Ivory Coast vs Norway Picks, Odds and Best Bets - World Cup 2026
Jesse M. Cox Published 29/06/2026
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 throws up one of its tightest ties as Ivory Coast face Norway at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Two group runners-up with contrasting identities meet, and one of them will write history by reaching the last 16.
Ivory Coast came through Group E with two clean sheets and the look of a compact, disciplined side, reaching the knockout rounds for the first time in their history. Norway arrived as Group I's great entertainers, scoring freely behind Erling Haaland before resting him and most of their first XI in a dead-rubber 4-1 loss to France.
Below we break down every key market with the latest prices, our reasoning, and a clear verdict on each.
Moneyline
Sportsbooks make Norway narrow favorites at around +100 in 90 minutes, with the draw near +250 and Ivory Coast close behind at roughly +265. On the advancement market, Norway are the side favored to reach the last 16, with Ivory Coast a live underdog.
Kalshi's prediction market reads it as a genuine toss-up, pricing Norway at 49% to win in regulation, the draw at 27%, and Ivory Coast at 26%. There is virtually nothing between the sides.
Norway carry the greater attacking ceiling through Haaland and Ødegaard, both fresh after sitting out the France game, while Ivory Coast bring the better defensive profile, having conceded just twice in the group stage. This profiles as a tight knockout tie that could go to extra time, with Haaland the decisive variable against a disciplined back line. The standout names on show feature in the best young player markets.
Verdict: Norway at +100 is the lean given Haaland's presence, but this is a near pick'em and Ivory Coast are a very live underdog to advance.
Over/Under
The total sits at 2.5, and it is the most evenly priced market on the slate, with Over 2.5 goals and Under 2.5 both near even money. A rested Norway attack against Ivory Coast's scoring record pulls this toward goals.
Both teams have scored in every group game, Norway's first-choice attack is fresh, and Haaland's movement alone manufactures high-quality chances. Ivory Coast's organization could keep it tight, as it did against Ecuador and Curaçao, but a 2-1 type result clearing the total is the most likely script.
Verdict: Lean Over 2.5 goals at even money, with a rested Norway attack and two free-scoring sides pointing to goals.
Both Teams to Score
Kalshi prices Both Teams to Score Yes at 59¢ and No at 42¢, a clear lean toward both finding the net. Sportsbooks agree, with Yes favored around -140 and No out near +115.
The case for Yes is strong: both teams scored in nine of Norway's last ten matches, Ivory Coast have found the net throughout the tournament, and Norway's defense looked vulnerable against Senegal. Both sides carry genuine scoring threat.
The case for No leans on Ivory Coast's two group-stage clean sheets and the chance they smother Norway, but the attacking quality on show makes that less likely. On balance, both teams scoring is the standout read in this tie.
Verdict: A clear lean to Both Teams to Score Yes at 59¢ on Kalshi, or -140 at the sportsbooks, with scoring quality at both ends the deciding factor.
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First-Half Moneyline
A tight knockout tie between evenly matched sides could start cautiously, with Ivory Coast set up to defend deep. Kalshi's first-half market reflects that, pricing the Tie at 41¢, Norway at 38¢, and Ivory Coast at 23¢.
Sportsbooks frame the half similarly, with the First-Half Draw the favorite around +120, Norway to lead at the break near +150, and Ivory Coast ahead at half-time out around +300. A level scoreline at the interval is the most probable single outcome.
Ivory Coast raced into a first-half lead against Germany, so they carry an early threat of their own, but the knockout tension favors a level half. Before backing a side, it pays to compare the latest knockout-round welcome offers to secure the best price.
Verdict: First-Half Draw at 41¢ on Kalshi, or +120 at the sportsbooks, is the play, with a level opening 45 the most likely.
Anytime Goalscorer (Top 5 Bets)
Norway's attackers headline this market, led by the tournament's most clinical finisher, with Ivory Coast's forwards offering value at longer prices.
- Erling Haaland (Norway) - -135: Fresh after resting against France and with four goals already at these finals, the Manchester City striker is comfortably the most likely scorer on the pitch, an elite finisher who needs only a half-chance against even a disciplined Ivory Coast back line.
- Jørgen Strand Larsen (Norway) - +175: Leading the line alongside Haaland, Larsen offers a second physical presence in the box and is a strong supporting scorer option.
- Alexander Sørloth (Norway) - +210: A powerful penalty-box presence in his own right, Sørloth gives Norway another genuine route to a goal whether he starts or comes off the bench.
- Nicolas Pépé (Ivory Coast) - +333: Ivory Coast's top scorer at the tournament with two goals, including a brace against Curaçao, Pépé is their most likely source of a moment in transition and the best value play on the underdog side.
- Evann Guessand (Ivory Coast) - +280: A direct line-leader who stretches defenses, Guessand is a live option to punish any space Norway leave at the back.
Verdict: Erling Haaland at -135 is the headline anytime goalscorer pick, with Nicolas Pépé at +333 the strongest value play for Ivory Coast.
Injury Report
Norway are close to full strength and, crucially, fresh: Ståle Solbakken made around ten changes for the dead-rubber loss to France, resting Haaland, Ødegaard and the rest of his first-choice side. That leaves their key men sharp for the knockout, with no major injury concerns reported.
Ivory Coast welcome back defender Emmanuel Agbadou to the back four after he missed the Curaçao game, strengthening a defense that has been their foundation. The main doubt is Amad Diallo, who was substituted against Curaçao, with Emerse Faé's side otherwise able to call on the depth that has served them well all tournament.
Weather Forecast
The 1:00 PM ET kickoff at AT&T Stadium will be played under the venue's retractable roof, so the Texas summer heat will not affect conditions on the pitch. A controlled indoor environment is expected.
With a dry, true surface and no weather disruption, both teams can play at full tempo, favoring Norway's quick, direct attacking play and Ivory Coast's athletic transitions alike. The neutral conditions keep the focus squarely on the knockout tension and the Haaland-versus-Ivory-Coast-defense battle.
How to Watch
- Date: Tuesday, June 30, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas (Dallas)
- US TV Station: FOX (English) and Telemundo (Spanish), with streaming on Peacock and FOX One
For a closer look at where to back these markets, our rundown of the leading goalkeeper bets highlights the tournament's standout shot-stoppers ahead of the knockouts. Back Norway to advance with the Over, both teams to score, and Erling Haaland anytime as the standout plays on the board.