January 15, 2022
The Cincinnati Bengals host the Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL’s first Super Wild Card game of the weekend. Read on to get the best tips for betting the spread, total points, and props for this game like anytime touchdown scorer. If you’re interested in betting on this game or any other wild card matchup, check out our NFL live betting odds page where you can live odds for every game and compare them across multiple sportsbook on the same page.
Las Vegas comes in as five point road dogs and will have to come up with a strategy to slow down a Bengals offense that combined for 75 total points in weeks 16 and 17. Many people are pointing to the Raiders four game win streak as a reason they could pull the upset, but I think it’s important to look at the teams that they’ve beaten. Besides barely getting a win vs. the Chargers last week, they beat the Broncos with Drew Lock, the Colts after Carson Wentz hadn’t practiced for a week with Covid, and the Browns who had Nick Mullens at QB.
The last time the Raiders had to a play a playoff caliber squad they were embarrassed 48-9 by the Kansas City Chiefs. It’s also worth pointing out that these two teams have already met earlier this season and the Bengals won easily 32-12. The Raiders have had a season to remember and have proved just about everyone wrong by making it this far. Still, this is where their season is likely to end, take the Bengals to win and cover the five points.
Look to take the over which currently sits at 48.5 points. We know the Bengals are strong on offense, and put up 32 points against the silver and black back in November. While their offense has only gotten better since then, their defense is suspect, primarily against the pass. Therefore I think Derek Carr, along with Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller will be able to do enough to cover this over.
Speaking of Hunter Renfrow, take him as an anytime touchdown scorer at +180 at most sportsbooks. He’s become Derek Carr’s number one option on this offense and he will look to get his seventh TD in seven weeks against the Bengals.
Joe Burrow has come into his own down the stretch of his second NFL season. During Week’s 16 and 17 the LSU product threw for 525 and 446 yards respectively along with four passing TDs in each game. As we mentioned previous this Raiders defense gives up points and yards in chunks when they face playoff caliber teams. Burrow should have no problem having another comfortable outing in his first postseason appearance.