Falcons at Packers Predictions, Odds and Betting Picks
The Green Bay Packers open as 7.5-point home favorites against the Atlanta Falcons, with the moneyline at -375 and the total at 46.5 points. Green Bay has produced 7 sacks through two games, while Atlanta has only 4 and enters Thursday night with 16 total points scored.
The quarterback situation also shapes this matchup. Michael Penix Jr. is tracking toward his 2026 debut for Atlanta, while Jordan Love has thrown for 532 yards, 4 touchdowns and one interception for Green Bay. These numbers make the Packers-Falcons matchup one of the more straightforward spots on the Week 3 NFL Picks board.
Falcons vs Packers Game Preview
Atlanta enters Week 3 at 0-2, with only 8.0 points per game and 262 total yards per game. Cooper Rush has completed 56.4% of his passes for 229 yards, one touchdown and 4 interceptions, while Bijan Robinson has 155 rushing yards on 37 carries. Green Bay is 1-1 and averages 21.0 points and 309 yards per game, with Love posting 532 passing yards and a 4-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio.
The quarterback picture remains the main lineup issue for Atlanta. Penix is recovering from a knee injury and has been working toward a return, while Tua Tagovailoa is dealing with an oblique injury. Green Bay will be without Jayden Reed and Zach Bako-Bewele, but holds a 7-4 sack edge. Both teams also have only four days of rest.
Falcons vs Packers Moneyline Pick
Take the Green Bay Packers moneyline at -375 at DraftKings. Green Bay has the clear quarterback production edge, with Love at 532 passing yards and 4 touchdowns compared with Rush's 229 yards, one touchdown and 4 interceptions. The Packers also have a 7-4 edge in sacks, which gives their defense a strong matchup against an Atlanta offense averaging only 8.0 points per game.
The price is steep, but Green Bay's home setting and Atlanta's turnover problems support the favorite. The Falcons have a -6 turnover differential, ranked 32nd in the supplied team data, while Green Bay sits at -2.
Pick: Packers ML (-375 at DraftKings).
Against the Spread Pick
Take the Atlanta Falcons +7.5 at -110 at DraftKings. The spread sits above the key number of 7, giving Atlanta some protection if Green Bay wins by exactly one score. The Falcons have also held the ball for 30:48 per game, compared with 26:59 for Green Bay, giving them a path to shorten the game through Robinson and the running attack.
The spread is more important than the outright winner here. Robinson has 155 rushing yards on 37 carries, compared with Lloyd's 57 on 19. Those trends support Atlanta staying within 7.5 points.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
+9
- 20+ sports available for wagering
- Pre-match and in-play betting
- Unique features like live streaming and boosted odds
Bet $10 Get $365 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
Find out more on bet365's website
- Over 20 sports
- Extensive betting markets
- Live betting feature
New Users – Get $250 in Bonus Bets when you wager $5 for 5 days
+6
- Deep market coverage across major U.S. sports and leagues
- Same Game Parlay builder is fast and easy to use
- Live betting interface updates quickly with real-time odds
Falcons vs Packers Game Total Pick
Take the Under 46.5 points at -110 at DraftKings. Atlanta is averaging only 8.0 points per game through two contests, and the Falcons have produced 262 yards per game. Green Bay has allowed 28.0 points per game in the supplied team data, but Atlanta's turnover issues and quarterback uncertainty create a major scoring concern.
The weather also supports a normal offensive environment rather than a wind-driven game. Lambeau Field is forecast to be around 58°F to 60°F with mostly cloudy skies, a 10% rain chance and easterly winds near 6 mph. The stronger case for the Under comes from Atlanta's offense, which has scored only 16 total points through two games, making this a key angle for Expert betting tips for NFL games.
Pick: Under 46.5 (-110 at DraftKings).
How to Watch Falcons vs Packers and Game Info
- Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
- Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- TV: Amazon Prime Video
- Atlanta Falcons starting quarterback: Michael Penix Jr.
- Green Bay Packers starting quarterback: Jordan Love (532 yards, 4-1).
- Weather forecast: 58°F to 60°F, mostly cloudy, wind out of the east at 6 mph.
Final Takeaways
Green Bay has the stronger quarterback numbers, a 7-4 sack edge and home-field advantage, but the 7.5-point spread gives Atlanta room to stay within one score. The NFL Picks are Packers moneyline, Falcons +7.5 and Under 46.5. The main Trends in NFL team performance favor Green Bay straight up, while Atlanta's low scoring rate and rushing volume support the spread and total angles. These Expert betting tips for NFL games put the focus on the matchup price rather than simply backing the home favorite in every market.
All odds as of September 21, 2026 ET. Odds sourced from DraftKings. Check the latest odds and line movement for Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers at betting.net before placing your bets.