Lions Vs Dolphins: Betting Picks and Odds for NFL Week 9 Matchup
David Genge Published 04/11/2026
The Detroit Lions are favored by seven points against the Miami Dolphins in their Week 9 matchup on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Detroit averages 29 points per game, while Miami manages just 16.7. With heavy rain expected in South Florida, the weather also adds an important factor to these NFL Picks.
DraftKings lists Detroit at -325 on the moneyline and -7 at -110 against the spread. The game total sits at 50.5 points. These NFL predictions focus on Detroit's offensive production, Miami's defensive weaknesses, and how the expected weather could affect scoring.
Lions vs Dolphins Game Preview
The Lions enter Week 9 with a 5-2 record, while Miami is struggling at 1-6. Quarterback Jared Goff has completed 67.7% of his passes for 1,964 yards, 15 touchdowns, and one interception. Miami quarterback Malik Willis has thrown for 1,268 yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions, giving the Lions a clear advantage in passing production. This difference is central to the statistical analysis of NFL teams heading into Sunday's matchup.
Detroit has several injury concerns, with linebacker Jack Campbell listed as doubtful and Jimmy Rolder ruled out. Cornerback D.J. Reed, safety Brian Branch, defensive end DJ Wonnum, and offensive lineman Cade Mays are questionable. Miami is monitoring running back De'Von Achane after his recent missed playing time. Steady rain and temperatures in the high 70s are also expected at Hard Rock Stadium.
Lions vs Dolphins Moneyline Pick
The Detroit Lions moneyline at -325 is the pick. Goff has thrown 15 touchdowns against just one interception, showing strong control of Detroit's passing offense. Willis, meanwhile, has five interceptions through seven games, giving Miami a greater risk of costly turnovers.
The Lions also hold a significant advantage in overall offensive production. The Lions average 395.4 yards per game compared with Miami's 290, while their turnover differential stands at +3 against the Dolphins' -3. Although -325 is an expensive moneyline price, Detroit has the stronger quarterback and a more productive offense. These NFL predictions favor the road team to secure another win.
Pick: Detroit Lions ML (-325 at DraftKings).
Against the Spread Pick
Take the Detroit Lions -7 at -110 at DraftKings. Detroit averages 29 points per game and ranks third in the NFL in scoring, while Miami ranks 30th with 16.7 points per game. That 12.3-point scoring difference gives the Lions a strong opportunity to win by more than a touchdown.
The seven-point spread sits directly on a key NFL betting number. A Detroit victory by exactly seven points would result in a push, meaning the Lions must win by at least eight to cover. Miami has recorded only nine defensive sacks this season, ranking 30th, compared with Detroit's 24 sacks, which rank third. This difference gives Goff more time to operate and increases Detroit's chances of building a comfortable lead. The statistical analysis of NFL teams supports backing the Lions to cover.
Pick: Detroit Lions -7 (-110 at DraftKings).
Get Up to $1,000 Back in Bonus Bets Over Your First 10 Days
+9
- 20+ sports available for wagering
- Pre-match and in-play betting
- Unique features like live streaming and boosted odds
Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
Find out more on bet365's website
- Over 20 sports
- Extensive betting markets
- Live betting feature
New Users - Get $200 in Bonus Bets when you wager $5 for 4 days
+6
- Deep market coverage across major U.S. sports and leagues
- Same Game Parlay builder is fast and easy to use
- Live betting interface updates quickly with real-time odds
Lions vs Dolphins Game Total Pick
Take the Under 50.5 points at DraftKings. Miami averages just 16.7 points per game and produces 290 total yards per contest, ranking 27th in the league. Those numbers show how difficult it has been for the Dolphins to sustain drives and produce consistent scoring.
Weather conditions also support the Under. Heavy rain is expected during kickoff, which can affect passing accuracy, ball security, and offensive timing. Detroit's offense averages 29 points per game, but Miami's scoring struggles make it difficult to expect the Dolphins to contribute enough points to push the total above 50.5. These NFL Picks favor a lower-scoring game despite Detroit's strong offensive numbers.
Pick: Under 50.5.
How to Watch Lions vs Dolphins and Game Info
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida.
- Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
- Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Detroit Lions starting quarterback: Jared Goff (record as starter: TBD, 1,964 yards, 15-1).
- Miami Dolphins starting quarterback: Malik Willis (record as starter: TBD, 1,268 yards, 6-5).
- Weather forecast: High 70s, steady rain expected.
Final Takeaways
The Lions enter this matchup with clear advantages in quarterback production, total offense, and defensive pass rush. Miami's 16.7 points per game and nine defensive sacks highlight the challenges facing the Dolphins against a stronger opponent. These NFL predictions favor the Lions on the moneyline and at -7 against the spread, while the Under 50.5 is the preferred total.
Check the latest odds and line movement for Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins at betting.net before placing your bets. All odds as of 12:35 a.m. ET on November 4, 2026. Odds sourced from DraftKings.