Derby County

V

Pride Park

21/04/2018 | 3:00 pm

Middlesbrough

V

Pride Park

21/04/2018 | 3:00 pm

In a sentence: With just one point between them, this is a crucial match in the battle for the playoffs. 

Last time: The teams drew 1-1 at Pride Park in August 2015. Football predictions aren’t easy, but this game should be just as tight.

This time: Derby County are 8/5 to win, with Middlesbrough at 13/8 and the draw 9/4.

You might remember:  A 2-2 draw in 2012, during which both teams lead. Theo Robinson and Paul Coutts got Derby’s goals, with Lukas Jutkiewicz getting a brace for Boro in reply.

Team News

Betting Tips and Predictions

Is Matej Vydra the difference between a draw and victory for Derby?

This is a Championship preview where the result is tricky to call. Football prediction can be aided by looking at recent results, but both sides have displayed fairly average form recently, with two wins in their last six league games. Here are some football betting tips for the weekend, which will hopefully help you decide where to place your money.

Derby are 8/5 to win. However, they have only won once in their last five Championship matches at Pride Park. They do have the fifth best home goal difference in the division, though, so they definitely have the potential to win. 

Middlesbrough can be backed at 13/8, but they have only won one of their last seven league games on the road. However, only two Championship teams have scored more away goals in 2017/18, so a victory for the visitors can’t be ruled out.

The draw is priced at 9/4. Only three teams have drawn more second-tier games than Derby have this season, and with the teams so closely matched in the table, a tight contest seems a certainty.

Matej Vydra is the Championship’s top scorer for both all goals and openers, and the Czech attacker also netted a hat-trick when these sides met earlier this season. He is available at 22/5 to open the scoring or 37/19 to find the net at any time.

Britt Assombalonga is 28/13 to bag a goal or 24/5 to break the deadlock with the opener. His record this season suggests the former bet may be the wise choice as despite scoring 13 Championship goals in 2017/18, only three have been the first of a game.

Championship predictions are rarely simple, and this one is no exception. Nonetheless, it should be a low-scoring match so Derby may just sneak it thanks to their home advantage.

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

One team to fire blanks. Derby have kept the joint-second most clean sheets in the Championship this term, whereas Middlesbrough are ranked joint-sixth. A ‘no’ bet is available at 4/5 and should be included in your both teams to score predictions.

2

We fancy:

Under 2.5 goals at 4/6. Football predictions are aided by a dose of research, and only six teams in the division have seen fewer total goals in their matches this season than these two have.

3

It's a long shot, but...

Middlesbrough to win 2-0 at 14/1. Football score predictions are always difficult, but Boro have kept a clean sheet in four of their seven away wins this season, and few Championship teams have scored more on the road than they have.

Written by Andrew Beasley

Andrew Beasley is a self-confessed stats nerd who tries to use facts and figures to his advantage when it comes to betting. Andrew is also a musician and a Liverpool fan who loves Mohamed Salah more by the game.