Burnley

V

Turf Moor

20/01/2018 | 3:00 pm

Manchester United

V

Turf Moor

20/01/2018 | 3:00 pm

In a sentence: The Premier League’s surprise package in 2017/18 take on the second best side in both the league and Manchester.

Last time: United won 2-0 at Turf Moor in April, thanks to goals by Wayne Rooney and Anthony Martial.

This time: Burnley are 6/1 to win with Manchester United at 7/11 and the draw 3/1.

You might remember: Burnley beating Manchester United in their first ever Premier League campaign. Robbie Blake scored to give the Clarets an unforgettable 1-0 win in 2009.

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Betting Tips & Predictions

Romelu Lukaku netted Manchester United’s third goal against Stoke on Monday night

Manchester United need to keep fighting in the dim hope that their City rivals have a catastrophic meltdown over the next few months. After a brilliant start to 2017/18, Burnley have stumbled a bit in recent weeks as their small squad was tested over the intense festive period. A win here would really kickstart 2018 for them.

Burnley are 6/1 to win the match, and their home form has been pretty decent this season. They have only lost four of their 11 league games at Turf Moor, though three of those were to Arsenal, Spurs and Liverpool. United will obviously provide the Clarets with a similarly stern test.

Manchester United are 7/11 to take all three points, and will expect to do so. Jose Mourinho’s team have been strong on the road this season, and have the third best away record in the Premier League in 2017/18. United have won four and drawn one of their last six league matches away from Old Trafford.

The draw is available at 3/1, and as we can expect a tight game this might be worth a look. Burnley have only scored eight and conceded eight goals at home this season, meaning that Turf Moor has seen comfortably the fewest goals in the top flight in 2017/18. Expect more of the same on Saturday.

Sam Vokes is 17/2 to be the first goal scorer. He hasn’t scored in the league since November, but United have looked weak at defending crosses at times this season, so he may be able to profit with a goal. The Welsh international is available at 15/4 to score at some point during the match.

Romelu Lukaku is 16/5 to open the scoring, and is returning to form. The Belgian striker has bagged five goals in his last ten matches. Based on the quality of chances that he has had he should’ve scored more goals too. Lukaku is priced at 5/4 to score at any time.

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

The card count. In the five meetings since Burnley returned to the top flight, there have been a total of 29 yellow cards and one sending off. These Lancastrian neighbours obviously don’t get along, so there’s a good chance the referee will be busy in this one.

2

We fancy:

Under 2.5 goals, at 3/4. Since the start of 2016/17, Burnley have featured in the fewest Premier League matches that have seen at least three goals. United have only played two more, and as both managers are inherently conservative in their outlook, do not expect there to be a feast of goals in this match.

3

It’s a long shot, but:

Burnley to win 2-0, at 35/1. The Clarets were 2-0 up at Old Trafford when the teams last met, and if they can somehow repeat that trick, they will stand a better chance of keeping United at bay on home turf.

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Written by Andrew Beasley

Andrew Beasley is a self-confessed stats nerd who tries to use facts and figures to his advantage when it comes to betting. Andrew is also a musician and a Liverpool fan who loves Mohamed Salah more by the game.