The Dodgers enter Saturday's matchup with a clear edge on the mound as Yoshinobu Yamamoto brings a 2.78 ERA into Citi Field against New York rookie right-hander McLean. Los Angeles also opened as a road favorite between -145 and -155 at DraftKings, reflecting the gap between the two clubs.
The Mets also have to monitor Juan Soto's recurring left calf soreness after another setback, while ideal weather conditions at Citi Field remove any concern about rain or strong winds affecting play. That keeps the focus squarely on the starting pitching matchup.
Dodgers vs Mets Game Preview
Los Angeles comes into this game at 66-38 and continues to get elite production from its rotation. Yamamoto has posted a 10-6 record with a 2.78 ERA and 113 strikeouts, giving the Dodgers another reliable starter in a rotation that has consistently limited opposing lineups.
DODGERS vs. METS: Official Full Game Highlights (July 24) | 2026 MLB Season
New York enters at 43-61 with McLean taking the ball after producing a solid 7-6 record, a 3.34 ERA, and 135 strikeouts. The Mets' lineup could also be shorthanded after Juan Soto exited with recurring left calf soreness and is scheduled to undergo an MRI, creating uncertainty in the middle of the batting order.
Bullpen availability also favors Los Angeles despite Blake Treinen remaining on the injured list. The Mets continue to deal with multiple pitching injuries, including Clay Holmes and Dedniel Núñez, while clear skies, temperatures in the upper 70s, and light winds of 6 to 11 mph should provide ideal playing conditions.
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Moneyline Pick
The Dodgers are the moneyline pick. Yamamoto has been one of the National League's most dependable starters with a 2.78 ERA, while Los Angeles owns a significant overall record advantage entering the matchup.
McLean has pitched well, but the Mets face added pressure if Soto is unavailable or limited after aggravating his left calf. Los Angeles also has the deeper lineup and arrives with fewer questions surrounding its everyday roster.
Pick:
Dodgers ML (-154 at DraftKings).
Run Line Pick
The Dodgers -1.5 is the preferred run line. Los Angeles owns the stronger offense and sends an ace to the mound, creating a good opportunity to separate if Yamamoto works deep into the game. With the Mets potentially missing Soto's production and several bullpen arms unavailable, the Dodgers have multiple paths to winning by two or more runs.
Los Angeles also has the lineup depth to capitalize late. Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman continue to anchor one of baseball's most productive offenses, and that becomes even more valuable against a Mets bullpen missing key contributors such as Dedniel Núñez and Austin Warren. If Yamamoto delivers another quality start, the Dodgers are well positioned to extend a lead and cover the run line.
Pick:
Dodgers -1.5 (+105 at DraftKings).
Best Player Prop
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-115 at DraftKings).
Yamamoto has recorded 113 strikeouts this season while averaging well over a strikeout per inning. The Mets have struggled against high-end right-handed pitching, and his swing-and-miss splitter gives him a strong chance to clear this number.
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Game Total Pick
Under 9 is the best total for this matchup. Yamamoto's 2.78 ERA sets the tone, while McLean has also been effective with a 3.34 ERA and 135 strikeouts. Both starters have consistently limited hard contact, making long scoring stretches less likely.
Weather should not inflate scoring with temperatures around 76 to 78 degrees, light winds between 6 and 11 mph, and no rain expected. Soto's calf injury also reduces some of New York's offensive ceiling if he is unavailable or limited.
The Dodgers' bullpen also gives Los Angeles another advantage if Yamamoto exits with a lead after six or seven innings. On the other side, the Mets continue to manage injuries to their pitching staff, including Clay Holmes, Dedniel Núñez, and Austin Warren, reducing their late-game depth. If both starters perform as expected, the relief matchup further supports a game that stays below the total.
Pick:
Under 9 (-115 at DraftKings).
Best Trades for Dodgers vs Mets
Prediction markets continue
to price the Dodgers as the favourite, but several contracts present attractive trading opportunities based on the pitching matchup and current roster news.
- Game Winner:
YES, Dodgers at 60¢ on Polymarket. Yamamoto's 2.78 ERA and the Dodgers' overall roster depth support the market's current probability.
- Will there be a run in the first inning?:
NO at 57¢ on Polymarket. Both starting pitchers have delivered strong seasons, making an early scoreless inning the higher probability outcome.
- Game Total Under 7.5:
NO at 48¢ on Polymarket. McLean and Yamamoto both miss bats consistently, giving this contract value if the game develops into a pitchers' duel.
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How to Watch Dodgers vs Mets and Game Info
- Location:
Citi Field, Flushing, NY
- Date:
Saturday, July 25, 2026
- First pitch:
7:15 p.m. ET
- TV:
FOX
- Dodgers starting pitcher:
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (10-6, 2.78 ERA).
- Mets starting pitcher:
McLean (7-6, 3.34 ERA).
- Weather forecast:
76°F to 78°F, clear skies, light wind 6 to 11 mph, no rain expected.
Final Takeaways
The biggest edge in this matchup starts with Yamamoto. The Dodgers also enter the game healthier and more complete than New York. Soto's uncertain status further shifts the matchup toward Los Angeles, while both starting pitchers point toward a lower-scoring game than the total suggests. The Dodgers moneyline and the Under remain the strongest positions on the board.
Check the
latest odds and line movement
for Dodgers vs Mets at betting.net
before placing your bets. All odds as of game day on July 25, 2026. Odds sourced from DraftKings.
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