Best MLS Prediction Markets in 2026: Top Prediction Market Apps for MLS
Mike Goodpaster Last Verified
30/06/2026
Major League Soccer has become a genuine category on US prediction market sites, with match-level contracts running for nearly every fixture across the regular season and playoffs. Polymarket holds an official partnership with MLS, giving it a formal relationship with the league that other sites do not have, while Kalshi and Crypto.com both list MLS matches as part of their broader soccer coverage.
This page covers the best sites for MLS prediction markets, how the contracts work, what markets are available, whether you can trade during a live match, and how to get started.
Best Sites for MLS Prediction Markets
The table below shows the sites with MLS coverage. Mini-reviews of the top three follow, ranked specifically for MLS trading.
| Prediction market site | Welcome offer | MLS coverage | Funding |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Deposit $20 get $50 | Official MLS partner, deepest coverage | USDC (Polygon), MoonPay, ACH |
| Kalshi | $10 bonus | Match-level coverage across the league | ACH, debit card, PayPal, Venmo, crypto |
| Crypto.com | 100% up to $250 | League coverage within broader soccer catalog | ACH, debit card, Apple Pay, Google Pay, crypto |
Polymarket: Best for MLS as an Official League Partner
- Polymarket is live in the USA
- Easy pick-up-and-trade mechanics
- Sign-up rewards may be available
- Beginner-friendly platform
- Dynamic trading topics
- Long wait list to join
- High regulatory scrutiny
- Not all markets are available yet
Polymarket holds an official partnership with MLS, the only formal league relationship of its kind among the sites compared here. That partnership translates into a deeper and more consistent MLS market lineup, with contracts running on most regular-season fixtures and extending through the playoffs. Polymarket's broader strength in soccer liquidity carries over to MLS specifically, and the platform's global user base means MLS markets sometimes attract international soccer traders who would not otherwise be watching the league closely.
New users who deposit $20 or more receive a $50 trading bonus, the strongest welcome offer of the three sites here. The Polymarket iOS app makes it easy to follow MLS fixtures alongside the rest of the platform's soccer catalog, and the community chat feature on each market page adds a layer of fan discussion around individual matches. For traders specifically interested in MLS, the official partnership and deeper liquidity make Polymarket the clear starting point.
Kalshi: Best for Dollar-Based MLS Trading
- Sports, politics, and crypto predictions
- Economics, culture, and climate events
- Optimized Android and iOS apps
- 2% debit card deposit fee
Kalshi lists MLS matches as part of its broader soccer coverage, with contracts available across most fixtures during the regular season. While Kalshi does not have a formal MLS partnership the way Polymarket does, its general approach to soccer, spreading volume across many individual match-level contracts, means MLS games still get their own dedicated markets rather than being an afterthought. Kalshi's compliance-first structure and dollar-native funding make it a comfortable option for US soccer fans who want a more traditional exchange experience.
New users get a $10 bonus after placing $10 in trades with no promo code needed. ACH, debit card, PayPal, and Venmo are all supported, meaning MLS traders who would rather not deal with crypto can get started without any extra steps. The Kalshi app's straightforward design tends to appeal to users coming from a sportsbook background who want a similar level of simplicity.
Crypto.com: Best for MLS Within a Broader Crypto Ecosystem
- Great range of sports predictions
- Simple fee structure
- Stylish website and mobile apps
- Good trade volume for its predictions
- The app is geared towards crypto trading
- No welcome bonus
Crypto.com covers MLS matches through its Predict tab as part of its general soccer offering. For users who already have a Crypto.com account for crypto trading, MLS markets are accessible in the same app without needing a separate sign-up elsewhere. The dual $1 and $10 contract format gives MLS traders some flexibility on position sizing that is not available on every site.
New users who sign up through our link receive a 100% deposit match up to $250, the largest welcome offer on this page. The Crypto.com app holds a 4.7-star rating across more than 320,000 App Store reviews, and Apple Pay and Google Pay are both supported for deposits, which makes it an accessible option for MLS fans who are not already set up with crypto.
How MLS Prediction Market Contracts Work
An MLS contract is a Yes/No question tied to a specific match outcome. A typical question might be "Will LAFC win against the Seattle Sounders?" or "Will the match have over 2.5 total goals?" You pick Yes or No, pay between $0.01 and $0.99 per contract, and receive $1 if correct or $0 if not.
The price reflects the market's collective view of the probability. If a Yes contract on the home team is priced at $0.60, the market is implying a 60% chance of that team winning. As lineups are confirmed and the match unfolds, the price moves continuously, and you can sell your position before the result is final to take an early profit or limit a loss. For a fuller breakdown of how this works, see our guide on how prediction market contracts work.
What Markets Are Covered
MLS contracts go beyond a simple match winner, covering several distinct outcomes for any given fixture or for the season as a whole. For a deeper comparison of how Kalshi and Polymarket differ in market depth across sports generally, see our Kalshi versus Polymarket guide.
Match winner (moneyline)
The standard contract type for every covered fixture, with a separate contract for a draw outcome where applicable. These carry the deepest liquidity of any MLS market type.
Total goals (over/under)
Contracts on whether the combined goals in a match will be over or under a specific total, commonly 2.5. Popular for traders who have a view on how open or defensive a particular matchup is likely to be.
