Norway vs Senegal Picks, Odds and Best Bets - World Cup 2026
Mike Goodpaster Published 22/06/2026
The 2026 World Cup Group K campaign continues as Portugal face World Cup debutants Uzbekistan at NRG Stadium in Houston. Roberto Martínez's side arrive under real pressure after a flat 1-1 draw with DR Congo left them third in the group and chasing the result they were expected to deliver.
Uzbekistan, beaten 3-1 by Colombia in their historic first World Cup match, must win to keep their slim survival hopes alive. For Portugal, three points would restore order and put a last-16 place back in their own hands ahead of a decisive meeting with Colombia.
Below we break down every key market with the latest prices, our reasoning, and a clear verdict on each.
Moneyline
Sportsbooks make Portugal overwhelming favorites at around -500, with the draw out near +600 and Uzbekistan a long shot at roughly +1400. The talent gap is vast.
Kalshi's prediction market is similarly emphatic, pricing Portugal at 82% to win in 90 minutes, the draw at 13%, and Uzbekistan at just 6%. The Selecção are firmly expected to bounce back.
Portugal carry one of the deepest attacking rosters at the tournament through Bruno Fernandes, Leão and Ronaldo, but their blunt display against DR Congo, just one shot on target, is a genuine flag. Uzbekistan will sit deep, so the value lives in the goals and scorer markets rather than the short straight price, and it pays to compare the current World Cup sign-up offers before backing the favorite.
Verdict: Portugal at -500 is the clear call, with a winning margin or scorer angle the sharper value route than the short straight price.
Over/Under
The total sits at 2.5, and the market is split: Over 2.5 goals is available around +104, with Under 2.5 near -120. Portugal's attacking ceiling and their recent struggles pull the line in opposite directions.
The case for the Over is Portugal's firepower against a defense that shipped three to Colombia, with Uzbekistan having already shown they can score. The case for the Under is Portugal's toothless opener, generating well under one expected goal, but a sharper selection should produce a multi-goal win here.
Verdict: Lean Over 2.5 goals at +104, with Portugal's depth set to break through against a leaky Uzbekistan defense.
Both Teams to Score
Kalshi prices Both Teams to Score Yes at 40¢ and No at 61¢, a firm lean toward No. Sportsbooks agree, with No favored around -150 and Yes out near +120.
The case for Yes leans on Uzbekistan having already scored at this World Cup through Fayzullaev, plus Portugal's occasional defensive lapses. The Uzbeks will commit forward in a must-win game.
The case for No rests on Uzbekistan's limited threat against quality opposition, registering just one shot on target from a forward against Colombia, and Portugal's defensive talent behind Rúben Dias. A Portugal win to nil is firmly in play.
Verdict: A lean to Both Teams to Score No at 61¢ on Kalshi, or -150 at the sportsbooks, with Uzbekistan's limited attack the deciding factor.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
+9
- 20+ sports available for wagering
- Pre-match and in-play betting
- Unique features like live streaming and boosted odds
Bet $10 Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Find out more on bet365's website
- Over 20 sports
- Extensive betting markets
- Live betting feature
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
+6
- Deep market coverage across major U.S. sports and leagues
- Same Game Parlay builder is fast and easy to use
- Live betting interface updates quickly with real-time odds
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
+7
- Bet on 40+ different sports
- Dynamic odds on live, in-play fixtures
- Deposit and bet $5 to receive up to $300 in bonus bets
10 x $100 bet match in FanCash
+3
- 15+ sports categories
- An extensive range of betting markets
- Supports in-play betting and live streaming
First-Half Moneyline
Portugal took an early lead against DR Congo before stalling, and a deep Uzbekistan block could make for another patient opening. Kalshi's first-half market still favors the Selecção, pricing Portugal at 61% to lead at the break, the Tie at 32%, and Uzbekistan at just 8%.
Sportsbooks frame the half similarly, with Portugal to lead at the interval around -160, the First-Half Draw near +200, and Uzbekistan ahead at the break a remote +900. Portugal are favored to be in front by half-time.
Uzbekistan's organization could delay the opener, but Portugal's quality should tell more often than not. Their teenage midfielder João Neves, already a scorer at this tournament, is among the names worth tracking in the best young player markets.
Verdict: Portugal to lead at half-time, priced at 61¢ on Kalshi or around -160 at the sportsbooks, is the play.
Anytime Goalscorer (Top 5 Bets)
Portugal's attackers dominate this market against a deep Uzbekistan defense, with rotation the only real question over who starts. Cristiano Ronaldo, looking to end his drought, headlines the board.
- Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal) - +110: Goalless through three appearances but the designated focal point and penalty taker, Ronaldo is the favorite to break his run against a defense that will struggle to handle his aerial threat in the box.
- Bruno Fernandes (Portugal) - +160: Portugal's most productive player with 29 international goals, the captain arrives late into the box and is the most likely scorer outside of Ronaldo when Portugal chase a big win.
- Gonçalo Ramos (Portugal) - +175: A natural penalty-box finisher pushing to start, Ramos offers a sharper attacking profile and is well placed to convert in a game Portugal should dominate.
- Pedro Neto (Portugal) - +200: Portugal's most creative wide option, who provided their only assist of Matchday 1, Neto carries a real goal threat against a defensive Uzbekistan setup.
- Eldor Shomurodov (Uzbekistan) - +650: Uzbekistan's captain and main striker managed their only shot on target from a forward against Colombia, and is their best longshot to find the net.
Verdict: Cristiano Ronaldo at +110 is the headline anytime goalscorer pick, with Bruno Fernandes at +160 the strongest supporting play.
Injury Report
Portugal arrive with no confirmed absentees, leaving Martínez a deep, fully fit group to choose from, with Rúben Dias back to anchor the defense after sitting out the opener. The bigger question is selection rather than fitness, as the flat DR Congo display may prompt changes across the front line.
Uzbekistan are also without major reported injury concerns and can name their preferred organized setup. Their challenge is the quality gap rather than availability, with captain Shomurodov carrying the attacking burden and Manchester City's Abdukodir Khusanov central to keeping Portugal's forwards quiet.
Weather Forecast
The 1:00 PM ET kickoff at NRG Stadium will be played under the venue's retractable roof, so the Houston summer heat and humidity will not affect conditions on the pitch. A controlled indoor environment is expected.
With a dry, true surface and no weather disruption, Portugal can play their passing game at full tempo and work the channels against a deep block. The controlled conditions tilt further toward the favorites dictating the rhythm across the full 90 minutes.
How to Watch
- Date: Tuesday, June 23, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
- US TV Station: FOX (English) and Telemundo (Spanish), with streaming on Peacock and FOX One
For a closer look at where to back these markets, our rundown of the top-rated sportsbooks compares the best prices and features for the tournament. Back Portugal to win with the Over and Cristiano Ronaldo anytime as the standout plays on the board.