Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs Game 3 Predictions, Odds and Betting Picks
Jesse M. Cox Published 08/05/2026
San Antonio completely flipped this series in Game 2 with a dominant 133-95 victory over Minnesota. The Spurs shot 50% from the field, knocked down 41% from deep, and controlled the rebounding battle behind Victor Wembanyama's 19-point, 15-rebound performance. That response changed the betting outlook heading into Game 3.
The Minnesota Timberwolves still have questions surrounding Anthony Edwards' health after his return from a hyperextended knee injury. Edwards has not looked fully explosive through two games, and the Timberwolves are averaging only 99.5 points per game in the series.
Best bets for Timberwolves vs Spurs
- Spread: Spurs -4.5 (-110 at DraftKings). San Antonio dominated every major category in Game 2 and has a clear edge in pace and transition offense. Minnesota struggled badly once the Spurs forced the game into an up-tempo style.
- Player prop: Victor Wembanyama Rebounds Over 13.5 - (-115 at FanDuel). Wembanyama grabbed 15 rebounds in Game 2 and continues to control the paint defensively. Minnesota is averaging just 44.5 rebounds per game in the series.
- Total: Under 217.5 (-110 at BetMGM). The Timberwolves have not scored more than 104 points in this matchup, and playoff intensity usually slows scoring once a series shifts deeper into adjustments.
Timberwolves vs Spurs game preview
The Spurs looked like the more aggressive team from the opening possession in Game 2. Wembanyama and De'Aaron Fox scored San Antonio's first 11 points, and the Spurs quickly built a massive lead by attacking Minnesota in transition. Stephon Castle also stepped up with 21 points, giving San Antonio another scoring option beyond its two stars.
Minnesota never settled offensively. The Timberwolves shot just 29.8% in the first half and missed 13 of their first 15 attempts from 3-point range. Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, and Terrence Shannon Jr. each scored only 12 points, while Edwards remained on limited minutes off the bench.
Game 3 now becomes a major pressure spot for Minnesota. Chris Finch openly admitted the Timberwolves got "punked" in Game 2, and the team needs a much stronger defensive response at home.
Moneyline pick
The Spurs are the moneyline pick for Game 3. San Antonio looked far more comfortable offensively once Fox attacked downhill and Wembanyama became aggressive early in possessions. Minnesota's offense still depends heavily on Edwards creating shots, but his knee injury has clearly impacted his rhythm and explosiveness. The Timberwolves are averaging only 19.5 assists per game in the series, which shows how difficult it has been for them to create consistent ball movement against San Antonio's length.
Pick: Spurs ML - (-165 at DraftKings).
Spread pick
The Spurs -4.5 is the strongest side entering Game 3. San Antonio outworked Minnesota defensively in Game 2 and forced rushed jumpers throughout the night.
The Timberwolves also struggled badly containing San Antonio's speed in transition. Fox pushed the pace repeatedly, while Castle and the Spurs' wings benefited from open looks when Minnesota collapsed into the paint against Wembanyama.
Pick: Spurs -4.5 - (-110 at FanDuel).
Best player props
- Victor Wembanyama - Rebounds Over 13.5 (-115 at FanDuel): Minnesota's poor shooting has created strong rebounding opportunities for Wembanyama throughout the series. He also continues playing heavy playoff minutes.
- De'Aaron Fox - Points Over 22.5 (-110 at DraftKings): Fox looked much more aggressive in Game 2 after struggling in the opener. His speed remains a difficult matchup for Minnesota's perimeter defense.
- Anthony Edwards - Points Under 24.5 (-120 at BetMGM): Edwards scored only 12pts in Game 2 and still appears limited physically. San Antonio has consistently trapped him and forced the ball out of his hands.
- Stephon Castle Points - Over 16.5 (-105 at Caesars Sportsbook): Castle's confidence continues growing in this playoff run, and Minnesota has struggled containing secondary scorers around Wembanyama and Fox.
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Same game parlay for Timberwolves vs Spurs
This parlay builds around San Antonio continuing to control pace and force Minnesota into half-court offense. The Spurs' transition attack and defensive pressure directly support the total staying lower as well.
- Leg 1: Spurs Moneyline. San Antonio has been the more complete team through two games.
- Leg 2: Victor Wembanyama Over 13.5 Rebounds. Minnesota's shooting struggles continue creating rebound chances.
- Leg 3: Under 217.5 Total Points. Minnesota's offense has not found consistent rhythm in this series.
Game total pick
The Under 217.5 stands out because Minnesota's offense still looks uncomfortable against San Antonio's defensive length. The Timberwolves scored only 95 points in Game 2 and have struggled generating clean perimeter looks throughout the series.
San Antonio plays faster with Fox leading the attack, but the Spurs also defend at a high level when Wembanyama protects the rim. Minnesota's poor shooting and slower half-court possessions should keep scoring stretches limited.
Pick: Under 217.5 - (-110 at BetMGM).
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Final takeaways
San Antonio carries the momentum into Game 3 after one of the most dominant wins of the postseason. Wembanyama continues controlling both ends of the floor, while Minnesota still searches for offensive consistency with Edwards recovering from injury. Spurs -4.5 and Wembanyama rebounds Over 13.5 remain the strongest plays for this matchup.
Check the latest odds and line movement for Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs at betting.net matchup odds page before placing your bets. All odds as of 9:00 PM ET on May 7, 2026. Odds sourced from DraftKings.