Liverpool vs Manchester City Betting Tips, Preview & Predictions
In a sentence: The Premier League’s two top scoring sides clash at Anfield in the game of the weekend.
Last time: Liverpool won 1-0 on New Year’s Eve in 2016, thanks to Gini Wijnaldum’s early goal. City won 5-0 earlier this season at the Etihad though.
This time: Liverpool are 23/10 to win with Manchester City at 5/4 and the draw 29/10.
You might remember: A thrilling 3-2 win for Liverpool as the two sides fought for the title in 2014. Raheem Sterling, Martin Skrtel and Philippe Coutinho scored the goals for the Reds, with City scoring through Silva and a Johnson own goal.
Liverpool’s last six: Won: 5 Drawn: 1 Lost: 0
Liverpool begin the post-Coutinho era here. They will hope Mohamed Salah is fit to return having missed their last two matches. Jordan Henderson and Alberto Moreno are close to a return, but this match will be too soon for them.
Manchester City’s last six: Won: 5 Drawn: 1 Lost: 0
Pep Guardiola will definitely be without Gabriel Jesus and Benjamin Mendy for a fair while yet, but there only other injury concern at present is Vincent Kompany.
Betting Tips & Predictions
Whilst surely nobody is going to catch Manchester City in the race for the title, this is one of their harder remaining games. Liverpool are the second top scorers in the Premier League and have the best home defensive record in the division. Will this be the day that City’s unbeaten run comes to an end?
Liverpool are 23/10 to win it, and considering City’s wretched record at Anfield, they will fancy their chances of taking all three points. Since the Citizens’ last win in 2003, the Reds have won 10 and drawn five of the 15 matches. Liverpool have conceded just four league goals at home this season, and are yet to lose on home turf.
Manchester City are 5/4, and their phenomenal away record this season suggests they have every chance of winning. Guardiola’s team have won 10 and drawn one of their 11 league games on the road in 2017-18. They have scored 25 goals and conceded just five in the process, so will be confident of ending their terrible Anfield record.
The draw is 29/10, and is worth a look as the teams may cancel each other out. Liverpool have drawn three of their last five league matches at home, and five in total; only two sides have drawn more in front of their own fans. The Reds have the best home defensive record in the division, and City the best on the road. It could easily be a stalemate on Sunday.
Roberto Firmino is 21/10 to score anytime, or 13/2 to open the scoring. The Brazilian has scored nine goals in his last 10 starts, and assisted four more, so he’s guaranteed to be in the thick of the action. Firmino has scored against City twice before too.
Sergio Aguero is the 17/4 favourite to open the scoring, and 13/11 to net at any point in the match. He has faced Liverpool more than any other opponent (17 times) and has picked up six goals along the way. None of them have been at Anfield though, so is this the game where he breaks his duck?
Predicted Score: Liverpool 1 - 1 Manchester City
Look out for:
Over 3.5 goals, at 11/8. Since the start of last season, Liverpool have played in 25 league games that have featured at least four goals. Manchester City are the only side to have played more in that period. That’s often because these teams batter the weaker teams, but with the firepower on display in this match, a goal fest should not be ruled out.
A draw and both teams to score, at 39/11. City may have hammered Liverpool last time they met, but the Reds are very tough to beat on their own patch. The Reds have already drawn six times in all competitions at Anfield this season, and a close match looks on the cards.
It’s a long shot, but:
Liverpool to win 2-0 at 21/1. If the home side can get their noses in front, then they may be able to pick City off on the counter. Liverpool have scored more counter attacking goals than any other team in Europe’s big five leagues this season. It will be tough to keep City score-less, but Crystal Palace managed it recently so why not Liverpool?
Written by Andrew Beasley
Andrew Beasley is a self-confessed stats nerd who tries to use facts and figures to his advantage when it comes to betting. Andrew is also a musician and a Liverpool fan who loves Mohamed Salah more by the game.