Chelsea vs West Brom Betting Tips, Preview & Predictions
In a sentence: Will this be Antonio Conte’s last match in charge of the champions? Alan Pardew will hope so.
Last time: Chelsea won 1-0 in December 2016 thanks to a late Diego Costa goal.
This time: Chelsea are 19/50 to win with West Bromwich Albion at 10/1 and the draw 22/5.
You might remember: West Brom’s last win at Chelsea, in 1983-84. But you probably don’t.
Chelsea's Last Six:
Chelsea’s last six: Won: 2 Drawn: 1 Lost: 3
Tiemoué Bakayoko is suspended following his red card at Watford last time out. Marcos Alonso is a slight doubt, but the likes of Barkley, Morata and Pedro will all be missing.
West Brom's Last Six:
West Bromwich Albion’s last six: Won: 3 Drawn: 1 Lost: 2
New signing Ali Gabr is still awaiting his work permit so is ineligible. Nacer Chadli and James Morrison are definitely out, but several other players (such as Grzegorz Krychowiak, Kieran Gibbs and Jonny Evans) might be available.
After heavy defeats to Bournemouth and Watford, Antonio Conte is under serious pressure. Roman Abramovich has Guus Hiddink on speed dial for situations like these, so the Chelsea boss has rarely needed three points more than he does here. West Brom maybe need them even more, though, as they go into the weekend four points adrift at the bottom of the league.
Chelsea are 19/50 to win, and despite their recent poor form they will fully expect to claim the three points. Prior to their recent home stumbles against Leicester and Bournemouth, the Blues had won seven league games straight at Stamford Bridge. This will surely be the start of another winning run.
West Bromwich Albion can be backed at 10/1 and it would be a shock if they were to win here, even in view of Chelsea’s current poor form. The Baggies won their first away league match of 2017/18, but haven’t won any of the last 12. They did recently win at Liverpool in the FA Cup, so they will have that to give them hope at least.
The draw is available at 22/5, and as the Baggies are the Premier League draw specialists it can’t be ruled out. The visitors have drawn 11 times this season, and will look to frustrate a struggling Chelsea side into a dour stalemate. They might just be capable of it, too.
Eden Hazard is priced at 7/2 to score the first goal of the game, or evens to net during the match at some point. With Morata an injury doubt, Hazard is Chelsea’s most likely scorer. The Belgian has scored nine league goals this season, including four in his last five appearances.
Daniel Sturridge is 4/1 to get on the score sheet, or 12/1 to open the scoring. The former Chelsea man would love to kick start his West Brom career with a goal at his former club, and he did have a decent record at Liverpool this season despite very limited game time.
Predicted Score: Chelsea 1 - 0 West Brom
Look out for:
A high card count. Chelsea have been shown four red cards this season, which is the joint-most in the Premier League, and West Brom have received the second most bookings. There have also been 28 yellows and two reds in the last six meetings between the teams. The referee, Lee Mason, might be a busy man on Monday night.
Under 2.5 goals, at 6/5. These teams frequently feature in matches with fewer than three goals, and West Brom will want to keep the match as tight as possible. With Chelsea low on confidence it is unlikely that they will carve the visitors open too often, so goals are likely to be at a high premium in this one.
It’s a long shot, but:
West Brom to win 1-0, at 25/1. If the Baggies can knock Liverpool out of the FA Cup at Anfield, then they’re surely capable of beating a Chelsea team who appear to be in free-fall at the moment.
Written by Andrew Beasley
Andrew Beasley is a self-confessed stats nerd who tries to use facts and figures to his advantage when it comes to betting. Andrew is also a musician and a Liverpool fan who loves Mohamed Salah more by the game.