Both teams to score
A binary contract on whether both sides find the net during the match. This is a separate market from total goals and tends to draw its own trading activity, particularly in fixtures with strong attacking reputations on both sides.
Player props
Contracts on individual player performance, including whether a specific player scores or registers an assist. These are more common for marquee players and high-profile matchups, such as derby games or matches involving star designated players.
MLS Cup and playoff futures
Longer-dated contracts on which team wins the MLS Cup, advances through the playoff bracket, or finishes atop a conference standing. These build liquidity throughout the season and tend to see the heaviest activity once the playoff picture becomes clearer late in the year.
Can You Trade Live During an MLS Match?
Yes. MLS markets on the main sites typically remain open and tradable while a match is in progress, not just before kickoff. Prices update continuously as the game unfolds, and a goal or red card can reprice a moneyline or total goals contract within seconds.
Trading during a live MLS match requires quicker decision-making than pre-match trading, since the order book reacts fast to in-game events. The ability to exit a position mid-match is genuinely useful: if you bought a moneyline contract before kickoff and the team you backed goes up a goal early, you can sell at the new, higher price rather than waiting for the final whistle. For more on how this structure differs from a fixed-odds sportsbook product, see our guide on how prediction markets compare to sportsbooks.
How to Trade MLS Prediction Markets
The steps below apply across all three sites covered. The main difference between them is how you fund your account.
- Create and verify your account: Sign up on your chosen site and complete KYC with a government-issued ID. This is required before depositing or trading.
- Fund your account: Kalshi and Crypto.com accept ACH, debit card, and other dollar methods. Polymarket requires USDC, either purchased in-app via MoonPay or transferred from a crypto exchange.
- Find an MLS market: Navigate to the Sports category and filter for soccer, then select MLS or search for a specific team or fixture.
- Read the resolution criteria: Check how the contract defines the outcome, including how the match ending in a draw or going to extra time in playoff fixtures is handled.
- Choose Yes or No and set your size: Enter contracts or a dollar amount. Market orders fill immediately. Limit orders let you set your target price.
- Monitor and manage your position: You can sell at the current market price at any point before the market resolves, including during the match if it remains open.
Tips for Trading MLS Prediction Markets
A few practical habits help when trading MLS specifically, given the league's particular scheduling and competitive structure. For broader guidance on avoiding execution costs in thinner markets, see our guide on what slippage means in prediction markets.
Watch designated player and star availability
MLS rosters often hinge heavily on a small number of high-profile designated players. Confirming whether a key player is starting, rested, or out due to international duty before trading a match can materially change your view on the likely outcome.
Check liquidity before sizing up
MLS markets generally have thinner liquidity than top European leagues or major international tournaments. Checking the order book before placing a large market order helps avoid filling at a worse price than expected, especially for less prominent fixtures.
Pay attention to travel and rest schedules
MLS teams cover significant geographic distances between fixtures, and travel fatigue can be a genuine factor in away form, particularly for midweek games following a long road trip. Factoring this into your view on a match can be a useful edge that is not always reflected immediately in contract pricing.
Use the live market to manage in-game risk
If you have a pre-match position and the game starts moving against you, selling early during the match to limit your loss is often a better choice than holding through to the final result. The ability to exit at any point is one of the structural advantages of trading event contracts over a fixed bet.
The Bottom Line on MLS Prediction Markets
Polymarket is the strongest choice for MLS specifically, backed by an official league partnership and the deepest liquidity of the three sites compared here. Kalshi is a solid alternative for traders who want dollar-based funding and a more traditional exchange feel. Crypto.com rounds out the field with the largest welcome offer and accessible payment methods for users not already in crypto.
MLS is one part of the much wider soccer category these sites cover. For the full picture across leagues and tournaments, see our guide to soccer prediction markets.
MLS Prediction Markets FAQ
Which site is best for MLS prediction markets?
Polymarket is the strongest option for MLS specifically, since it holds an official partnership with the league and generally carries the deepest liquidity. Kalshi and Crypto.com both list MLS matches as part of their broader soccer coverage and are solid alternatives, particularly for traders who prefer dollar-based funding.
Can I trade MLS markets while a match is live?
Yes. Most MLS markets remain open during the match, with prices updating continuously as the game progresses. You can buy or sell a position at any point before the market resolves.
What types of MLS contracts can I trade?
Beyond match winner contracts, you can trade total goals, both teams to score, individual player props, and MLS Cup or playoff futures. Coverage depth on player props and futures tends to be strongest around marquee players and the postseason.
Does Polymarket have an official MLS partnership?
Yes. Polymarket has a formal partnership with MLS, which is the only official league relationship of its kind among the major prediction market sites covered here. This contributes to its deeper and more consistent MLS market lineup.
Do I need to own crypto to trade MLS markets?
Not on every site. Kalshi and Crypto.com use US dollars. Polymarket uses USDC, a dollar-pegged stablecoin, which you can buy with a debit card in-app through MoonPay if you do not already hold crypto.
What is the minimum amount to start trading MLS contracts?
Minimum deposits are $10 at Kalshi and Crypto.com. At Polymarket, MoonPay card deposits have a practical minimum of around $20. Individual contracts can cost as little as $0.01.
Are MLS markets as liquid as major European league markets?
Generally no. MLS markets tend to have thinner order books than top European leagues or major international tournaments, particularly for less prominent fixtures. Checking the order book before placing a large trade is worth doing on MLS contracts specifically.
