Thunder at Spurs Game 4 Predictions, Odds and Betting Picks
David Genge Published 23/05/2026
The Oklahoma City Thunder took control of the Western Conference Finals with a 123-108 win in Game 3, led by a major edge in depth. Oklahoma City's bench outscored San Antonio's reserves 76-23, reinforcing how hard they are to contain over a full 48 minutes.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander still controlled the game with 26 points and 12 assists after OKC erased a 15-0 start. San Antonio Spurs has the best star in Victor Wembanyama, but needs more support around him for Game 4.
Best Bets for Thunder vs Spurs
- Player Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 9.5 Assists (-115 at DraftKings). He is averaging 11 assists in the series and San Antonio keeps trapping him aggressively.
- Spread: Thunder -5.5 (-110 at FanDuel). OKC has won two straight games by double digits and continues dominating the bench matchup.
- Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama Under 13.5 Rebounds (-105 at BetMGM). He had only four rebounds in Game 3 as Oklahoma City controlled the glass.
Thunder vs Spurs Game Preview
Oklahoma City is controlling the series with defense and depth. Jared McCain scored 24 points in Game 3, and Caruso plus Wallace added five steals. Even without Jalen Williams at full strength, OKC keeps getting scoring from multiple lineups.
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San Antonio still relies on Victor Wembanyama, who averages 29.3 points and 15 rebounds, but OKC has limited him on the glass. He dropped from 24 rebounds in Game 1 to just four in Game 3. De'Aaron Fox looked limited after his ankle injury, and the Spurs faded late against OKC's deeper rotation.
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Moneyline Pick
The Thunder moneyline is the safest side for Game 4. Oklahoma City has handled pressure all postseason and controls the non-Wembanyama minutes by a wide margin. OKC also has the more reliable late-game offense. Gilgeous-Alexander has 33 assists and seven turnovers in the series, and the bench keeps building separation late. San Antonio needs a near-perfect Wembanyama game to keep pace.
Pick: Thunder ML - (-210 at DraftKings).
Spread Pick
The Thunder -5.5 is the strongest full-game side. Oklahoma City has won the last two games by a combined 30 points and keeps forcing San Antonio into tough half-court possessions. The injury situation also favors OKC. Fox is still dealing with ankle soreness, while Jalen Williams may return in a limited role after missing Game 3 with a hamstring issue. Even if Williams is limited, the Thunder bench has consistently outplayed San Antonio's second unit.
Pick: Thunder -5.5 - (-110 at FanDuel).
Best Player Props
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists Over 9.5 - (-115 at DraftKings). San Antonio's traps are forcing the ball out of his hands, but that is leading directly to assists. He has recorded at least 10 assists in every game of the series.
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds Under 13.5 - (-105 at BetMGM). Oklahoma City has become more physical on the glass since Game 1. Hartenstein and Jaylin Williams are boxing Wembanyama out effectively and limiting offensive rebounds.
- Jared McCain: Points Over 13.5 - (-110 at Caesars). McCain has become a major scoring piece off the bench, especially with Jalen Williams battling a hamstring injury. He scored 24pts in Game 3 and attacked San Antonio's second unit all night.
- De'Aaron Fox Assists Under 6.5 - (-120 at FanDuel). Fox had seven assists Friday, but his mobility still looked limited. Oklahoma City's perimeter defense with Wallace and Caruso continues making life difficult for opposing guards.
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Same Game Parlay for Thunder vs Spurs
This parlay builds around Oklahoma City's depth taking over again in the second half. Gilgeous-Alexander's passing and San Antonio's rebounding issues both fit the same game script if the Thunder control tempo.
- Leg 1: Thunder -5.5. Oklahoma City continues winning the bench battle by a huge margin.
- Leg 2: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 9.5 Assists. The Spurs are forcing him into facilitator mode.
- Leg 3: Victor Wembanyama Under 13.5 Rebounds. OKC's frontcourt has adjusted physically since Game 1.
- Leg 4: Under 228.5. The Thunder defense has slowed the pace over the last two games.
Game Total Pick
Under 228.5 is the best total. Oklahoma City has tightened defensively after allowing 122 points in Game 1, while San Antonio struggles offensively when Wembanyama sits.
Fatigue is also an issue in Game 4. Wembanyama has logged 125 minutes in the series, and De'Aaron Fox is still managing ankle pain after his return on Friday. OKC's transition defense continues to limit easy scoring looks. San Antonio's bench has also fallen flat, scoring just 23 points in Game 3. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City keeps getting steady production from McCain, Wallace, and Caruso.
Pick: Under 228.5 (-110 at BetMGM).
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Best Trades for Thunder vs Spurs
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Over 9.5 Assists - (-115 at DraftKings). Gilgeous-Alexander is posting 11 assists per game in the series as San Antonio keeps sending double teams at him above the three-point line. OKC's spacing with shooters and cutters is breaking those coverages consistently.
- Thunder -5.5: (-110 at FanDuel). Oklahoma City has covered two straight games and holds a 183-64 bench scoring edge in the series. The Thunder also close games stronger, while San Antonio leans heavily on Wembanyama late.
- Under 228.5: (-110 at BetMGM). The Thunder defense has adjusted well after Game 1, limiting Wembanyama's paint scoring over the last two games. San Antonio's bench scoring problems also create long offensive droughts.
Final Takeaways
The Thunder have the deeper rotation, the healthier overall roster, and the better late-game execution entering Game 4. Oklahoma City against the spread, Gilgeous-Alexander's assist prop, and the game under remain the strongest betting angles based on how this series has developed.
Check the latest odds and line movement for Thunder vs Spurs at betting.net before placing your bets. All odds as of 3:00 PM ET on May 23, 2026. Odds sourced from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars.