Crystal Palace

V

Selhurst Park

04/02/2018 | 2:15 pm

Newcastle United

V

Selhurst Park

04/02/2018 | 2:15 pm

In a sentence:  Two sides battling personal struggles collide at Selhurst Park with the desperation for points from both team clear as a lengthy relegation fight is set to ensue.

Last time: Palace embarrassed a poor Newcastle 5-1 the last time the Magpies travelled to Selhurst Park. A brace apiece from James McArther and Yannick Bolasie ensured Newcastle’s trip home was a miserable one in a chilly November 2015 top flight clash.

This time: Crystal Palace are 1/1 to win with Newcastle United at 3/1 and the draw 11/5

You might remember: During the 2013/14 Premier League season, the troubled Magpies recorded arguably the best performance of the season coming away with a 0-3 win.

Team News

Betting Tips & Predictions

Crystal Palace will need Christian Benteke to score regularly between now and May to avoid the drop

Both sides know that there is still plenty of work to do this season if they are to avoid the drop. Remarkably the pair have identical records in their last six games but that does include FA Cup ties which does not always reflect true form. The league is priority and both Hodgson and Benítez will have ear-marked this game as a better than average chance to come away with three points.

Crystal Palace are 1/1 to win the match and that is fair considering this game is balanced on a knife edge. However, one saving grace for Eagles fans is that home form has been the reason they have come away from immediate danger and allows them to come into the game with confidence. From 12 games they have picked up 16 points putting them 11th in the form table and when you are scrabbling around at the bottom, that is something to cling onto.

Newcastle are 3/1 to win and that is backable. The problem with Newcastle is that you never know which Magpies team is going to turn up. An impressive away win at Stoke at the beginning of the year proved that Benitez can get a song out of his team on the road and with three wins from 12 away from St James, 3/1 could represent some decent value if the team can keep off-field problems away from the pitch.

The draw is 11/5 and no doubt your immediate reaction is to back it. From the outside this game looks like it has draw written all over it and you sense both managers would be quite happy with that result. However, only two of the last twelve meetings at Selhurst Park have resulted in a draw which may have you thinking perhaps a share of the spoils is not on the cards.

Only one team to score in the game is 10/11 and considering both Palace and Newcastle have mustered just 23 goals each this season, the game is unlikely to be see a lot of fast paced action. Palace are reeling from missing out on Ibrahim Amadou and the Magpies have to bed in Islam Slimani and the likelihood of a shut out is high.

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

Home advantage playing the key role. The Eagles perform much better at home than their counter-parts and with a despondent Magpies support seemingly more interested in a protest, Palace look set to just edge it.

Palace are 13/2 to win 1-0 thanks to the backing of the raucous Selhurst crowd drowning out any interference from the Newcastle faithful.

2

We fancy:

A double chance of Palace or the draw is 1/4 and that looks pretty safe even if it is a little on the cautious side.

Under Roy Hodgson, Palace’s fortunes have changed dramatically, and they are set-up not to lose, that makes the only outcomes an Eagles win but having the draw there as a bank of insurance.

3

It’s a long shot, but:

Football is a romantic sport so Magpies new signing Islam Slimani to be the first goal scorer is at 8/1.

Benitez has few options, so it is likely the Algerian will start but will need the right service if he is to deliver which may be a problem.

Written by Ian Waterhouse

Ian Waterhouse is a sports, fitness and betting writer with extensive experience in all sectors of the gambling industry. When he’s not trawling through the odds, you’ll probably find Ian on the golf course – probably the bunker!