This has been something of a sticky fixture for Chelsea in recent times. Since Southampton returned to the top flight in 2012, the Blues have only won two of the five meetings at home, with two draws and a Southampton win the other results. Chelsea only scored two more than Saints in total across those games, so we could be in for a close match.
Chelsea are 2/5 to take all three points, a win which would keep Chelsea well-placed in the battle for second in the Premier League. Although catching Manchester City is probably beyond them, there are other big teams snapping at their heels in the quest for a top four finish. This game is part of a run of relatively kind fixtures before they travel to Arsenal in January, so they won’t want to slip up here.
Southampton are 19/2 and that looks a fair price as they have not won any of their past five away matches in the league, and only one of seven this season. There was no shame in losing at Liverpool and Manchester City, but failing to beat Stoke, Brighton and Bournemouth was disappointing for the Saints
The draw is 43/10 and a look at Southampton’s away form suggests it’s a definite possibility. Pellegrino’s side have scored five and conceded nine in their seven away league games in 2017-18. They will look to keep the game tight and frustrate Chelsea, and a low-scoring game will mean there’s potential for a draw to be on the cards.
Alvaro Morata is 7/9 to score anytime and with nine league goals already it’s no wonder he’s the favourite in this market. The Spaniard can be backed at 13/5 to score first and 9/2 to score two or more. It’s worth noting he has actually scored more goals away from home in the Premier League this season, though that will be partially explained by Manchester City, United, and Arsenal all visiting the Bridge already this term.
Charlie Austin is 17/5 to score, and the most likely Saint to bag a goal in the bookies’ opinion. The former QPR striker has only scored five league goals this season, but four of them have been in the last four games, so he’s a man in form. Austin is available at 9/1 to score first, and 22/1 to score at least twice.