Jets at Bears Predictions, Odds and Betting Picks
The Chicago Bears are the side to back against the New York Jets in Week 4, with DraftKings Sportsbook listing Chicago -3.5 at -102. The biggest factor is Chicago's rushing attack, which has produced 553 yards at 5.27 yards per carry, while its defense has 7 sacks and 3 interceptions.
Chicago also enters after a 27-7 win over Philadelphia, where Case Keenum threw for 247 yards and 2 touchdowns. The quarterback change adds risk, but these NFL Picks center on Chicago's run game, defensive pressure and turnover margin rather than asking Keenum to carry the offense.
Jets vs Bears Game Preview
The Bears are 2-1 after scoring 31.0 points per game, while the Jets are 1-2 and average 21.3 points. Geno Smith has completed 77 of 102 passes for 783 yards, 4 touchdowns and no interceptions, while Keenum went 24-of-34 for 247 yards and 2 scores in his Week 3 start. Those numbers are central to these NFL predictions because Smith has been efficient, but Chicago has the stronger rushing profile.
Chicago's latest win included 3 takeaways, giving the Bears a +3 turnover differential. The Jets have 8 sacks but 0 interceptions, while Breece Hall is dealing with a thigh injury and Minkah Fitzpatrick is out with a groin injury. Caleb Williams is also out with a hamstring injury, leaving Chicago's quarterback situation as a key part of the Statistical analysis of NFL teams for this matchup.
Jets vs Bears Moneyline Pick
Take the Chicago Bears moneyline at -175 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Chicago has won 2 games by double digits, including Monday's 27-7 win over Philadelphia, and the defense has forced 3 interceptions compared with 0 for New York.
The price is steep, but Chicago's 553 rushing yards give the offense a reliable path without Williams. The Jets are also without Fitzpatrick and could be limited by Hall's injury, which adds pressure to an offense averaging 21.3 points.
Pick: Chicago Bears ML (-175 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Against the Spread Pick
Take Chicago Bears -3.5 at -102 at DraftKings Sportsbook. The key number is 3, and Chicago is laying the half-point above it, so a field-goal win would not cover. Chicago has won its 2 games by 22 and 20 points, giving this spread more room than a simple one-score projection.
D'Andre Swift has 253 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns, while the Bears average 5.27 yards per carry as a team. The Jets have lost their last 2 games by 3 and 7 points, including a 31-24 loss to Detroit, so a late backdoor cover remains a concern. Chicago's +3 turnover differential and 7 sacks provide the margin case behind these NFL predictions.
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Jets vs Bears Game Total Pick
Take Under 43.5 at -118 at DraftKings Sportsbook. The Jets average 21.3 points per game and Chicago allows 23.0, while Chicago's offense has leaned on a rushing attack producing 5.27 yards per carry.
The quarterback situation also supports a lower-scoring script. Keenum posted a 110.8 passer rating against Philadelphia, but Chicago's defense held the Eagles to 7 points and forced 3 takeaways. New York ranks first in time of possession at 34:58, which can shorten the game and reduce total possessions. This Statistical analysis of NFL teams points toward the Under rather than expecting both offenses to reach the mid-20s.
Pick: Under 43.5 (-118 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
How to Watch New York Jets vs Chicago Bears and Game Info
- Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
- Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
- Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- New York Jets starting quarterback: Geno Smith (TBD, 783 yards, 4-0).
- Chicago Bears starting quarterback: Case Keenum (TBD, 247 yards, 2-0).
- Weather forecast: 69°F, TBD sky, TBD wind direction and speed
FOX lists the game for 1:00 p.m. ET at Soldier Field, with FOX carrying the broadcast and FOX One offering the stream.
Final Takeaways
Chicago's rushing production and +3 turnover differential make the Bears the main side across these NFL Picks, while the quarterback change keeps the moneyline price from being a cheap play. The moneyline pick is Bears ML, the spread pick is Bears -3.5, and the total pick is Under 43.5. Bettors using NFL predictions should pay particular attention to the final injury designations for Hall, Fitzpatrick and Chicago's quarterbacks.
All odds as of 3:40 a.m. ET on September 30, 2026. Odds sourced from DraftKings Sportsbook. Check the latest odds and line movement for New York Jets vs Chicago Bears at betting.net before placing your bets.