Our very last Sunday Night Football game of the 2021 regular season is an NFC North grudge match as the 7-8 Minnesota Vikings go to Green Bay to face the 12-3 Packers. Minnesota is in desperate need of a win to keep turn their playoff aspirations into a reality and Green Bay is looking to get revenge for a Week 11 loss as well as lock up the #1 seed in the NFC which comes with a first round bye. Get tips on how to bet the spread, total points, and and props like anytime touchdown scorer below and use our live football odds comparison tool to bet on any NFL game.
All of the major sportsbooks had the Packers as slight 1.5 point favorites when these teams last met during Week 11 in Minnesota. The Vikings won that game on a field goal from Greg Joseph as time expired. The oddsmakers don’t see things being as close this time with the Packers as touchdown favorites. The numbers likely came out this way for a number of reasons. For one the Vikings are without wide receiver Adam Thielen. Add to that the Packers are a tough team to beat at home. They currently have a seven game win streak going at Lambeau field. It’simportant to note the Pack has been one of the best teams against the spread this year and are 11-3 over their last 14 games and 6-1 over their last seven home games.
The Vikings just might be the Packers kryptonite though they are now 2-3-1 during their last six trips to Green Bay. Minnesota has yet to lose a game by more than eight points on the season, could Sunday night’s matchup be their first? My best guess is no. The main reason for this is the beautiful outdoor Green Bay weather that this game will be played in. In all likelihood it will be in single digits and below zero when accounting for wind chill. This type of weather doesn’t make for high flying football, but instead for a ground and pound game. That type of game favors Minnesota and their running back Dalvin Cook.
I still think Green Bay will win this game straight up, but in an exciting matchup the Vikings will cover this spread.
The Vikings have hit the over in 60% of their games this season. The Packers games are averaging 47 points when played at home on the year. Still, the biggest factor to look at here is the weather. Neither team will be able to stretch the field through the air in these conditions. Instead the focus will be on the run as well as short and intermediate passes. All of this will chew through clock and keep this game low scoring. Take the under in the nasty weather and feel good about it.
In five of the last eight games The Lazard king has gotten into the endzone. One main reason for that has been the team is designing short plays for him near the goal line when defenses are keyed in on Davante Adams. I like him to get another score in this one as the Vikings will likely have double coverage on Adams anytime the Pack get in the red zone.
If Minnesota wants to win this game, or even wants to get close, they’ll need a heavy does of Dalvin Cook. The Green Bay run defense is suspect at best, and in these cold temperatures Dalvin Cook has thrived. Look for him to carry the ball plenty and get paid big if you take this parlay for him to get into the endzone twice and the Vikings to cover.
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