AC Milan

V

San Siro

22/02/2018 | 8:05 pm

PFC Ludogorets Razgrad

V

San Siro

22/02/2018 | 8:05 pm

In a sentence: The seven time European Champions hold a very comfortable 3-0 lead going into their second-leg of the Europa League Round of 32 against Bulgarian Champions, Ludogorets Razgrad.

Last time: The first time these two teams have met was last week in the first-leg, when Milan won 3-0 away in Bulgaria.

This time: Milan are heavy favourites at 51/100, the draw at 73/20 and Ludogorets are out at 31/5.

You might remember: The last time Milan were in the knock-out stages of a European tournament was back in the 2013-14 season, when they went out of the Champions League in the round of 16 stage.

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Betting Tips & Predictions

Gianluigi Donnarumma should be in for a quiet night in the Milan goal

Milan will look to confirm their place in the Europa League Round of 16 when they welcome Ludogorets to the San Siro in the second-leg, holding a 3-0 victory.

The home side are all but through to the next round but will want a quick start to ensure there can be no shocks. At just over 1/2 there is not much value in them so the way to go would be the half-time/full-time market with Milan/Milan at 13/10 presents a much better price. Gennaro Gattuso will want Milan to win the game early so he can rest players for the weekend’s league game against Roma.

Ludogorets do not look to have much chance here but given the tie is all but done, Milan might not play at full-strength for the whole game.  Given that, the second-leg result could be slightly more competitive and the winning margin to be just 1 goal at 3/1 could be a good way to go in the circumstances.

However, this looks like being a very comfortable night for Milan and the win to nil at 31/20 is a bet that represents value. They won the first-leg to nil away from home and Ludogorets did not look threatening in an attacking sense. Milan have won four of their last six games to nil and have conceded just two goals in those six games.

Ludogorets won only two of their six Europa League group stage matches and won just one of their three away group stage games. Milan are in great form this calendar year and this tie looks to be all but done and even if Ludogorets do pull a goal back, Milan have enough to win this comfortably.

Match Summary

1

Look out for:

Milan to win to nil at 31/20. Should be a very comfortable evening for Milan and they have been very solid defensively of late.

2

We fancy:

Milan/Milan in the half-time/full-time market a 13/10. Milan will want a strong start to kill off any hopes Ludogorets have of getting back into the game and they should be able to see this game out.

3

It’s a long shot, but:

Ludogorets to win, both teams to score at 25/2. If the away side are going to win this game then they will concede given that they will be attacking so much. Milan could make changes and the side could be weakened.

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Written by Marcello Cossali-Francis

Marcello Cossali-Francis considers sport, particularly football and rugby, to be an essential part of life. A half-Italian half-Welsh Liverpool and Juventus fan, Marcello enjoys every high and every low that sport brings.