Huddersfield

V

John Smith's Stadium

27/01/2018 | 3:00 pm

Birmingham City

V

John Smith's Stadium

27/01/2018 | 3:00 pm

In a sentence: A cup match where both sides may enjoy a break from worrying about staying up in their respective divisions.

Last time: The sides played out a 1-1 draw in the Championship in November 2016. Elias Kachunga scored for the home side, before Birmingham equalised through Lukas Jutkiewicz.

This time: Huddersfield are 3/4 to win with Birmingham at 26/5 and the draw 37/13.

You might remember: Birmingham winning 2-0 in 2017, despite having Che Adams sent off in the first half. Jonathan Grounds and Craig Gardner (via a penalty) got the goals in April last year.

Team News

Betting Tips & Predictions

Huddersfield Town’s Steve Mounie hasn’t scored since early December

The home side will be looking to win this match for a confidence boost as much as anything else. The Terriers haven’t won any of their last six in the league, and their only recent win was at Bolton in the third round. Birmingham sneaked past Burton Albion 1-0 at home in the previous round, so this will be a far sterner test for the Blues.

Huddersfield are 3/4 to win, and despite their poor league form, they will expect to. David Wagner’s team have only lost four of their 12 Premier League matches on home turf, so it would be a surprise if they did so here.

Birmingham are priced at 26/5 to win, and despite being in the Championship relegation zone, their form is better than that of their hosts. The Blues recently won three in a row in all competitions, and their only defeat in their last five matches was against high flying Derby.

The draw is available at 37/13, and shouldn’t be ruled out. Three of the last six meetings have ended in a draw, and Huddersfield have drawn two of their last three home games. Birmingham have tied three of their last five matches on the road, so there’s a definite chance of a stalemate.

Laurent Depoitre is 7/2 to score the first goal, or 6/4 to score at any time during the match. The Belgian is Huddersfield’s top scorer in the league this season, both at home and in total. He hasn’t scored in his last six appearances, but does have two goals in his last five starts and with Steve Mounie struggling for goals, his importance is even greater.

Sam Gallagher is 16/5 to score at any time, and is in great form at the moment. He scored the winner in the 3rd round, and has five goals in his last seven appearances. Gallagher can be backed at 15/2 to open the scoring.

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

A high card count. Both teams have received a red card in their last six matches, and Birmingham had a man sent off the last time the two teams meet. Two of the last three meetings have seen five yellow cards issued, and Huddersfield have one of the worst disciplinary records in the top flight. The referee could be a busy man in this one.

2

We fancy:

Under 2.5 goals, at 13/19. The last six meetings between Huddersfield and Birmingham have all featured two goals at most, and both sides have scored under one goal per game across their last six matches. This doesn’t look likely to be a goal-fest.

 

 

3

It’s a long shot, but:

Birmingham to win 2-0, at 28/1. The Blues have won more matches recently than Huddersfield have, and only three teams in the Premier League have scored fewer home goals than the Terriers. A cup upset mightn’t be as unlikely as many people might assume.

 

 

Written by Andrew Beasley

Andrew Beasley is a self-confessed stats nerd who tries to use facts and figures to his advantage when it comes to betting. Andrew is also a musician and a Liverpool fan who loves Mohamed Salah more by the game.