Jordan vs Argentina Picks, Odds and Best Bets - World Cup 2026
Jesse M. Cox Published 25/06/2026
The 2026 World Cup Group J campaign closes with World Cup debutants Jordan facing defending champions Argentina at AT&T Stadium in Dallas. The contrast could hardly be sharper: Argentina have already won the group with a perfect record, while Jordan are eliminated and playing for pride.
Argentina top the group on six points after wins over Algeria and Austria, with Lionel Messi scoring all five of their goals. Jordan, bottom on zero points after two defeats, chase a first World Cup point or goal in what is their final match of a historic maiden campaign.
Below we break down every key market with the latest prices, our reasoning, and a clear verdict on each.
Moneyline
Sportsbooks make Argentina overwhelming favorites at around -500, with the draw out near +650 and Jordan a remote long shot at roughly +1500. The gap in class is enormous.
Kalshi's prediction market is even more emphatic, pricing Argentina at 84% to win in 90 minutes, the draw at 12%, and Jordan at just 6%. There is no realistic path to a Jordan result on the numbers.
Argentina have won five straight without conceding while scoring 15, and even a rotated side carries quality far beyond Jordan's level. The only intrigue is whether Scaloni rests key men with the group already won, so the value lives in the goals and scorer markets rather than the short straight price. The tournament's standout names, Messi chief among them, headline the player-of-the-tournament market.
Verdict: Argentina at -500 is a formality, with a winning margin or scorer angle the only sensible value route.
Over/Under
The total sits at 2.5, with Over 2.5 goals priced around -115 and Under 2.5 out near +130. Argentina's quality is balanced against their likely rotation and reduced motivation.
The case for the Over is Argentina's clinical attack against a Jordan defense that conceded five in two games. The case for the Under is stronger than the matchup suggests, though: with the group secured, Scaloni is likely to rotate and Argentina have little reason to chase goals, pointing to a controlled rather than emphatic win.
Verdict: A lean to Under 2.5 goals at +130, with a rested, unmotivated Argentina likely to control rather than run up the score.
Both Teams to Score
Kalshi prices Both Teams to Score Yes at 37¢ and No at 64¢, a firm lean toward No. Sportsbooks agree, with No heavily favored around -175 and Yes out near +140.
The case for No is strong: Argentina have kept five straight clean sheets, and Jordan, who managed minimal expected goals against comparable opposition, will struggle to find the net. An Argentina win to nil is one of the most backed angles on the card.
The case for Yes leans purely on a rare Jordan moment against a possibly rotated back line. On balance, a Jordan blank is comfortably the more likely outcome.
Verdict: A clear lean to Both Teams to Score No at 64¢ on Kalshi, or -175 at the sportsbooks, with Argentina's clean-sheet run the deciding factor.
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First-Half Moneyline
Even a rotated Argentina should have far too much for Jordan early, though a deep block could delay the opener. Kalshi's first-half market reflects that, pricing Argentina at 65% to lead at the break, the Tie at 34%, and Jordan at just 7%.
Sportsbooks frame the half similarly, with Argentina to lead at the interval around -160, the First-Half Draw near +200, and Jordan ahead at half-time out around +1400. The champions are strongly favored to be in front by half-time.
Jordan's organization could keep it level briefly, but Argentina's quality should tell more often than not. Argentina's clean-sheet run also keeps Emiliano Martínez prominent in the leading goalkeeper bets at the tournament.
Verdict: Argentina to lead at half-time, priced at 65¢ on Kalshi or around -160 at the sportsbooks, is the play.
Anytime Goalscorer (Top 5 Bets)
Argentina's attackers dominate this market, with rotation the only question over who starts. Lionel Messi, scorer of all five Argentina goals so far, headlines the board.
- Lionel Messi (Argentina) - +120: Already the World Cup's all-time leading scorer, Messi has scored all five of Argentina's goals at this tournament and remains the most likely scorer whenever he features, dangerous from open play, set pieces and penalties.
- Lautaro Martínez (Argentina) - +150: Argentina's primary center-forward is a strong option to lead the line and finish, especially if Scaloni rests Messi and leans on his striker.
- Julián Álvarez (Argentina) - +175: A high-energy forward who finds space in behind, Álvarez carries a genuine goal threat and is likely to feature heavily in a rotated side.
- Thiago Almada (Argentina) - +260: A creative option who arrives in the box, Almada is a strong value play if handed a start as Argentina rotate.
- Ali Olwan (Jordan) - +650: Jordan's leading scorer with 29 international goals is their best longshot to find the net and give the debutants something to celebrate.
Verdict: Lionel Messi at +120 is the headline anytime goalscorer pick, with Lautaro Martínez at +150 the strongest supporting play.
Injury Report
Argentina arrive with no significant injury concerns and the luxury of rotation, with the group already won, so Scaloni may rest Messi and other key men ahead of the knockout rounds. Even a changed side built around the likes of Lautaro Martínez, Álvarez and Almada carries quality far beyond Jordan's level.
Jordan have no new injury issues and can field the side that faced Algeria, with Yazeed Abulaila in goal behind a back line that has struggled against quality. Musa Al-Taamari and leading scorer Ali Olwan lead an attack desperate to register a first goal of the tournament.
Weather Forecast
The 9:00 PM ET kickoff at AT&T Stadium will be played under the venue's retractable roof, so the Texas summer heat will not affect conditions on the pitch. A controlled indoor environment is expected.
With a dry, true surface and no weather disruption, Argentina can play their natural passing game at full tempo against a deep Jordan block. The neutral conditions keep the focus squarely on the gap in quality between the sides.
How to Watch
- Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Location: AT&T Stadium, Dallas (Arlington), Texas
- US TV Station: FOX (English) and Telemundo (Spanish), with streaming on Peacock and FOX One
For a closer look at where to back these markets, our rundown of the best soccer betting sites compares the top prices and features for the tournament. Back Argentina to win with the Under and Lionel Messi anytime as the standout plays on the board.