Spurs at Timberwolves Game 4 Predictions, Odds and Betting Picks
David Genge Published 10/05/2026
The San Antonio Spurs lead this series 2-1 after taking Game 3 in a tight 115-108 win on the road. Minnesota Timberwolves return home for Game 4 at Target Center, needing a response after allowing 116.7 points per game in the series. The Spurs opened as 4.5-point favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the total set at 217, signaling another high-scoring playoff game.
Best Bets for Spurs vs Timberwolves
- Player Prop: Anthony Edwards Over 31.5 Points + Rebounds - (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook). Edwards had 32 points and 14 rebounds in Game 3 in over 40 minutes. He has hit this line in two of three games and leads Minnesota in usage.
- Spread: Spurs -4.5 (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook). San Antonio has outscored Minnesota by double digits in both wins, including a 133-95 Game 2 blowout. Wembanyama's 15-rebounds per game have also shut down Minnesota's second-chance scoring.
- Game Total: Over 217 (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook). Games 1 and 3 both finished with 223+ total points, and neither defense has handled isolation scoring well. Minnesota's heavy reliance on Anthony Edwards also keeps the pace high.
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Spurs vs Timberwolves Game Preview
San Antonio enters Game 4 with momentum after winning two straight and averaging 26.3 assists per game in the series. That ball movement keeps generating clean looks at the rim, especially when Wembanyama draws double teams inside. Minnesota has leaned heavily on Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 20.7 points, 6.7 rebounds, and over 40mins per game in the series. Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels have been inconsistent, forcing more isolation-heavy possessions late in the shot clock.
The betting angle is built on interior control and fatigue. San Antonio is winning the rebounding battle at 50.0 per game, and those extra possessions have consistently decided late-game stretches.
Moneyline Pick
The Spurs take Game 4 behind their size and interior defense. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 23 points and 15 rebounds in the series, and Minnesota still has no answer for his rim protection after a five-block Game 3. Minnesota has been better at home but has still allowed over 115 points in two of three games. San Antonio's interior scoring and ball movement give them the edge in another close finish.
Pick: Spurs ML (-180 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Spread Pick
San Antonio covers the -4.5 spread in Game 4. The Spurs have won two games in this series by a combined 37 points, including a 38-point blowout in Game 2. Wembanyama's inside-out scoring continues to overwhelm Minnesota's defense. Minnesota's offense runs heavily through Anthony Edwards. That workload makes it harder for the Timberwolves to stay consistent across four quarters.
Pick: Spurs -4.5 - (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Best Player Props
- Anthony Edwards - Points + Rebounds: Over 31.5 (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook): Edwards has produced 46 combined points and rebounds in Game 3 alone and remains the focal point of Minnesota's offense. His usage rate stays above 30 percent in every game this series.
- Victor Wembanyama - Points + Rebounds: Over 38.5 (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook): Wembanyama followed a 39-point, 15-rebound performance in Game 3 with strong efficiency in the paint. Minnesota lacks a consistent interior defender to slow his second-chance production.
- Anthony Edwards - Over 27.5 Points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook): He has scored 32 or more points in 2 of 3 games and continues to average over 25 shot attempts per contest. His scoring floor remains high due to Minnesota's offensive reliance.
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Same Game Parlay for Spurs vs Timberwolves
- Leg 1: Anthony Edwards. Heavy usage keeps his volume steady even in losses.
- Leg 2: Spurs -4.5. San Antonio's size advantage drives consistent scoring separation.
- Leg 3: Over 217. Both teams have cleared 110 points multiple times in the series.
Game Total Pick
The total sits at 217, and the Over is the stronger side based on scoring trends. San Antonio is averaging 116.7 points in the series, while Minnesota is allowing 115+ per game. Minnesota has also hit the Over in four of its last six meetings with San Antonio, fueled by high-usage scoring from Edwards and defensive breakdowns in rotation coverage.
Pick: Over 217: (-110 at DraftKings).
Final Takeaways
The San Antonio holds the edge through Wembanyama's dominance and better ball movement. Minnesota relies heavily on Anthony Edwards to carry the offense. That imbalance has shaped the first three games.
The strongest betting positions remain Spurs -4.5 and Edwards' points plus rebounds. Both are driven by usage rates and matchup pressure. Game 4 projects as another high-possession contest controlled in the paint. Check the latest odds and line movement for Spurs vs Timberwolves at betting.net before placing your bets.