Packers at Buccaneers Predictions, Odds and Betting Picks
Jesse M. Cox Published 02/10/2026
Green Bay is a road favorite against Tampa Bay, with the Packers listed at -185 on the moneyline and -3.5 at BetOnline. The biggest betting factor is Tampa Bay starting rookie Jalon Daniels after Baker Mayfield suffered a dislocated thumb and was ruled out for at least three games.
The total has fallen sharply from its early range and sits at 38.5 at BetOnline. That low number fits a Tampa Bay offense averaging 279.3 yards per game, while Green Bay has scored only 18.7 points per game through three weeks. These NFL Picks focus on Green Bay's quarterback edge and the potential for a controlled scoring pace.
Packers vs Buccaneers Game Preview
Green Bay enters at 1-2 after a 35-14 loss to Atlanta, while Tampa Bay is 0-3 following a 23-16 loss to Minnesota. Jordan Love has completed 52.4% of his passes for 844 yards, 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, while Daniels has only 3 NFL pass attempts and has yet to complete a pass. The Packers average 315.3 yards per game compared with 279.3 for Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay has the bigger QB concern, with Baker Mayfield out and Jalon Daniels making his first NFL start. Green Bay also has line issues, with Aaron Banks and Jacob Monk out and Jager Burton limited. Chris Godwin practiced fully, while Bucky Irving remained limited.
Packers vs Buccaneers Moneyline Pick
Take the Green Bay Packers moneyline at -185 at BetOnline. Love has 844 passing yards and 6 touchdowns through three games, while Tampa Bay is turning to a quarterback with only 3 career NFL attempts. Green Bay also has 7 sacks and 2 interceptions through three games, giving its defense a clear way to pressure Daniels.
The -185 price is high for a road team, but the QB gap makes it playable. Tampa Bay has a -5 turnover differential vs. Green Bay's -2, while Daniels faces a defense with 17 QB hits. The NFL predictions lean Green Bay due to its stronger passing production.
Pick: Green Bay Packers ML (-185 at BetOnline).
Against the Spread Pick
Take the Green Bay Packers -3.5 at -105 at BetOnline. The 3.5-point number sits just above the key number of 3, so Green Bay needs more than a one-score win to cash the ticket. The Packers have scored 18.7 points per game, but Tampa Bay has allowed enough pressure to give Green Bay opportunities for short fields and late separation.
The margin case also comes from Tampa Bay's offensive limits. The Buccaneers average 279.3 yards per game and have allowed 13 sacks, while Green Bay has 7 sacks and 17 quarterback hits. If Daniels struggles, Green Bay can build a lead without scoring heavily. That supports the Trends in NFL team performance behind the spread pick.
Pick: Green Bay Packers -3.5 (-105 at BetOnline).
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Packers vs Buccaneers Game Total Pick
Take the Under 38.5 at -110 at BetOnline. Tampa Bay averages 20.7 points and 279.3 yards per game, while Green Bay averages only 18.7 points and 315.3 yards. The Buccaneers have also converted only 30% of their red-zone opportunities, according to the Week 4 matchup analysis.
Daniels' first NFL start should bring a conservative game plan, while Tampa Bay has already allowed 13 sacks in three games. Green Bay's 7 sacks add another threat to stalled drives, and the forecast calls for temperatures around 91°F with partly sunny to mostly cloudy conditions. With the total already down to 38.5, the Under remains the preferred play for these NFL Picks.
Pick: Under 38.5 (-110 at BetOnline).
How to Watch Packers vs Buccaneers and Game Info
- Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL.
- Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
- Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Green Bay Packers starting quarterback: Jordan Love (1-2, 844 yards, 6-2).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers starting quarterback: Jalon Daniels (0-0, 0 yards, 0-1).
- Weather forecast: 91°F, partly sunny to mostly cloudy, wind direction and speed TBD.
Final Takeaways
Green Bay has the established quarterback and the stronger passing production, while Tampa Bay enters with Daniels. The NFL Picks are Packers ML, Packers -3.5 and Under 38.5. The NFL predictions center on Green Bay's quarterback advantage, while Trends in NFL team performance point to Tampa Bay struggling to generate enough offense for a high-scoring game.
All odds as of 8:28 AM ET on October 2, 2026. Odds sourced from BetOnline. Check the latest odds and line movement for Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers at betting.net before placing your bets.