November 27, 2021
NFL Week 12 kicked off on Thanksgiving and was stuffed with a trio of games. The morning game was held in Detroit as the Lions faced the Bears. Detroit lost again to the Bears (16-14), this time by a last second field goal as time expired. The Lions may have lost their only opportunity to win a game this year. They now fall to 0-10-1, while the Bears improve their record to 4-7.
The second game of the day was filled with action. The Raiders won a shootout with the Cowboys beating them 36-33 in overtime. Both QBs threw for over 370 yards. However, the real star of the game was Raiders’ kicker Daniel Carlson, who sank five field goals and went three for three on extra points.
Lastly, the Bills destroyed the Saints 31-6 in New Orleans. Josh Allen started off a bit shaky, but turned it around to end the game with 260 yards with four TDs. TE Knox scored two of those TDs, while RB Breida caught one, and WR Diggs snagged the other. The Saints just couldn’t get it together in any way. Their defense looked winded, Siemian couldn’t get anything done in the air, and the running game averaged a pathetic 1.9 yards per carry.
Read more about the changing odds on all the football matchups this weekend
QB Cam Newton (Panthers) played a surprisingly efficient game leading the Panthers to victory last week over Washington. It is crazy to think about Newton in 2021 playing for the Panthers and being fantasy relevant. However, the Panthers are playing the Dolphins who rank 25th to QBs and 30th to WRs. He still has a TD equity as a rusher himself, while having the explosive Moore and McCaffrey on his team certainly help him get more points from yards after the catch.
RB James Robinson (Jaguars) has been playing injured since Week 8, but finally lost his injury designation for Week 12. The Falcons are 29th in the league against the run, and Robinson is just a good running back. Look for him to bounce back this week with over 75 yards and a TD.
WR Brandon Aiyuk (49ers) is finally out of the doghouse and is receiving playing time and targets. Last week he caught seven passes for 85 yards and a TD. This week he is up against Minnesota’s league worst secondary. Aiyuk is finally worth a DFS pick with confidence.
TE Rob Gronkowski (Buccaneers) came back last week and looked good. This week they are up against the Colts, who have the 27th best defense against TEs. The Buccaneers and Colts should be a shootout, and watch Brady find his favorite target again and again.
The AFC North is in a tight race. All four teams could easily make the playoffs, and these rivalry games will help separate a winner of the division. The 5-4-1 Steelers travel south to Cincinnati to play the 6-4 Bengals. The Bengals may have one of the more underrated defenses in the league. They are 9th best at defending QBs this year and 11th best against WRs (however 3rd best to WRs in the red zone). The Steelers themselves are weak against the run and more so to WRs. The Bengals have a high-octane offense with Mixon leading on the ground and a trio of threats at WR with Chase, Higgins, & Boyd. Look for the Bengals to take the game by a TD and make a play for the Division.
The 5-6 Eagles will play the division rival Giants (who are 3-7 themselves). The Eagles are riding a 2 game winning streak blowing out both the Broncos and the Saints. These two teams have better defenses than the Giants, therefore the Eagles should rack up the points on them as well. The Giants are particularly weak against RBs and TEs, as well as QBs and WRs in the red zone. QB Hurts seems to have found somewhat of a rhythm recently especially with TE Goedert and rookie WR Smith.
Read more about all of the Week 12 games with the Pick’em with Mike Goodpaster and The Grueling Truth.