The Houston Texans enter their Week 9 matchup as
4.5-point road favorites
against the winless Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, November 8, 2026. DraftKings Sportsbook lists Houston at
-218 on the moneyline, with the
spread at -4.5 (-115)
and the
game total at 40.5 points. The Texans are coming off a bye week, while Los Angeles continues to struggle on offense.
The quarterback matchup gives Houston a clear statistical advantage. C.J. Stroud has recorded 1,867 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and just one interception, compared with Justin Herbert's 1,398 yards, five touchdowns and 10 interceptions. With the Chargers sitting at 0-6-1 against the spread, Houston leads our NFL predictions heading into Sunday.
Texans vs Chargers Game Preview
Houston averages 23.6 points and 338.1 total yards per game, ranking 12th and 15th in the NFL, respectively. Los Angeles has struggled to match that production, averaging just 14.1 points and 288.3 yards per game. Herbert's 10 interceptions have also contributed to the Chargers' -6 turnover differential, while Houston holds a much better +3 mark.
Houston RB David Montgomery (groin) is out, while S Reed Blankenship (concussion) missed practice. Chargers DB Deane Leonard (concussion) and LB Daiyan Henley (shoulder) were also absent or limited, while Khalil Mack had a rest day. SoFi Stadium's fixed roof eliminates weather concerns.
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Texans vs Chargers Moneyline Pick
The Houston Texans moneyline at -218 is our selection at DraftKings Sportsbook. Stroud's 11 touchdowns and one interception show better ball security than Herbert, who has thrown 10 interceptions through seven games. Houston also has a scoring advantage, averaging 23.6 points per game against the Chargers' 14.1.
Houston's 21 sacks and +3 turnover differential give it an edge over Los Angeles, which has 12 sacks and a -6 mark. Despite the -218 price, Houston's defensive production supports the pick. These NFL Picks favor the Texans to secure their third win.
Pick: Houston Texans ML (-218 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Against the Spread Pick
Take the Houston Texans -4.5 at -115 with DraftKings Sportsbook. Houston's offensive production gives it a favorable opportunity to create a winning margin, especially against a Chargers team averaging only 14.1 points per game. Los Angeles has also failed to cover the spread in all seven games, recording an 0-6-1 ATS mark.
The 4.5-point spread means Houston must win by at least five points to cash this bet. A three-point victory would fall short, making the margin an important part of this selection. The Texans average 338.1 yards per game, giving them more opportunities to sustain drives and build a lead. Meanwhile, the Chargers have gone two straight games without scoring a touchdown, limiting their ability to recover if they fall behind. This
Statistical analysis of NFL teams
supports backing Houston to cover rather than simply win.
Pick: Houston Texans -4.5 (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
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Texans vs Chargers Game Total Pick
The Under 40.5 is the pick at DraftKings Sportsbook. Los Angeles averages just 14.1 points per game and has gone two straight games without a touchdown.
The Under has hit in six of the Chargers' seven games and their last five home games. Herbert's 10 interceptions and the team's 288.3 yards per game reinforce the lower-scoring outlook. These Trends in NFL team performance support taking the Under, with SoFi Stadium's roof removing weather concerns.
Pick: Under 40.5 (-102 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
How to Watch Texans vs Chargers and Game Info
- Location:
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA.
- Date:
Sunday, November 8, 2026
- Kickoff:
4:05 p.m. ET
- TV:
CBS
- Houston Texans starting quarterback:
C.J. Stroud (TBD, 1,867 yards, 11-1 TD-INT).
- Los Angeles Chargers starting quarterback:
Justin Herbert (TBD, 1,398 yards, 5-10 TD-INT).
- Weather forecast:
Indoors, no weather factor.
Final Takeaways
Houston has the advantage in
quarterback production, scoring efficiency and defensive pressure heading into Week 9. Stroud's 11 touchdowns and one interception give the Texans a better foundation than Herbert's five touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Our NFL predictions favor Houston on the moneyline at -218 (USD) and against the spread at -4.5 (-115, USD), both at DraftKings Sportsbook, while the Under 40.5 (-102, USD) is the preferred total. Bettors reviewing the Statistical analysis of NFL teams should also consider the Chargers' 0-6-1 ATS record and strong Under trends before making their NFL Picks.
All odds as of 2:10 a.m. ET on November 5, 2026. Odds sourced from DraftKings Sportsbook. Check the latest odds and line movement for
Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers
at betting.net before placing your bets.
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