Home Hull City

30/01/2018 Kick Off:  7:45 pm KCOM Stadium V Predicted Score:1 - 2

Away Leeds United

Match Summary

1 Look out for:

Red cards. Remarkably you have to go back to New Year’s Day for the last time Leeds did not receive a red card in a game. A Yorkshire derby is a notoriously intense affair and either side to see a player receive their marching orders would hardly be a surprise. A red card to be shown in the match is 7/2 and considering the Whites’ recent record, it’s got to be worth a look.

2 We fancy:

Both teams to score and Leeds to win at 6/1. If the Whites can keep 11 on the pitch then the simple truth is they have the better team. With the creativity of Pablo Hernández, the furiousness of Kemar Roofe and the powering headers of Pontus Jansson, Leeds have enough to get the job done. Even down to 10 men against Millwall last week they pulled it back before capitulating towards the end.

3 It's a long shot, but…

Over 5.5 goals in the game is 16/1, and although it hasn’t happened between the two since 1990, with Hull’s home goals per game ratio and Leeds desperate to push on for a play-off position, if there’s any game this week that’s likely to see a plethora of goals, it’s this one.

Team News

Hull City's Last Six:

Hull’s last six games: Won: 2 Drawn: 3 Lost: 1

Nigel Adkins has been struggling to cope with a number of injuries, with striker Abel Hernandez, Greg Luer and the long-term absentee Ryan Mason all out. With Sebastian Larsson and Kevin Stewart also just one yellow away from a suspension, expect Adkins to take a few risks.

Leeds United's Last Six:

Leeds’ last six games: Won: 1 Drawn: 1 Lost: 4

Stuttering form has forced Leeds boss Thomas Christiansen into the transfer market, with the signing of Adam Forshaw from Middlesbrough the highest profile to date and likely to feature. Christiansen is also paying the price for a poor disciplinary record with Samuel Saiz, Kalvin Phillips, Eunan O’Kane and Liam Cooper all suspended for this crunch Yorkshire derby.

Hull City vs Leeds United Betting Tips, Preview & Predictions

Kemar Roofe in action for Leeds against Middlesbrough

This match highlights the competitive nature of the Championship, with poor recent form for both seeing the pair lose ground dramatically on where they hope to be. Three defeats in their last four league games has seen Leeds go from play-off contenders to five points from those promised positions.

However, things could be worse for the Whites, as recent defeats to Sunderland and Bolton have left Tigers boss Adkins facing an uncomfortable relegation battle with only a superior goal difference keeping Hull out of the drop zone.

Hull are 11/10 to win but with only four victories from 14 home games, the odds could perhaps be a little longer. In their favour though is that the Tigers’ 30 goals at home is more than anyone else this season, coming at an average of more than two per game. That means they will always have a chance but as expected, having conceded 23 makes them very vulnerable to the counter on home soil.

Leeds are 5/2 underdogs for the victory, but if one side is more likely to go on and win, it could be the Whites. On their day Leeds are a match for anyone with continental talent on show. Away form is also pretty good having won 50% of their games on the road. However, Leeds’ inability to keep 11 men on the field is proving their downfall of late.

The draw is 23/10 and that is good value considering the pair have recorded five draws in their last 11 meetings at both the KCOM and Elland Road. However, neither have been shy in front of goal this season meaning anything could happen right up until the final whistle.

Both teams to score in the game is at 4/6 and if one thing is assured in this match it is goals. Hull’s home games usually serve up plenty of entertainment and Leeds have scored 20 away from home in 14 fixtures, so both teams are likely to take advantage of either side’s often lacklustre defences.

With Hull averaging 2.14 goals per home game and Leeds 1.43 goals on the road, we can hope for at least three strikes in this one. This makes an over 2.5 goals bet at 21/20 look pretty tempting.

Predicted Score: Hull City 1 - 2 Leeds United

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Written by Ian Waterhouse

Ian Waterhouse is a sports, fitness and betting writer with extensive experience in all sectors of the gambling industry. When he’s not trawling through the odds, you’ll probably find Ian on the golf course – probably the bunker!