Liverpool

V

Anfield

27/01/2018 | 7:45 pm

West Brom

V

Anfield

27/01/2018 | 7:45 pm

In a sentence: Two teams from opposite ends of the Premier League clash in the FA Cup on Saturday night.

Last time: The sides played out a fairly dull 0-0 draw shortly before Christmas. Liverpool won the Anfield meeting prior to that 2-1, thanks to goals from Sadio Mané and Philippe Coutinho.

This time: Liverpool are 3/10 to win with West Bromwich Albion at 11/1 and the draw 28/5.

You might remember: West Brom’s last win at Anfield, in 2013. Gareth McAuley and Romelu Lukaku got the goals in a 2-0 win during Brendan Rodgers’ first season with Liverpool.

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Betting Tips & Predictions

Mo Salah was frustrated at Swansea and West Brom could bear the brunt

Considering the form of the two teams, it’s hard to see anything other than a Liverpool win in this one, ever after Liverpool left Swansea without anything to show for their dominance. Alan Pardew took an unfancied Crystal Palace side to the 2016 FA Cup final though, and West Brom will attempt to keep the match tight and frustrate the Reds into submission.

Liverpool are 3/10 to win, and that’s no surprise considering their home form. Jürgen Klopp’s team have won their last four in a row at Anfield, and scored 13 goals in the process. Liverpool are unbeaten on home turf in all competitions in 2017-18, and will not expect that to change in this match.

West Bromwich Albion are priced at 11/1 to win, and as they have the second worst away record in the Premier League, those odds seem fair. The Baggies recently went 20 league games without a win, so it would be a surprise if they knocked Liverpool out on Saturday night.

The draw is available at 28/5, and doesn’t look like the worst bet. These teams are in the Premier League’s top three for most draws, and four of the last six meetings have been a stalemate too. Liverpool look too strong, but if West Brom park their bus on the pitch, then another draw could be on the cards.

Mohamed Salah is 3/1 to score the first goal. The Egyptian has been the transfer success of the season, and has scored 24 goals for Liverpool already. He missed some good chances at Swansea on Monday so may make up for it here. Salah is available at 5/6 to score during the match.

Salamon Rondon is 11/1 to open the scoring, or 10/3 to get on the score sheet at some point. The Venezuelan may only have three league goals this season, but he should really have scored more from the chances he has had. Rondon put in a superb performance on Merseyside last weekend too.

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

A low card count. There are never usually many bookings when these sides meet; in the last six meetings there have been just 15 yellow cards in total, and there were just two in December when they last played. Liverpool will want to give away as few free-kicks as possible as West Brom’s main threat will be set pieces, so it’s unlikely there will be many bookings here.

2

We fancy:

A ‘no’ on both teams to score, at 10/11. Over the past four seasons, no ever present side in the Premier League has featured in fewer games where both teams scored than West Bromwich Albion have. Add in the facts that Liverpool have an excellent defensive record at Anfield and the visitors will look to keep things very tight, and this bet looks very likely to come in.

3

It’s a long shot, but:

West Brom to win 1-0, at 28/1. As much as Jürgen Klopp would love to win a trophy, the FA Cup is the least important of Liverpool’s three competitions this season. The Baggies are very capable of holding the Reds at bay, as they showed last month. If they can pinch a goal, then it could be a very frustrating night for the home side.

 

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Written by Andrew Beasley

Andrew Beasley is a self-confessed stats nerd who tries to use facts and figures to his advantage when it comes to betting. Andrew is also a musician and a Liverpool fan who loves Mohamed Salah more by the game.