Chelsea vs Stoke Betting Tips, Preview & Predictions
In a sentence: After their Boxing Day victory, Chelsea go into their game against Stoke just a point behind second placed Manchester United.
Last time: An Alvaro Morata hat-trick fired the Blues to a 4-0 win at the Bet365 Stadium earlier this season. It meant Chelsea have won their last three against the Potters and can complete a second double over Mark Hughes’ side in as many seasons on Saturday.
This time: Chelsea are 1/5 for the win, while Stoke are 20/1 and the draw is 7/1.
You might remember: Another Chelsea player bagging a hat-trick against the Potters, when Salomon Kalou bagged a treble in a 7-0 win back in 2010. The goals helped the Blues towards a record-breaking tally of 103, as Carlo Ancelotti’s side won a Premier League and FA Cup double.
Chelsea's Last Six:
Chelsea’s last six: Won: 4 Drawn: 1 Lost: 1
Antonio Conte could welcome Andreas Christensen back into his defence after the centre-back missed the victory over Brighton because of sickness.
Gary Cahill slotted into the middle of the Chelsea back three in the Dane’s absence, as David Luiz remains sidelined with a knee problem. Elsewhere, Charly Musonda has a groin strain and is likely to miss out.
Stoke's Last Six:
Stoke’s last six: Won: 2 Drawn: 1 Lost: 3
Potters boss Hughes has his own defensive issues ahead of a tough trip to Stamford Bridge, with up to five members of his backline potentially unavailable.
Kurt Zouma cannot face his parent club, while Bruno Martins Indi and Ryan Shawcross are definitely out. Full-backs Glen Johnson and Erik Pieters both have a small chance of being fit, while Jese is also a doubt.
With such a fine record over recent games against Saturday’s visitors, Chelsea fans will fully expect another three points in the bag on Saturday. Stoke relieved some of the pressure on their manager with a win and a draw either side of Christmas, which could make them more dangerous in a game they’re predicted to lose.
Chelsea are 1/5 for the victory so you’ll need to have a look at ways of improving the odds on a home win. For example, backing the Blues to keep their third consecutive clean sheet while taking the points increases your price to 5/6. Chelsea have beaten every time outside the top seven they’ve faced at Stamford Bridge this season, and with the likes of Morata and Eden Hazard in great form, it’s hard to see anything other than another victory.
Stoke are 20/1 to spring a huge surprise and take all three points back to the Potteries. The long odds are justified by their poor form on the road this season, with Hughes’ side recording just a single victory away from home. This was a 1-0 win against an inconsistent Watford team in October, while Saturday’s hosts are in a different class altogether.
The draw is 7/1 and could be a more realistic bet if you think the Potters will make it three without defeat over the Christmas period. Chelsea have struggled in recent games against the likes of Swansea, West Ham, Southampton and Everton, and Stoke have little to lose in this game. If you fancy them to stay in the game and maybe nick a goal, the 1-1 draw at 14/1 could be tempting.
Morata is 8/11 to score anytime in this one and he should be fresh after a rest just before Christmas thanks to a suspension. The former Real Madrid and Juventus striker reached double figures with his goal against Brighton, which is a decent return at this stage of his debut Premier League season. He’s 13/5 to open the scoring, or 16/1 to add to Chelsea’s list of hat-trick heroes against Stoke.
Ramadan Sobhi is 8/1 to score anytime and make it three in three. The Egyptian forward bagged his first goal for Stoke against West Brom, and followed it up with the leveller at Huddersfield to earn the Potters a point on Boxing Day. He’s unlikely to start but if you think he’ll have another positive impact off the bench to open the scoring, you can get odds of 28/1.
Predicted Score: Chelsea 2 - 0 Stoke
Look out for:
Chelsea to click. While Manchester City look uncatchable, Conte’s men have steadily reeled in neighbours United of late. They’re overdue a big win, and a 4-0 scoreline’s priced at 10/1. Add Morata in as the first scorer and the odds are 25/1, and the same for Hazard to strike first.
Morata to score and Chelsea to win at 10/11. Everything seems to be going great for the Spaniard on and off the pitch at the moment, and he’s been superb leading the line for the Blues so far this season. This is a great way to enhance your odds on the home win.
It’s a long shot, but:
Stoke to win 1-0 at 50/1. Hughes will surely set up his team to frustrate Chelsea, and if the Blues’ big guns have an off day then the Potters could cause an upset. You can get a massive 375/1 on Sobhi to score the only goal and write his name into Stoke folklore.
Written by Matt Law
Matt Law is a European football writer with an interest in betting and gambling. An avid Manchester United supporter, Matt can regularly be found backing away wins in unlikely circumstances, sometimes with big success.