Bengals at Dolphins Predictions, Odds and Betting Picks
David Genge Published 06/10/2026
Cincinnati is a 7.5-point road favorite over Miami, with the Bengals carrying a -375 moneyline at FanDuel and the total set at 42.5 points. The biggest betting factor is the matchup between Joe Burrow's 1171 passing yards and a Miami defense with only 4 sacks through four games. The latest NFL Picks point toward Cincinnati, but the injuries to Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins make the spread a tougher decision.
Miami enters at 0-4 after scoring only 11.5 points per game, while Cincinnati is 2-2 and averaging 24.2 points. The Dolphins have shown enough defensive resistance to make 7.5 points a meaningful number, while Cincinnati's 14 sacks rank third in the league and give Burrow's offense strong field-position support.
Bengals vs Dolphins Game Preview
The Bengals have gone 2-2 against the spread over their last four games, while the Dolphins are 1-3 ATS. Burrow has completed 71.3% of his passes for 1171 yards, 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, while Malik Willis has completed 56.3% for 712 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Those numbers drive the core NFL predictions for this matchup because Cincinnati has produced 351.8 yards per game compared with Miami's 267.5.
Cincinnati's passing game carries injury risk, with Chase in concussion protocol, Higgins dealing with a groin injury and Beal out. Miami also has Bell and Brewer questionable, with Duck and Baker out. The Bengals have lost two straight, while Miami is coming off a 15-10 loss and remains home in 79°F weather with 5 mph winds.
Bengals vs Dolphins Moneyline Pick
Take the Bengals moneyline at -375 at FanDuel. Cincinnati has a major quarterback edge, with Burrow posting 1171 yards and a 99.51 passer rating compared with Willis' 72.96 rating through four games. The Bengals also have 14 sacks against Miami's 4, giving Cincinnati a clear defensive advantage in a matchup where Willis has already taken 11 sacks.
The price is steep, so this is not a strong standalone value play. Still, Cincinnati's 24.2 points per game and Miami's league-low 11.5 make the -375 number fair enough for bettors building conservative NFL predictions around the favorite.
Pick: Bengals ML (-375 at FanDuel).
Against the Spread Pick
Take the Dolphins +7.5 at -118 at FanDuel. The number sits well above the key NFL spread number of 3, and Miami has already covered as a 9.5-point underdog against Minnesota in a 15-10 loss. Cincinnati has also lost its last two games, so asking the Bengals to win by at least eight points adds a margin requirement that the moneyline does not carry.
The Bengals average 24.2 points but just 3.58 yards per carry. Miami's Ollie Gordon II averages 5.1 yards per carry, helping control the clock and limit Cincinnati possessions. These Trends in NFL team performance make Miami the better spread side.
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Bengals vs Dolphins Game Total Pick
Take the Under 42.5 at -110 at FanDuel. Miami averages only 11.5 points per game and 267.5 yards, while Cincinnati's defense has already recorded 14 sacks and 29 quarterback pressures. Willis has a 72.96 passer rating with 2 interceptions, which gives Cincinnati several ways to force Miami into long third downs and stalled drives.
The forecast calls for 79°F, 66% humidity, a 15% rain chance and 5 mph winds. Miami has gone Under in three of four games, supporting the NFL predictions for a lower-scoring game at 42.5.
How to Watch Bengals vs Dolphins and Game Info
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL.
- Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
- Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Cincinnati Bengals starting quarterback: Joe Burrow (2-2, 1171 yards, 7-3).
- Miami Dolphins starting quarterback: Malik Willis (0-4, 712 yards, 1-2).
- Weather forecast: 79°F, 66% humidity, 15% chance of precipitation, wind at 5 mph.
Final Takeaways
The best NFL Picks here are built around Cincinnati winning while Miami keeps the margin tight. Take the Bengals moneyline at -375, Dolphins +7.5 at -118, and Under 42.5 at -110, all at FanDuel. Burrow's 1171 passing yards and Cincinnati's 14 sacks give the Bengals the stronger overall profile, but Miami's low-scoring offense and home-field setting make 7.5 points too much to give. Bettors looking for expert betting tips for NFL games should make the spread and total the priority over the expensive moneyline.
All odds as of 4:33 a.m. ET on October 6, 2026. Odds sourced from FanDuel. Check the latest odds and line movement for Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins at betting.net before placing your bets.