Burnley vs Manchester City Betting Tips, Preview & Predictions
In a sentence: The Manchester City juggernaut seemingly knows no end but a trip to face a hard-line Burnley will not be the walk in the park it once may have been.
Last time: A Sergio Aguero brace spared City’s blushes as they stole the three points after Dean Marney gave the hosts an early lead during a Premier League game in 2016. Burnley’s solid display was testament to their set up and they will look to frustrate City at Turf Moor once again this weekend.
This time: Burnley are 9/1 to win with Manchester City at 2/7 and the draw 9/2
You might remember: Back before City were bankrolled by billions, the Citizens turned up at Turf Moor in a 1999 League One game and put six past a despondent Clarets side. City went on to finish third that year with Burnley fifteenth.
Burnley's Last Six:
Burnley’s last six: Won: 0 Drawn: 2 Lost: 4
Goalkeeper Tom Heaton, Left-back Stephan Ward and Midfielder Steven Defour are all still out with long term injuries but January window signing Aaron Lennon is once again the frame.
Head Coach Sean Dyche will also have one eye on defender Ben Mee as one more yellow will trigger an automatic suspension.
Manchester City's Last Six:
Manchester City’s last six: Won: 3 Drawn: 0 Lost: 3
Pep Guardiola’s capture of Aymeric Laporte for £57 million from Athletic Bilbao could mean the defender may see some action.
With Mangala having left to join Everton on loan, there is a gap for Laporte to fill. The absence of Leroy Sane and the inability to bring in Riyad Mahrez is Guardiola’s only short-term problem with Aguero likely to continue up front with Gabriel Jesus out until the middle of February.
Burnley have been suffering a dip in form of late that has manager Sean Dyche concerned. The Clarets early season exploits have been somewhat diminished as the harsh realities of the English top flight takes its toll. Not for City however, and with a fifteen-point lead at the top and the Champions League set to restart this month, Guardiola may take this opportunity to bed some players in for the long run in.
Burnely are 9/1 to win the match and at such long odds, it makes them a backable prospect. They have also gotten the better of mega rich City on home soil as recently as 2015 when they claimed a 1-0 win. But with only eight goals at home all season (the worst in the league), the Clarets may need to rely a little heavily on luck to come away with the three points.
Manchester City are 2/7 to win and it is not hard to see why they are such a short price. In 12 away games this season, the Citizens have only failed to win twice and have beaten Burnley in their last four meetings in all competitions. Granted, three of those wins came at the City of Manchester Stadium but with seven wins in their last ten against the Clarets, Guardiola will be more than confident taking another three steps towards the inevitable 2017/18 title.
The draw is 9/2 and you feel Burnley would take that now. However, it will have to be a low scoring draw as the Clarets average just 0.66 goals at home this campaign. The pair have also drawn 23% of all their meetings and with home advantage, Burnley will prove they are no pushovers.
Manchester City to keep a clean sheet is 5/6 and for a side who have conceded just 18 goals all season and look like they have found the problem in Laporte to their previous defensive frailties, it looks a great piece of value. As already mentioned, Burnley also have the worst home goals for statistic in the league meaning a shut out is on the cards.
Sergio Aguero to score anytime is at 4/6 and it seems that when the Argentinian plays, he scores. Manchester City hit their 100th goal in all competitions this season in the 3-0 win over West Brom and Aguero has chipped in with 24 of them having scored in every competition he has played in. In the Premier League he has bagged 17 and with Jesus out, Aguero is the main man set to continue his scoring trail.
Predicted Score: Burnley 0 - 2 Manchester City
Look out for:
Burnley frustrating City early on. The clarets may not be much ‘cop’ up top but their defence is staunch and at a tightly packed Turf Moor, City will find it hard to get into their groove especially as the game is the early kick off.
A draw at half time is 13/8 and that looks tasty, especially when you consider that Burnley have only conceded 22 goals all season, that is just four more than City, a whopping twelve less than Arsenal and the same as Tottenham.
Manchester City are 2/7 to score in the second and although that is relatively short, it is almost money in the bank.
Of City’s eight games in January, they found the back of the net at least once in the second half in seven of those matches.
It’s a long shot, but:
Manchester City to score over 5.5 goals is 20/1 and that could prove to be a steal
In the last 11 meetings between the two, City have scored a whopping 37 times at an average of 3.36 goals per game.
However, more importantly, in two of those games City have struck six twice with both of those times occurring at Turf Moor.
Written by Ian Waterhouse
Ian Waterhouse is a sports, fitness and betting writer with extensive experience in all sectors of the gambling industry. When he’s not trawling through the odds, you’ll probably find Ian on the golf course – probably the bunker!