
Liverpool are deservedly underdogs for the match, and are priced at 23/4. They are in reasonably good form on the road though, with nine wins and only two defeats in their last 14 games away from Anfield.
The draw is available at 41/10. There have been six draws in league matches among the Premier League’s top six in 2017/18, and Liverpool have featured in four of them. City haven’t drawn any though, and only three in the league in total.
Aguero is the 7/2 favourite to open the scoring, and just 10/11 to net at some point. City’s all-time top scorer has bagged 30 goals this season, including four in the Champions League. He has scored seven goals in his last eight starts, so is in fine form. He didn’t play in the first leg due to injury, and was sorely missed by City
Salah can be backed at 24/13 to score, or 7/1 to get the opener and surely put the tie to bed. The Premier League’s top scorer has also got seven goals in the Champions League, and he is the top goal getter in the top six mini league for good measure too. Liverpool have plenty of goal threats, but the Egyptian is king of them all.
Champions League predictions can sometimes be straightforward, and it’s hard to see past a home win here. But will City get the scoreline they require to make the semi-finals? The bookies don’t think so, as Liverpool are just 2/13 to qualify while the Premier League champions-elect are 5/1.
Predicted Score: Manchester City 2 - 1 Liverpool
Look out for:
Both teams to score. Since Pep Guardiola took charge, the Etihad is the Premier League ground which has seen the most matches where both teams have found the net, and City have only kept six clean sheets at home in the league in 2017/18. With Liverpool’s goal threat, a ‘yes’ in your both teams to score predictions looks sensible. It’s priced at just 4/7, and with good reason.
Over 2.5 goals, at 4/9. Football predictions can be improved with a little research, and these teams are the Premier League’s top two for matches featuring at least three goals since the start of 2016/17. Eight of the previous 10 meetings in Manchester have hit that mark too.
It's a long shot, but:
Liverpool to win 2-1, at 19/1. Football score predictions are always tricky, and the scoreline of this match will depend a lot on the order in which the goals are scored. If Liverpool can score before City get too far ahead, then the home side may effectively admit defeat and an away win might just be on the cards.
Written by Andrew Beasley
Andrew Beasley is a self-confessed stats nerd who tries to use facts and figures to his advantage when it comes to betting. Andrew is also a musician and a Liverpool fan who loves Mohamed Salah more by the game.