Leeds United are only outside of the play off zone on goal difference, so will be looking to take all three points against a Millwall team who have not travelled well this season. The Lions are seven points clear of the drop zone, so aren’t desperate for points, but they’d love nothing better than winning at the home of one of their fierce rivals.
Leeds are 4/3 to win, and are unbeaten in their last five league matches at Elland Road. Equally, they haven’t won any of their last three in total, and haven’t scored in those games either. But their defence is strong, with three home clean sheets in a row, so they should have enough to win this one.
Millwall are 28/11 to take all three points, but in view of their terrible away record this season, it feels like the odds should be longer. They are the only team in the Championship yet to win on the road this season, and they have scored just six goals in their 13 away matches. It would be a big shock if they won at Elland Road.
The draw is priced at 23/10. Millwall have already drawn ten league games this season, which is the joint-second most in the division. With neither side in brilliant form at present, a stalemate might be the order of the day.
Kemar Roofe is 6/1 to open the scoring, and is Leeds’ top scorer in the Championship this season with seven goals. Four of those have been in his last seven matches, albeit three were in one game. The former Oxford United man is 45/17 to score at any point in the match.
George Saville is Millwall’s top scorer, and he is 16/1 to get the first goal of the game. He has also scored seven league goals in 2017/18. Saville has scored two of the Lions’ six goals on the road this season, and is priced at 15/2 to score during the game.
Predicted Score: Leeds United 2 - 0 Millwall
Look out for:
A surprisingly low card count. In the last six meetings between these bitter rivals, there have been a total of just 17 yellow cards and no reds. Perhaps referees are happy to let them just get on with it?
Under 2.5 goals, at 33/50. Both of these sides are in the lower half of the Championship when it comes to matches with fewer than three goals, and it has also happened in five of the last six meetings. History suggests you should expect a tense match which is low on goal mouth action.
It’s a long shot, but:
Leeds to win 3-0, at 25/1. United have scored at least three goals five times in the Championship this season, and only three teams have done so more often. With Millwall’s dreadful record away from the Den to factor in too, a big home win doesn’t seem that unlikely.
Written by Andrew Beasley
Andrew Beasley is a self-confessed stats nerd who tries to use facts and figures to his advantage when it comes to betting. Andrew is also a musician and a Liverpool fan who loves Mohamed Salah more by the game.