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16/12/2017 Kick Off:  3:00 pm V Stamford Bridge

Away Southampton

Chelsea vs Southampton Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips

In a sentence: The champions welcome the very definition of mid-table stability to Stamford Bridge.

Last time: An entertaining 4-2 win for Chelsea in April, as the Blues closed in on their sixth league title. Hazard, Cahill and Costa (2) scored for Chelsea, whilst their old boy Oriol Romeu got one of Southampton’s goals.

This time: Chelsea are 2/5 to win with Southampton at 19/2 and the draw 43/10.

You might remember: Southampton’s remarkable 3-1 win at Stamford Bridge in October 2015, as the disintegration of Jose Mourinho’s title-winning side was in full flow.

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Betting Tips & Predictions

This has been something of a sticky fixture for Chelsea in recent times. Since Southampton returned to the top flight in 2012, the Blues have only won two of the five meetings at home, with two draws and a Southampton win the other results. Chelsea only scored two more than Saints in total across those games, so we could be in for a close match.

Chelsea are 2/5 to take all three points, a win which would keep Chelsea well-placed in the battle for second in the Premier League. Although catching Manchester City is probably beyond them, there are other big teams snapping at their heels in the quest for a top four finish. This game is part of a run of relatively kind fixtures before they travel to Arsenal in January, so they won’t want to slip up here.

Southampton are 19/2 and that looks a fair price as they have not won any of their past five away matches in the league, and only one of seven this season. There was no shame in losing at Liverpool and Manchester City, but failing to beat Stoke, Brighton and Bournemouth was disappointing for the Saints

The draw is 43/10 and a look at Southampton’s away form suggests it’s a definite possibility. Pellegrino’s side have scored five and conceded nine in their seven away league games in 2017-18. They will look to keep the game tight and frustrate Chelsea, and a low-scoring game will mean there’s potential for a draw to be on the cards.

Alvaro Morata is 7/9 to score anytime and with nine league goals already it’s no wonder he’s the favourite in this market. The Spaniard can be backed at 13/5 to score first and 9/2 to score two or more. It’s worth noting he has actually scored more goals away from home in the Premier League this season, though that will be partially explained by Manchester City, United, and Arsenal all visiting the Bridge already this term.

Charlie Austin is 17/5 to score, and the most likely Saint to bag a goal in the bookies’ opinion. The former QPR striker has only scored five league goals this season, but four of them have been in the last four games, so he’s a man in form. Austin is available at 9/1 to score first, and 22/1 to score at least twice.

Predicted Score: Chelsea 2 - 0 Southampton

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

Under 2.5 goals. There have been under 2.5 goals in 29 of Southampton’s 54 league matches since the start of last season. This can be backed at 6/5, and with Southampton low on goals and looking primarily to defend, it’s on the cards. Chelsea have only scored a modest 13 goals in their eight home league games this season too.

2

We fancy:

Chelsea to win and Hazard to score at 5/4. The Belgian superstar has been superb lately, and scored two goals in the Blues’ last home match. He also takes penalties and Southampton have conceded 10 of them since the start of 2016/17.

3

It’s a long shot, but:

Virgil van Dijk to score at 40/1. The big Dutchman hasn’t got off the mark yet this season, but scored seven goals in his first two seasons on the south coast. With set pieces probably Southampton’s most likely route to goal, a strike by van Dijk can’t be ruled out.

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Written by Andrew Beasley

Andrew Beasley is a self-confessed stats nerd who tries to use facts and figures to his advantage when it comes to betting. Andrew is also a musician and a Liverpool fan who loves Mohamed Salah more by the game.