The betting market has shifted heavily toward the San Antonio Spurs despite the New York Knicks holding a 3-1 series lead. DraftKings Sportsbook opened the Spurs as 5.5-point favorites after the Knicks completed the largest comeback in NBA Finals history in Game 4.
The key question for bettors is whether
San Antonio can recover
from blowing a 29-point lead. New York has found a reliable offensive answer by repeatedly forcing Victor Wembanyama into ball-screen actions against Jalen Brunson, a matchup that produced 1.48 points per possession in Game 4.
Best Bets for Knicks vs Spurs
- Spread:
Knicks +5.5 (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook). Three of the four Finals games have been decided by six points or fewer. New York continues to generate quality offense through
Brunson-led pick-and-roll actions.
- Player Prop:
Jalen Brunson Points Over 28.5 (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook). Brunson is averaging 29.5 points per game in the Finals and scored repeatedly against San Antonio's defensive adjustments in Game 4.
- Total:
Under 216.5 Total Points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook). The first four games have averaged just 212 combined points, well below both teams' regular-season scoring averages.
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Knicks vs Spurs Game Preview
New York heads into Game 5 with a chance to clinch the NBA championship after pulling off the biggest comeback in Finals history. The Knicks trailed by 29 points in the second half of Game 4 before storming back behind Brunson, who is putting up 29.5 points and 5.0 assists per game in the Finals.

#2 SPURS at #3 KNICKS | NBA FINALS GAME 4 HIGHLIGHTS | June 10, 2026
San Antonio trails 3-1 but has remained competitive throughout the series. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 27.8 points and 10.5 rebounds, though the Spurs have struggled to close out games late. A key adjustment has been New York's use of Brunson in pick-and-roll situations against Wembanyama. The Knicks scored 34 points on 23 such possessions in Game 4, nearly doubling their efficiency from earlier games in the series.
Moneyline Pick
The Knicks moneyline is the value side in Game 5. New York has already won twice in San Antonio during this series and has the best closer on the floor. Brunson has consistently created advantages against every Spurs coverage, and OG Anunoby has become a major secondary scorer after hitting seven three-pointers in Game 4.
San Antonio is facing elimination pressure after blowing a 29-point lead. Wembanyama played 44 minutes in Game 4 and appeared to wear down late as the Knicks erased the deficit.
Pick:
Knicks ML - (+180 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Spread Pick
The Knicks +5.5 is the strongest side available. The Spurs may win Game 5, but asking them to win by six or more points is a different challenge. New York has covered this number in every game of the series, and Brunson's ability to attack switches keeps the Knicks competitive even when they fall behind early.
Pick:
Knicks +5.5 - (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Best Player Props
- Jalen Brunson: Points Over 28.5 - (-115 at DraftKings).
Brunson leads the Finals with 29.5 points per game and has become the focal point of every New York possession late in games.
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds Over 10.5 - (-110 at DraftKings).
Wembanyama is averaging 10.5 rebounds in the series and should approach 42-plus minutes in an elimination game.
- OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made Over 2.5 - (+110 at DraftKings).
Anunoby is 12-for-19 on corner threes in the Finals and has benefited from the extra defensive attention Brunson receives.
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Same Game Parlay for Knicks vs Spurs
This parlay is built around another close game. If Brunson continues winning his matchup against San Antonio's defense, New York should remain within striking distance throughout four quarters.
- Leg 1:
Knicks +5.5. The Knicks have consistently outperformed market expectations in this series.
- Leg 2:
Jalen Brunson
Over 28.5 Points. He is averaging 29.5 points and handling the ball on nearly every critical possession.
- Leg 3:
Under 216.5 Total Points. The Finals have averaged 212 total points through four games.
Game Total Pick
Under 216.5 is the best total on the board. The Knicks averaged 117.1 points per game during the regular season, while the Spurs averaged 113.4. In the Finals, those numbers have dropped to 107.0 and 105.0. Defensive intensity has increased dramatically, and every possession has become more deliberate.
The series average of 212 total points supports the Under. Elimination games also tend to feature shorter rotations and longer half-court possessions, which slows scoring opportunities.
Pick:
Under 216.5 (-110 at DraftKings).
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Best Trades for Knicks vs Spurs
Prediction markets continue to favor San Antonio because of home court, but several contracts offer value based on how competitive this series has been.
- Game Winner Contract:
YES on Knicks Win at 33¢ on Polymarket. The Knicks have won three of four games in the series, yet the market still prices them as a significant underdog.
- Spread Contract:
YES on Knicks +6.5 at 51¢ on Polymarket. This series has been tightly contested, with three of the four games ending within six points.
- Total Points Over 215.5 Contract:
NO at 48¢ on Polymarket. The series average sits at 212 points, below the current threshold.
Final Takeaways
The strongest angle remains New York plus the points. Brunson has become the most reliable offensive player in the series, and the Knicks have finally found a consistent way to attack Wembanyama in space. San Antonio still has the talent to force a Game 6, but the spread gives enough room with a team that has already won three times in four games. Expect another tight contest rather than a comfortable Spurs victory.
All odds as of 10:00 AM ET on June 13, 2026. Odds sourced from DraftKings Sportsbook. Check the
latest odds and line movement
for Spurs vs Knicks at betting.net
before placing your bets.
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