FC Lokomotiv Moscow


Lokomotiv Stadium

15/03/2018 | 4:00 pm

Atlético Madrid


Lokomotiv Stadium

15/03/2018 | 4:00 pm

In a sentence: Atletico take a three-goal lead to Moscow after winning the first leg of this Europa League last 16 tie in Madrid.

Last time: Atleti won 3-0 in the Estadio Wanda Metropolitano last week thanks to goals from Saul Niguez, Diego Costa and Koke.

This time: Lokomotiv are 3/1 to win this game while Atletico are 10/11 and the draw is 12/5.

You might remember: These sides met in the Europa League Group B stage back in 2007 in Moscow where an end-to-end, high-scoring game finished 3-3. Sergio Aguero put Atletico ahead before Diniyar Bilyaletdinov equalised, Diego Forlan scored in the 47th minute to put the Spanish side 2-1 up before Peter Odemwingie’s double put the Russian side in the lead until the last few minutes when Aguero netted himself a late leveler. Only the boldest Europa League predictions would call for a repeat scoreline here.

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Betting Tips & Predictions

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Lokomotiv Moscow have lost just once in their last 11 games in all competitions and that was to Atletico last week, and their home form matched against Atletico’s greater quality is what makes football predictions, in this case, more complicated.

Their home record has been pretty good this season, losing just three times in all competitions, drawing twice and winning 10. Their last home match was 0-0 draw with Spartak Moscow in the derby which kept Lokomotiv top of the table in the Russian Premier League.

Atletico Madrid’s last game was a 3-0 win over Celta de Vigo and their only loss in their last 11 games came against Barcelona in the Camp Nou at the start of the month. The Rojiblancos have kept eight clean sheets in those 11 games and have had 26 shutouts in all competitions this season.

Lokomotiv Moscow are 3/1 to win this game and they are sitting five points clear on top of the Russian Premier League with a game in hand. They have lost just three games out their 21 league games so far this season and have lost just once at home in the Europa League a 2-1 loss to Moldovan outfit Sheriff. Thier last home game in Europa this season was a 1-0 win over Nice another 1-0 win for Lokomotiv here has odds of around 9/1.

Atletico Madrid are 10/11 and have themselves a decent away record, losing just three times this season on their travels in all competitions while drawing seven games and winning 11. Their last away game in the Europa League was a 4-1 win over Kobenhavn. Another 4-1 win for the Spanish side here is worth around 50/1.

The draw has odds of around 12/5 and the last time these sides met in Moscow the game ended up as a 3-3 draw – a similar scoreline here has odds of 90/1. A low scoring draw of 1-1 has odds of 5/1 and any Europa League preview would have to admit that’s more likely than the sides sharing six goals.

Diego Costa is around 4/1 to open the scoring in this match for Atletico while Portuguese striker Eder is around 9/1 to net the game’s first goal. Antoine Griezmann is 9/2 to score the first goal and is 13/8 to be an anytime goalscorer. Lokomotiv’s Aleksey Miranchuck is 4/1 to score at any stage of the game.

Match Summary


Look out for:

Atletico’s defence to maintain its strong record of conceding very little. A 2-0 win for the Rojiblancos can be found at 9/1 and they are 9/4 to win the game to nil if you prefer your football score predictions to be less specific. An Atletico Madrid clean sheet has odds of around 6/4.


We fancy:

Diego Costa to score and Atletico to win in a Score/Win double which can be had at around 9/4. Costa is also around 8/1 to score two or more goals. The striker has netted six goals in all competitions since returning to Atletico from Chelsea.


It’s a long shot, but:

A halftime/fulltime result of Atletico/Lokomotiv is worth around 40/1. There is every chance that Atletico scores early in the first half to put the tie to bed before Lokomotiv score a couple of consolation goals in the second to give the home fans something the cheer about.

Written by Ciro Di Brita

Ciro Di Brita is a football fan and fanatic of all things Naples – not least Napoli. A published author and novelist based in Ireland, Ciro will happily turn his hand to writing on any topic but will always try to work in a reference to Napoli wherever possible.