Yankees at Orioles Predictions, Odds and Betting Picks
David Genge Published 18/08/2026
The Yankees are the side to back at -117 on DraftKings, with Carlos Rodón returning from the injured list to face Shane Baz. Rodón owns a 3.30 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 46.1 innings, while Baltimore enters at 61-64 after a 7-6 loss to Tampa Bay.
The biggest concern for New York is its depleted lineup. Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger and Giancarlo Stanton remain unavailable, while Max Fried was just placed on the injured list with a left elbow bone bruise. Still, Rodón's return gives the Yankees the stronger starting-pitching setup.
Yankees vs Orioles Game Preview
The Yankees enter this matchup at 69-55 and recently beat Toronto 4-3 on August 16. Baltimore is 61-64 and lost 7-6 to Tampa Bay on August 17 after the Orioles surrendered a late lead. The teams now meet at Oriole Park at Camden Yards for the first game of a three-game series.
Orioles vs. Yankees Game Highlights (9/26/25) | MLB Highlights
Rodón makes his return after spending time on the 15-day injured list with left elbow inflammation. His 3.30 ERA and 52 strikeouts across 46.1 innings give New York a clear starting-pitching advantage over Baz, who is 4-12 with a 4.00 ERA and 122 strikeouts.
Both lineups enter with major injury absences. New York is without Judge, Bellinger and Stanton, while Baltimore has Samuel Basallo and Blaze Alexander on the injured list, along with several pitchers. The game also follows Baltimore's August 17 road loss at Tampa Bay, while the Yankees had August 17 off before traveling to Baltimore.
Moneyline Pick
The Yankees ML is the pick at -117. Rodón brings a 3.30 ERA into his return, compared with Baz's 4.00 ERA and 4-12 record, giving New York the better starting-pitching profile at a modest favorite price.
New York also has the stronger overall record at 69-55 compared with Baltimore's 61-64 mark. The Yankees' missing hitters keep the price from being larger, but Rodón's return provides enough pitching support to back New York on the moneyline.
Pick: Yankees ML (-117 at DraftKings).
Run Line Pick
The Yankees -1.5 is the preferred run line at +143. New York has the better starter on the mound with Rodón carrying a 3.30 ERA, while Baltimore's Baz has a 4.00 ERA and a 4-12 record.
The +143 price gives the Yankees a better payout than the moneyline, but the 1.5-run margin adds risk because New York is missing Judge, Bellinger and Stanton. The moneyline remains the safer position, but the run line is the stronger price-based play.
Pick: Yankees -1.5 (+143 at DraftKings).
Best Player Prop
- Carlos Rodón. Rodón has recorded 52 strikeouts in 46.1 innings this season, an average of more than one strikeout per inning. The matchup with Baltimore also gives the returning left-hander a chance to build on the strikeout rate he showed before his elbow injury.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
+9
- 20+ sports available for wagering
- Pre-match and in-play betting
- Unique features like live streaming and boosted odds
Bet $10 Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Find out more on bet365's website
- Over 20 sports
- Extensive betting markets
- Live betting feature
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
+6
- Deep market coverage across major U.S. sports and leagues
- Same Game Parlay builder is fast and easy to use
- Live betting interface updates quickly with real-time odds
Game Total Pick
The Under 8.5 is the pick. Rodón enters with a 3.30 ERA, while Baz has a 4.00 ERA, giving this matchup two starters with ERAs below the 4.50 range. The Yankees also enter without Judge, Bellinger and Stanton, removing three significant bats from an already injury-hit lineup.
The weather is expected to be dry with temperatures in the mid to upper 80s at first pitch and cooling into the low 80s. That does not create a major weather-based scoring boost, and Baltimore's lineup also has Basallo and Alexander unavailable.
Pick: Under 8.5 (+101 at DraftKings).
Best Trades for Yankees vs Orioles
Prediction markets give this game a much tighter outlook than the DraftKings moneyline. Polymarket prices the Yankees at 52 cents and the Orioles at 49 cents, while the Over 8.5 sits at 53 cents. The strongest market angle is to favor the side supported by Rodón's 3.30 ERA without paying a large probability premium.
- Yankees game winner: YES at 52¢ on Polymarket. New York's 69-55 record and Rodón's 3.30 ERA provide the clearest statistical support for the Yankees side, while Baltimore enters after a 7-6 loss to Tampa Bay.
- Orioles +1.5 runs: YES at 61¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore gets the standard 1.5-run cushion at a 61-cent share price, which protects against a one-run Yankees victory. Baz's 4.00 ERA keeps Baltimore within the range of a competitive home game.
- Game total Over 8.5 runs: YES at 53¢ on Polymarket. The market gives the Over a narrow probability edge, but the 8.5 threshold faces two starters with ERAs of 3.30 and 4.00 and a Yankees lineup missing Judge, Bellinger and Stanton.
How to Watch Yankees vs Orioles and Game Info
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
- First pitch: 6:35 p.m. ET
- TV: MASN, YES
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (4-2, 3.30 ERA).
- Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz (4-12, 4.00 ERA).
- Weather forecast: Mid to upper 80s, mixture of clouds and sunshine, wind direction and speed TBD.
Final Takeaways
The Yankees are the preferred side because Rodón gives New York the strongest starting-pitching edge in this matchup. His 3.30 ERA compares favorably with Baz's 4.00 ERA, and New York is priced at only -117 despite holding a 69-55 record. The lineup injuries make the -1.5 run line less secure, so the moneyline is the cleanest choice, while the Under 8.5 fits the pitching matchup and New York's missing power.
Check the latest odds and line movement for Yankees vs Orioles at betting.net before placing your bets. All odds as of 2:43 a.m. ET on August 18, 2026. Odds sourced from DraftKings.