Burnley

V

Turf Moor

24/02/2018 | 3:00 pm

Southampton

V

Turf Moor

24/02/2018 | 3:00 pm

In a sentence: Out of form Burnley welcome relegation-threatened Southampton to Turf Moor in a game where both will be desperate for points.

Last time: Burnley took three points from Southampton’s St Mary’s Stadium back in November. A late Sam Vokes goal was enough to seal the win for Sean Dyche’s men.

This time: Burnley are 7/4 for the win with Southampton at 13/8 and the draw at 21/10.

You might remember: A third round FA Cup tie producing a seven goal thriller back in January 2014. Home side Southampton had a two goal half time lead wiped out early in the second period as Burnley brought the game level. However, goals from Jay Rodriquez and Adam Lallana restored the Saints’ two goal advantage as they clung on to win 4-3 after a late Kevin Long goal gave the away side hope.

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Team News

Betting Tips & Predictions

Burnley host Southampton at Turf Moor in the Premier League on Saturday

It is now five draws and five defeats for Burnley in their last 10 Premier League games. After an excellent start to the season, the Clarets have stumbled over the last couple of months and need to start winning if they want to hang onto seventh place. Having picked up a credible draw in their last home game against Manchester City, Burnley will hope to build on that and turn home fortunes around against Southampton.

Mauricio Pellegrino’s Saints have been much improved since the turn of the year, suffering only two defeats in their last 10 matches between the Premier League and FA Cup. However, their recent home defeat to Liverpool saw Southampton slip into the bottom three and they will view a visit to Turf Moor as an ideal opportunity to pick up points.

Home side Burnley are 7/4 for the win and despite being 11 league places higher than their visitors they are not being strongly fancied here. It is with good reason, as the home side currently boast the worst form in the league having not registered a win since December.

Southampton are undefeated on their travels in 2018 and that includes two recent away wins against  rivals West Brom. This form has seen the Saints backed as slight favourites, and they are 13/8 to pick up a priceless win.

The draw is a fairly priced 21/10. Southampton have managed seven goals in their last three away games but Burnley are notoriously difficult to break down and that combination could quite easily see this one end all square.

It is a close run race for first goalscorer with a number of players marked at 11/2 to notch first. For the home side it is Ashley Barnes and Sam Vokes who are favourites, and for Southampton it is recent recruit Guido Carrillo at the top of market.

With a low-scoring game expected it is worth noting that no goalscorer is also at 11/2. Other standout options to grab the first goal are Saints pair Duscan Tadic at 7/1 and James Ward-Prowse at 9/1.

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

James Ward-Prowse. The young Southampton talent is becoming an increasing influence in the team with his quality from set pieces making important contributions in recent weeks. Ward-Prowse is 9/1 to score first or 7/2 at any time.

2

We fancy:

The draw and both teams to score at 15/4. With Burnley’s poor home form and Southampton in buoyant mood a draw looks the safe option.

3

It’s a long shot, but:

Carrillo to score first and Southampton to win 2-1 at 45/1. The Argentinian forward is looking for his first Saints goal after moving from Monaco in January, and this would be a great time to get it.

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Written by Elio Salerno

Elio Salerno is a Peterborough-based family man, Juventus fanatic, football coach and football obsessive. A serial tweeter, Elio counts Alessandro Del Piero’s World Cup 2006 goal against Germany as his favourite in the sport’s history.