Austria vs Jordan Picks, Odds and Best Bets - World Cup 2026
Mike Goodpaster Published 16/06/2026
The 2026 World Cup Group J campaign continues as Austria face World Cup debutants Jordan at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara. Austria return to the global stage for the first time since 1998 and need points to stay in the knockout picture behind group heavyweights Argentina.
Jordan have already made history simply by qualifying, reaching their first ever World Cup through Asia's expanded route. Jamal Sellami's side arrive as heavy underdogs but will not be content to simply make up the numbers.
Moneyline
Sportsbooks make Austria heavy favorites at around -300, with the draw near +440 and Jordan the long shot at roughly +750. The gap in pedigree and squad quality is wide.
Kalshi's prediction market is similarly emphatic, pricing Austria at 73% to win in 90 minutes, the draw at 18%, and Jordan at just 11%. Das Team are firmly expected to start with three points.
Austria breezed through qualifying with a settled European core built around Alaba, Sabitzer and Arnautović, while Jordan's squad is drawn largely from domestic and regional leagues. The class gap is significant, though tournament debutants can play with a freedom that makes them awkward to break down early.
Verdict: Austria at -300 is the clear call, with a handicap angle a better value route than the short straight price.
Over/Under
The total sits at 2.5, with Over 2.5 goals favored around -145 and Under 2.5 out near +120. The market leans toward goals in this one.
The case for the Over is strong: four of Jordan's last five matches have gone over 3.5 goals, and as heavy underdogs they tend to press rather than sit deep, leaving space for Austria's attack to exploit. A multi-goal Austrian win is the most likely script.
Verdict: Lean Over 2.5 goals at -145, with Jordan's open style and Austria's firepower pointing to goals.
Both Teams to Score
Kalshi prices Both Teams to Score Yes at 47¢ and No at 54¢, a lean toward No. Sportsbooks frame it similarly, with No favored around -130 and Yes out near +105.
The case for Yes leans on Jordan's attacking intent through Al-Taamari and a record of goals at both ends in their recent matches. They will push forward and could nick one.
The case for No rests on Jordan's depleted attack, missing qualifying top-scorer Al-Naimat, against an organized Austria defense marshaled by Alaba. On balance, a Jordan blank is a live outcome.
Verdict: A slight lean to Both Teams to Score No at 54¢ on Kalshi, or -130 at the sportsbooks, with Jordan's injury-hit attack the deciding factor.
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First-Half Moneyline
Even as heavy favorites, Austria may need a little time to break down a debutant side likely to start with energy. Kalshi's first-half market reflects that, pricing Austria at 55% to lead at the break, the Tie at 36%, and Jordan at just 11%.
Sportsbooks frame the half similarly, with Austria to lead at the interval around -130, the First-Half Draw near +170, and Jordan ahead at the break a remote +800. Das Team are favored to be in front by half-time.
Jordan's early intensity could keep the opening 45 competitive, but Austria's quality should tell more often than not. Backing the Austria first-half lead is the cleanest read, an angle that pairs with the clean-sheet picture flagged across the Golden Glove award markets.
Verdict: Austria to lead at half-time, priced at 55¢ on Kalshi or around -130 at the sportsbooks, is the play.
Anytime Goalscorer (Top 5 Bets)
Austria's forwards dominate this market against a leaky Jordan defense, with the debutants' attackers offering value at much longer prices. Marko Arnautović leads the line and the scorer board.
- Marko Arnautović (Austria) - +110: Austria's all-time leading scorer with 47 international goals leads the line, and against a Jordan defense that conceded 11 goals across five recent matches, his physical style makes him the most logical scorer.
- Michael Gregoritsch (Austria) - +115: A reliable penalty-box finisher who may start or rotate in up top, Gregoritsch is well placed to convert in a game Austria should dominate.
- Marcel Sabitzer (Austria) - +150: In fine form with three goals and three assists in qualifying plus more in the warm-ups, the Dortmund midfielder is central to Austria's attack and a strong goal threat from deep.
- Sasa Kalajdžić (Austria) - +125: The towering striker is a major aerial threat off the bench or in a start, offering value against a Jordan side vulnerable from crosses.
- Musa Al-Taamari (Jordan) - +500: Jordan's standout talent and only player at a major European club, the Rennes winger is the debutants' clearest route to a goal and the best value play on the underdog side.
Verdict: Marko Arnautović at +110 is the headline anytime goalscorer pick, with Al-Taamari at +500 the strongest value play for Jordan.
Injury Report
Austria's main concern was captain David Alaba, who has been passed fit to feature, while Christoph Baumgartner misses out with a thigh injury. Konrad Laimer is available after a friendly red card, leaving Austria close to full strength with strong midfield depth.
Jordan are the more depleted side, missing qualifying top-scorer Yazan Al-Naimat through a long-term injury and forward Ibrahim Sabra, who withdrew from the squad. Those absences thin an attack that already faced a significant step up in class.
Weather Forecast
The late kickoff at Levi's Stadium is expected to bring warm, dry early-summer Bay Area conditions with little chance of rain. Comfortable weather removes any disruption to either side's game plan.
A dry, true surface suits Austria's structured passing game and quick transitions, helping them break down a Jordan side that may tire as the game opens up. The settled conditions reinforce the favorites' control over tempo.
How to Watch
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 (12:00 AM ET kickoff)
- Time: 12:00 AM ET
- Location: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California (San Francisco Bay Area)
- US TV Station: FOX (English) and Telemundo (Spanish), with streaming on Peacock and FOX One
Jordan's history-making debutants are also worth tracking in the Golden Ball award markets as the tournament's standout performers emerge, and for the best places to bet this fixture, see our guide to the top-rated betting sites. Back Austria to win with the Over and Marko Arnautović anytime as the standout plays on the board.